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Game Theory NCAA Picks Week 4

No time for novel intros, not after last weeks showing. Right into the action. Prepare to copy:

Baylor -8 at Louisiana-Monroe- You know me, I like a good home dog in prime time on TV all by itself like the Warhawks will be BUT....this one opened up at 9.5 so everyone is already all over that. I know Baylor is a lackluster 0-5 ATS on the road lately but Louisiana-Monroe is still going to be outmatched across the board in terms of talent and that will bare out come 4th quarter. I like a close game throughout but see Baylor sneaking out with a 10 point Victy as they have suffered no offensive setbacks despite losing last year's Heisman Trophy recipient in RG3. Baylor coverage

Florida St -14 Vs Clemson- None of these teams have really been tested yet but I'm not so sure it matters when it comes to the Seminoles. They've given up 3 points in 3 games and with a defense like that, offense is secondary to the outcome. Clemson has put up a lot of yards and I think they may move the ball a bit but they aren't going to be putting up a ton of points on this FSU defense. Conversely, Clemson has looked anything but unstoppable when they don't have the ball and FSU will be able to stack some points up. They should pull away and easily cover the 14.

South Florida -9 At Ball State- You know why I feel great about the Bulls here? Because this game doesn't matter and no one will be watching. Just the type of environment USF QB B.J. Daniels thrives in! Ball State is exactly the type of football school you would think they are and will do just enough to lose. Should this go the other way, Skip Holz better pack up his house and peace out. But knowing the way USF's Athletic Director operates, he'll probably get another contract extensy. Bulls by 2 touchdowns.

Notre Dame -6 Vs Michigan- I know the Wolverines have owned the Irish the past few years and pretty much all time but this game will be different this year because of the defenses. Michigan got bailed out by the theatrics of Denard Robinson last season who led an unthinkable and TV saving (for me) come back to topple Notre Dame 35-31. I don't see how they get anywhere close to 5 touchdowns this time around on the road against a very stout defense. Whatever points they get will be easily answered back because of the total lack of defense Michigan has and they're inability to stop the run and Notre Dame has been pounding the ball too well in the young season to foster any confidence in Michigan to stop them. Irish cover.

Vandy +14 At Georgia- You know what Georgia's problem is? They don't know how to put teams away and they aren't consistent enough on defense. That's the total opposite of how Vandy plays and their defense is capable of keeping them in the game and other teams off the board for a stretch. Look what they did against a South Carolina team who I still think is better than Georgia. I know Vandy just got done playing the local Church team last week but Georgia played a school that up until a few years ago didn't even have a football team....and gave up 20 points. They aren't a focused bunch and I think Vandy can give them just enough of a scare to provide us with a nice cash infusion. Georgia by 10.

GO GET PAID!! (I will)



This post first appeared on The Right Answer, please read the originial post: here

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Game Theory NCAA Picks Week 4

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