2019-03-06 14:00
Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock has taken a beating in the days since the company announced a price cut for the Model 3, said it was closing brick-and-mortar stores and said it would not be p… Read More
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2019-03-04 20:00
Perception of Powell Put in Place – QE4 Looms By Murray GunnFor better or worse, the markets perceive that Fed chairman Powell has showed his hand.The recent Federal Open Markets Comm… Read More
2019-03-04 18:00
Virtually every piece of hard economic data is telling us that the U.S. economy is slowing down dramatically. Many of the pundits have been warning that we could officially enter reces… Read More
2019-03-04 16:00
This certainly doesn't bode well for US home sales.According to a survey by Attom Data Solutions year-end home flipping report, the number of homes bought and sold for a quick profit decline… Read More
2019-03-04 14:00
Warren Buffett made a notable change in his annual Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.B) shareholder letter: He deemphasized the change in the book value of the company’s shares. To those wh… Read More
2019-02-28 16:45
Remember back when the housing bubble burst?It happened well before the financial crisis in 2008. In fact, the air started leaking out in 2005. And it really took a blow in 2006.Back then, I… Read More
2019-02-26 17:18
The Chinese stock market has rallied sharply this year, becoming a top performer among global markets after finishing 2018 near the bottom. Is there still opportunity left? We have a positiv… Read More
2019-02-21 19:30
It’s probably a good thing the government partially shut down in December. It delayed the exposure of some dreary economic updates in the face of a falling stock market. Ret… Read More
2019-02-21 17:30
When ExxonMobil begins oil production in Guyana next year, mining crude from its seven new deepwater wells, life may change dramatically in this small South American country. The mega deal i… Read More
2019-02-21 15:50
Following a dismal Philly Fed print and disappointing Durable Goods, moments ago the Markit Manufacturing PMI made it a trifecta of trouble, when the closely watched index printed at 53.7, d… Read More
2019-02-19 20:30
Talks between the U.S. and China to end the trade war appear to be in trouble with the March 2 deadline for a deal fast approaching. In the ongoing trade talks between the U.S. and Chin… Read More
2019-02-19 18:10
Economic numbers all over the world continue to get worse, and as you will see below, even New York Times columnist Paul Krugman is now warning of “an unavoidable global recession&rdqu&hell…Read More
2019-02-19 16:44
Some economists were in disbelief regarding the huge collapse in retail sales in December. Other indicators now confirm.That chart is weekly. Ideally, we need to see monthly and it wasn't po… Read More
2019-02-18 19:30
President Donald Trump declared a national emergency to pay for the construction of a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border, after Congress, in its new spending bill, denied him the full money t… Read More
2019-02-18 17:32
Bears, like myself, picked the meat off market bulls throughout 2018. We scoffed at the start of the year when bulls concocted a narrative that said bears would starve because 2018 was going… Read More
2019-02-18 16:26
Brick-and-Mortar Meltdown for its new shareholders: All of them PE Firms.By store count, this is likely the largest retailer liquidation in the US: Payless ShoeSource is planning to file for… Read More
2019-02-17 23:36
One argument underlying the notion of holding risky assets in long-term portfolios is time diversification. Time diversification holds that above-average returns tend to offset below-average… Read More
2019-02-14 20:30
The banquet of consequences is now being served, but the good seats have all been taken.As I discussed in We're Overdue for a Sell-Everything/No-Fed-Rescue Recession, recessions have a… Read More
2019-02-14 18:30
i went to the crossroad, fell down on my kneesi went to the crossroad, fell down on my kneesasked the lord above “have mercy, now save poor bob, if you please”yeoo, standin&rsquo&hell…Read More
2019-02-14 17:13
Our health insurance system is theoretically supposed to prevent Americans from going bankrupt when they are hit by huge medical bills. But in case after case, that is simply not happe… Read More
2019-02-14 00:00
A border deal has been reached… in principle. Will President Trump sign it? Who knows.U.S. trade negotiators are set to meet with the Chinese while China’s economy is taking a t… Read More
2019-02-13 15:30
Last week millions of people around the world sat up straight, got all self righteous, argued with one another, and picked a side. It was like Brexit, but global. You were either with or aga… Read More
2019-02-13 14:36
Economic growth is key for the financial market outlook, and we expect growth to slow materially as the post-crisis recovery enters its late stage. The slowdown is likely to be led by the U… Read More
2019-02-12 22:52
In a Wall Street Journal interview three days after reopening the government, President Trump handicapped the odds of a border wall settlement.“I personally think it’s less than… Read More
2019-02-12 19:39
After China's official gold reserves rose for the first time in around two years (since Oct 2016) in December, Beijing appears to have joined the global gold rush, increasing its gold reserv… Read More
2019-02-11 21:00
As political and economic crises threaten to topple Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro, political scientists like us are not surprised that he has run into trouble. Instead, w… Read More
2019-02-11 20:30
Farmers all across the middle part of the country are going bankrupt at an astounding rate, and over half of all farms in America are now losing money. The trade war with China has bee… Read More
2019-02-11 19:22
Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is getting significant media attention these days, after Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said in an interview that it should “be a larger part of our conversation… Read More
2019-02-11 14:22
Nobel laureate Paul Krugman is possibly the world's most famous Keynesian economist thanks to his position on the New York Times editorial board. And he just joined the growing chorus of voi… Read More
2019-02-10 17:30
Happy Year of the Pig! This week marks the start of China’s Spring Festival, during which an estimated 3 billion trips will be made using the country’s massive transportation net… Read More
2019-02-09 13:58
Buybacks have been put back into the spotlight as boogeymen. Earlier this week, Senators Chuck Schumer and Bernie Sanders wrote an op-ed in The New York Times attacking share repurchases. Am… Read More
2019-02-08 18:49
Though every recession is unique, all recessions manifest in similar ways in the real economy. By real economy, I mean the on-the-ground economy we observe with our own eyes, as op… Read More
2019-02-08 16:30
By Longmei Zhang and Sally Chen, IMFBlog Digitalization has created millions of new jobs in China, accounting for between one-third and one-half of employm… Read More
2019-02-08 14:30
A lot of people dream about setting up a business and becoming the next Steve Jobs or Mark Zuckerberg. However, they don't know where to start when it comes to setting up their business; man… Read More
2019-02-07 20:00
Powell, Draghi, Kuroda, et al.: Did ya see this NBER study?This is something we have seen since the Financial Crisis all around us: The concentration and consolidation of corporate market po… Read More
2019-02-07 19:00
As credit-asset bubbles pop, the dominoes start falling.The economy is far more precarious than the surface boom/bubble suggests. A great many households, enterprises and municipalities… Read More
2019-02-07 17:30
The U.S. national debt is wildly out of control, and nobody in Washington seems to care. According to the U.S. Treasury, the federal government is currently $21,933,491,166,604.77 in d… Read More
2019-02-07 15:58
The mainstream economic community has a notoriously short attention span and a lack of long-term perspective. After the longest government shutdown in American history subsided, the mainstre… Read More
2019-02-06 21:00
When showing people my Spending Wave chart, I now must do so in two phases: the first with the market correlation to the 46-year lag for peak spending before the idiotic, insidious, irrespon… Read More
2019-02-06 19:00
We see a synchronized global slowdown ahead in 2019, as the U.S. economy becomes a drag rather than a driver. The U.S. slowdown reflects, in part, an economy that is transitioning into a lat… Read More
2019-02-06 17:33
One Great Big Difference On a beautiful midsummer day, roughly six months ago, two distinguished men, of distinguished stature, crossed paths under precarious circumstances. They… Read More
2019-02-05 21:00
By Ruchir Agarwal and Signe Krogstrup, IMFBlog Many central banks reduced policy interest rates to zero during the global financial crisis to boost growth. Ten years later, i… Read More
2019-02-05 19:00
I have no doubt that electric vehicles (EVs) represent a disruptive industry. But every disruptive industry that ever existed is littered with the memories of companies that failed to surviv… Read More
2019-02-05 17:00
It is the legally mandated purpose of a for-profit corporation to make money for its owners and to prioritize that goal above all else. So, it is no surprise that U.S. natural gas producers… Read More
2019-02-05 15:57
After US Manufacturing's PMI bucked the global slowdown trend, rebounding in January, US Services data was also expected to likewise stabilize against weakness worldwide, but it didn't.Marki… Read More
2019-02-04 19:12
The global economy is way past the point of maximum debt saturation, and so the next stop is debt exhaustion.Just as generals fight the last war, central banks always fight the last financia… Read More
2019-02-01 19:58
The social media space is absolutely ripe for a new entrant who demands arduous verification and constantly monitors its user base to eliminate cloned and fake accounts.How many accounts on… Read More
2019-01-31 21:30
The Federal Reserve just took the monetary policy equivalent of a sharp 90-degree turn. On Jan. 30, the U.S. central bank signaled that it was done raising benchmark interest rates after two… Read More
2019-01-31 21:00
Yesterday’s scheduled release of US gross domestic product (GDP) for the fourth quarter is still a mystery, courtesy of lingering effects of the partial government shutdown that ended… Read More
2019-01-31 20:31
QE may restart only if things get really ugly – think Financial Crisis.“Patient” has become the Fed’s favorite word in recent weeks as just about all Fed governo… Read More
2019-01-30 20:11
Investors have understandably spent much of the past six weeks focused on the unprecedented collapse and subsequent rebound in stocks. What has garnered less attention is the asset that has… Read More
2019-01-30 18:57
The experts are telling us that the Midwest could experience the coldest weather that it has ever seen this week. Wind chill temperatures of -40 and -50 degrees will be common througho… Read More
2019-01-29 20:11
This government shutdown is really starting to take a toll on the U.S. economy. On Wednesday, the chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers made an absolutely stunning admi… Read More
2019-01-29 20:07
Painful moment of truth for banks & investors. “Uncertainty over the accuracy of the companies’ books and disclosure of pertinent information”: Fitch Ratings. Defa… Read More
2019-01-28 14:47
The bad news coming out of the shale oil fields of America could all be put down to slumping oil prices. That is certainly a big factor. But as investment professionals like to say, when the… Read More
2019-01-26 16:40
By EconMatters IntroductionThere are a lot of cross currents in the oil market right now with slowing growth in China and the United States from a Trade War, a prolonged government shutdown… Read More
2019-01-26 14:53
With the end of the unipolar moment, which saw Washington dominate international relations, the richest and most powerful Eurasian countries are beginning to organize themselves into allianc… Read More
2019-01-25 22:10
Saudi Arabia isn't buying the peak oil demand narrative. OPEC's largest producer continues to expect global oil demand to keep rising at least by 2040 and sees itself as the oil producer b… Read More
2019-01-25 18:27
In the span of a day, China has gone from threatening to crash US markets if President Trump doesn't agree to a trade deal to helping the US rebut reports that trade talks weren't going as s… Read More
2019-01-24 21:04
The number of drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs) in the U.S. shale patch has skyrocketed by roughly 60 percent over the past two years. That leaves a rather large backlog that could add a… Read More
2019-01-23 20:07
The 2019 World Economic Forum this week in Davos, Switzerland focuses on the theme of “Globalization 4.0.” This is an apt way to describe the change afoot in our highly interconn… Read More
2019-01-23 18:34
Over the past few months, tensions between China and Taiwan have mounted. Chinese President Xi Jinping recently expressed his desire to unify the island nation with the Chinese mainland, a… Read More
2019-01-22 21:16
As we begin 2019, the energy markets and the stock markets are experiencing extreme volatility. Both underwent steep declines during the latter part of last year, but both are off to a… Read More
2019-01-22 21:02
By Gita Gopinath, IMFBlog عربي, 中文, Español, Français, 日本語, Português, Р… Read More
2019-01-20 22:58
By EconMattersCorrelated ChaosThe financial markets these days are highly leveraged, especially with loose monetary policy of the last decade providing ample credit for one sided risk taking… Read More
2019-01-18 21:39
Trump wants a wall. Will he get it? Unlikely. But he’s making federal workers pay a painful price while he fights for it. Should we even be discussing it? Should a border wa… Read More
2019-01-18 17:34
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – Another big down day for the Dow. Yesterday, the index took another 2% hit… But, in keeping with our Advent Season optimism, if wealth is a burden, investo… Read More
2019-01-18 13:47
Have you got what you think is a great idea for a business? Would you love to set up and run a company in South Florida, but something is holding you back? For all the people like you that b… Read More
2019-01-18 13:33
Last year was unusual: U.S. equities and 10-year Treasuries both finished down, as heightened economic and geopolitical uncertainty and expectations for higher short-term rates drove markets… Read More
2019-01-17 01:44
In a surprisingly candid admission, two former Federal Reserve chairs have stated that the Federal Reserve alone is responsible for creating all recessions in the United States. First… Read More
2019-01-17 01:28
The world’s economy is rocky, to say the least. It seems every country has its short comings, from the USA, to the UK, to the EU, and beyond. The best way to weather through this storm… Read More
2019-01-14 21:00
California’s rate payers & taxpayers likely on the hook, as we know from PG&E’s first bankruptcy in 2001.“PG&E remains committed to providing safe natural gas a… Read More
2019-01-14 20:32
When it’s time to sell your gold or silver investment, getting the right price is crucial. Whether you’ve invested in gold or looking to sell some old family gold, it is importan… Read More
2019-01-14 15:23
The United States and China will be locked in a contest for decades. But Washington can win if it stays more patient than Beijing...In June 2005, I published a cover story in the&n&hell…Read More
2019-01-10 17:13
The turn of the year brought a wave of new laws and industry restrictions many feared would hurt their portfolios. Here’s a look at how stocks exposed to recent legislative changes hav… Read More
2019-01-10 13:43
The American housing market has seen tremendous gains over the last six or seven years. Property values in desirable areas of the country have climbed to all-time highs.But what does 2019 ha… Read More
2019-01-09 15:00
Oil prices regained more ground on Wednesday, pushed higher after equity markets rebounded from an initial selloff at the start of 2019 trading. The price gains are not entirely convincing… Read More
2019-01-07 16:00
It is easy to conclude the EU, and the Eurozone in particular, is a financial and systemic time-bomb waiting to happen. Most commentary has focused on problems that are routinely patched ove… Read More
2019-01-07 14:00
Stock markets are crashing all over the world, we are seeing extremely violent “flash crashes” in the forex marketplace, economic conditions are slowing down all over the globe… Read More
2019-01-04 00:14
“We did not foresee the magnitude of the economic deceleration.” Oh dude, starting the year out on the right foot.On Wednesday after the market closed, Apple released a letter to… Read More
2019-01-03 18:22
It could happen. That’s a common phrase that every parent hears, and even sometimes utters, when talking with children.Sure, Santa could bring you a motorcycle. If there were a Santa… Read More
2019-01-02 15:29
Following weakness in China and Eurozone PMIs, US Manufacturing's final print for December also disappointed, dropping to 53.8 (below its flash print) to the slowest since Sept 2017.Business… Read More
2018-12-30 22:37
"Your cash is not wanted here", a growing number of retailers and restaurants throughout the US and UK are telling customers. But are reasons being given by companies for the new "… Read More
2018-12-30 16:02
Reusable materials are at the very core of green moving tips.The global forces have been saying that our world is in danger and we couldn't agree more. It seems as if with every move we make… Read More
2018-12-27 14:47
We know silver as one of the beautiful reflective metals from which so many amazing pieces of jewelry are made. Tableware, as in eating utensils, candlesticks, and serving trays passed down… Read More
2018-12-26 21:35
2018 offers a reminder that geopolitics matter. Our analysis suggests increasing uncertainty around rising trade tensions has been a major drag this year on equities, offsetting solid earnin… Read More
2018-12-26 17:25
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded last week its worst weekly performance in a decade, and the Christmas Eve trading session saw the worst-ever performance for the day. Will the sell… Read More
2018-12-26 00:21
About one-third of natural-born Americans are ready to call it quits, pack up their stuff and move outside of the US -- at some point in the future, according to Study Finds… Read More
2018-12-21 17:00
Under tremendous pressure, the Fed sticks to its guns, mostly, and the crybabies are having a cow.The S&P 500 index plunged 3% in two hours from its intraday peak at 2 p.m., after the Fe… Read More
2018-12-21 16:18
With tightly clenched fists, market pundits, analyst and investors eagerly awaited on Wed. the news from Jerome Powell, the current FED Chairman. What had the markets once again on edg… Read More
2018-12-20 01:52
Market Minute - December, 19, 2018 By Elliott Wave InternationalGood afternoon and welcome to our first installment of the Elliott Wave Market Minute.The big story of the day is in U.S. Sto… Read More
2018-12-19 22:03
The Chinese telecommunications company Huawei is under scrutiny around the globe over concerns that its close ties with the Chinese government present national security threats to the U.S… Read More
2018-12-19 21:56
Whether you are looking to set up a business, double your money, book a vacation spot, grow some eatables, or just finding a place to live on our green Earth, real estate has been the number… Read More
2018-12-18 20:00
U.S. stocks have not fallen this dramatically during the month of December since the Great Depression of the 1930s. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost another 507 points… Read More
2018-12-18 18:00
Let’s not forget that Russia played host to the worlds largest blockchain technology conference in June 2018. This is to say nothing of the fact that President Putin met with the devel… Read More
2018-12-18 16:05
As long as gold has been a precious metal, there have been unethical people who try to counterfeit it. As long as they’re manufactured by approved refiners and sold by reputable dealer… Read More
2018-12-15 16:04
Stocks fluctuated this week amidst reports that U.S. President Donald Trump’s tweets forced Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to moderate his interest rate stance, and of a spike… Read More
2018-12-14 20:25
As another year draws to a close, it’s becoming more clear which trends will dominate 2019 based on emerging technology, consumer behavior changes and other factors that affect brandin… Read More
2018-12-10 21:00
If you thought the Dow Jones Industrials Average gapping down at the open yesterday, then dropping a heart-stopping 785 points, and then rallying back 709 points to close down only 79.40 poi… Read More
2018-12-10 20:11
While it’s still uncertain what the specific outcome of Brexit is going to be – or, in fact, if it will actually take place – it would be foolish to not prepare regardless… Read More
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