2024-03-27 20:06
FIFA will publish the April ranking next Thursday April 4th. I expect the cancelled Asian World Cup qualifier between Korea DPR and Japan in Pyongyang to be awarded 0:3 to Japan and to be in… Read More
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FIFA Ranking, UEFA national team coefficients, seeding info
2024-03-09 09:03
Here is the probable April 2024 ranking, to be published on Thursday April 4th. A very diverse offering of matches in the upcoming March window:- match days 3 and 4 in the groups for AFC Wor… Read More
2024-03-09 09:00
Here are the probable results of all 161 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including March 31st, used to calculate the April 2024 probable ranking. The results are generated u… Read More
2024-03-06 21:15
In the qualification tournaments for the World Cup 2026 only Asia continues their group stage in the upcoming March window. Africa and South America have a break until respectively June and… Read More
2024-03-02 08:32
In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. Here's the fifth and last in this series of simulation reports: Europe.The UEFA EURO… Read More
2024-02-24 09:26
In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. Here's number four in this series of simulation reports: North, Central and South Ame… Read More
2024-02-18 12:41
In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. Here's number three in this series of simulation reports: Oceania.The OFC Cup of Nati… Read More
2024-02-11 08:24
FIFA will publish the February ranking this Thursday February 15th. The Asian and African Cup of Nations, played last month in Qatar and Cote d'Ivoire respectively, both left their mark on t… Read More
2024-01-06 08:18
Here are the probable results of all 151 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including February 11th, used to calculate the February 2024 probable ranking. The results are gener… Read More
2024-01-06 07:54
Here is the probable February 2024 ranking, to be published on Thursday February 15th. No upcoming international window, but instead two continental championships in Asia and Africa to be pl… Read More
2023-12-13 20:37
FIFA will publish the December ranking next Thursday December 21st. This final preview contains 11 matches, out of 14 matches played since November 27th: the complete knock-out stage of the… Read More
2023-12-09 09:12
In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. Here's number two in this series of simulation reports: Asia.The Asian Cup of Nations… Read More
2023-12-04 20:44
In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. To kick off a series of simulation reports I start with Africa.The African Cup of Nat… Read More
2023-11-22 20:50
FIFA will publish this ranking next Thursday November 30th. This final preview contains 189 matches, out of 200 matches played since October 23rd.The last round of four group matches in the… Read More
2023-11-18 15:06
There came quite some reactions and suggestions on my first post about another way of ranking the international top scorers. I can only agree with the main criticism: the measure of how valu… Read More
2023-11-04 10:56
Here is the probable November 2023 ranking, to be published on Thursday November 30th. In the upcoming November window matches for the following tournaments will be played:- the CONCACAF Nat… Read More
2023-11-04 10:50
Here are the probable results of all 186 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including November 26th, used to calculate the November 2023 probable ranking. The results are gener… Read More
2023-10-28 14:28
Normally you don't see anything in this blog about individual players, because they are not my main interest in NT-football. It's about the national teams for me. But recently there was a re… Read More
2023-10-18 19:59
FIFA will publish this ranking next Thursday October 26th. This final preview contains 170 matches, out of 181 matches played since September 18th.One team reaches a new highest rank:Kosovo… Read More
2023-10-18 19:33
Last week the match days seven and eight of qualification for EURO 2024 have been played. See here for all the details of the qualification process and the simulation results before the grou… Read More
2023-10-01 08:09
Here is the probable October 2023 ranking, to be published on Thursday October 26th. In the upcoming October window matches for the following tournaments will be played:- the CONCACAF Nation… Read More
2023-10-01 08:08
Here are the probable results of all 154 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including October 22nd, used to calculate the October 2023 probable ranking. The results are generat… Read More
2023-09-13 20:03
Last week the match days five and six of qualification for EURO 2024 have been played. See here for all the details of the qualification process and the simulation results before the groups… Read More
2023-09-13 18:49
FIFA will publish this ranking next Thursday September 21st. This final preview contains 165 matches, out of 182 matches played since July 17th.Eritrea played their last official match 4 yea… Read More
2023-09-03 07:51
The match schedule for the group stage matches in African qualification for the World Cup 2026 is finally released, so now I'm able to simulate the process. The format is very simple: all 54… Read More
2023-08-28 20:01
The upcoming September window starts a new edition of the CONCACAF Nations League. It will be the third edition and follows only one year after the previous one. It is used as qualification… Read More
2023-08-26 15:20
Here is the probable September 2023 ranking, to be published on Thursday September 21st. In the upcoming September window matches for the following tournaments will be played:- the final mat… Read More
2023-08-26 15:19
Here are the probable results of all 180 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including September 17th, used to calculate the September 2023 probable ranking. The results are gen… Read More
2023-08-19 12:46
The qualification tournaments for the World Cup 2026 start this September window in South America, in October in Asia and in November in Africa. Next year's March sees the first qualificatio… Read More
2023-07-17 07:26
FIFA will publish the second official ranking of 2023 this Thursday July 20th. I consider the ranking published in June as an intermediate ranking as it contains flaws: at least the final of… Read More
2023-06-24 07:49
Last week the match days three and four of qualification for EURO 2024 have been played. See here for all the details of the qualification process and the simulation results before the group… Read More
2023-06-06 19:32
The July 2023 ranking, to be published on Thursday July 20th, will only be the second ranking of 2023. It seems FIFA decided from now on to publish a ranking only after a NT window has been… Read More
2023-06-06 19:31
Here are the probable results of all 222 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including July 16th, used to calculate the July 2023 probable ranking. The results are generated usi… Read More
2023-05-23 19:58
This Summer the only continental showdown to be played is the Gold Cup 2023. From the Nations League 2023 group stage 12 teams have qualified and Qatar is once again the strange guest, or sh… Read More
2023-04-10 08:30
In March the first two match days of qualification for EURO 2024 have been played. See here for all the details of the qualification process and the simulation results before the groups star… Read More
2023-03-29 15:36
FIFA will publish this first ranking of 2023 next Thursday April 6th. This final preview contains 262 matches, out of 284 matches played since December 19th 2022. Due to Brazil's unexpe… Read More
2023-02-08 20:50
In the month of January three tournaments were played to a finish: the South-East Asian Championship 2023, the Gulf Cup 2023 in Iraq and the African Nations Championship in Algeria. FIFA wil… Read More
2023-02-08 20:49
Here are the probable results of all 209 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including March 28th, used to calculate the April 2023 probable ranking. The results are generated u… Read More
2023-01-29 11:24
Now the schedule for the UEFA Nations League 2023 Final Four is drawn, it's time to focus on the qualification for the EURO 2024 in Germany. There were 10 qualification groups drawn in Octob… Read More
2023-01-05 16:06
Yes, you read it correctly, FIFA will publish the next ranking only after the March window. Contrary to previous years there won't be an official ranking in the first week of February, even… Read More
2023-01-05 16:04
Here are the probable results of all 213 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including March 28th, used to calculate the April 2023 probable ranking. The results are generated u… Read More
2022-12-18 20:09
FIFA will publish the ranking this Thursday December 22nd. Argentina is the new world champion and just couldn't catch Brazil at the top spot. This final preview contains 159 matches, out of… Read More
2022-10-29 08:30
Here are the probable results of all 133 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including the World Cup final on December 18th, used to calculate the December 2022 probable ranking… Read More
2022-10-29 07:54
Here is the probable December 2022 ranking, to be published on Thursday December 22nd. This ranking will include a lot of preparatory friendlies before the complete World Cup with the final… Read More
2022-10-23 15:39
An interesting question popped up in the discussions around my World Cup simulations and more specific the somewhat lower than expected predicted performance of Senegal compared to home nati… Read More
2022-10-08 09:07
In case you hadn't noticed, the World Cup in Qatar is to be played next month. The tournament was already 10 years ago assigned to a country without any football tradition. It is proven in t… Read More
2022-10-02 08:11
FIFA will publish the ranking this Thursday October 6th. This final preview contains 171 matches, out of 181 matches played since August 22nd.One team dropped to a new low:Liechtenstein (196… Read More
2022-09-05 19:53
Here is the probable October 2022 ranking, to be published on Thursday October 6th. This ranking will include the matches in the September window in the conclusion of the UEFA Nations L… Read More
2022-09-05 19:51
Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the October 2022 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on October 6th.Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a smal… Read More
2022-09-05 19:51
Here are the probable results of all 159 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including October 2nd, used to calculate the October 2022 probable ranking. The results are generate… Read More
2022-08-01 20:04
FIFA will publish the ranking on Thursday August 25th. This final preview contains 53 matches, out of 55 matches played since June 20th. There are no more matches scheduled until the deadlin… Read More
2022-06-26 16:39
The June window saw 4 match days in the group stage of the UEFA Nations League 2022/2023. The remaining two match days will be played in the September window.There were in league A some quit… Read More
2022-06-15 20:04
FIFA will publish the ranking on Thursday June 23rd. This final preview contains 286 matches, out of 320 matches played since March 31st.Quite some movement to be seen because there was a lo… Read More
2022-05-29 10:48
The qualification for the AFC Nations Cup 2023 is divided in two parts:the Asian first and second stage in the qualification for the World Cup 2022 delivered 12 teams: the 8 group winners an… Read More
2022-05-27 08:59
The second edition of the CONCACAF Nations League starts in this June window. All 41 CONCACAF-members participate and are drawn in three leagues:league A has 4 groups of 3 teamsleague B has… Read More
2022-05-26 11:10
In this June window the qualification for the World Cup 2022 in Qatar (to start in November this year) should finally come to a conclusion. The COVID-19 pandemic plus the Russian war in Ukra… Read More
2022-05-26 10:14
This June window the group stage starts in the qualification for the AFCON 2023 in Cote d'Ivoire in June next year. In March preliminary play-offs were played to wittle the 54 entered Africa… Read More
2022-05-25 04:48
Let's focus on the UEFA Nations League 2022/2023. This competition will be played on six matchdays (4 this June window, 2 in the September window), with a Final Four (2 one-off semi-fin… Read More
2022-05-22 10:48
Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA June 2022 ranking with FIFA's Home Team Win Expectancy (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team… Read More
2022-05-22 10:48
Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the June 2022 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on June 23rd. Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a sma… Read More
2022-05-22 10:47
Here is the probable June 2022 ranking, to be published on Thursday June 23rd. After the commotion of the March window and subsequent World Cup draw a very quiet period in NT-football b… Read More
2022-05-22 10:47
Here are the probable results of all 281 currently scheduled matches up to and including June 14th, used to calculate the June 2022 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo rati… Read More
2022-03-30 19:09
FIFA will publish the ranking tomorrow, Thursday March 31st. Just in time to use it as the seeding ranking for the Finals draw the following day, Friday April 1st at 18:00 CET that shindig w… Read More
2022-03-12 09:48
Here are the probable results of all 145 currently scheduled matches up to and including March 30th, used to calculate the April 2022 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ra… Read More
2022-03-12 09:47
Here is the probable April 2022 ranking, to be published on Thursday March 31st. This ranking will include the conclusion of World Cup qualification in all confederations. Also a lot of frie… Read More
2022-03-12 09:31
Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA April 2022 ranking with FIFA's Home Team Win Expectancy (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team… Read More
2022-03-12 09:31
Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the April 2022 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on March 31st.Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a small p… Read More
2022-02-05 11:11
The January window and all but the final weekend in the AFCON 2022 has been played. Compared to the last simulations made in November last year the following changes in the simulated match s… Read More
2022-02-04 20:49
FIFA will publish the February ranking next Thursday February 10th. This final preview contains 123 matches, out of 127 matches played since December 20th. Only the third place match to… Read More
2022-01-02 16:14
Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA February 2022 ranking with FIFA's Home Team Win Expectancy (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home te… Read More
2022-01-02 16:05
Here is the probable February 2022 ranking, to be published on Thursday February 10th.This ranking will include the semi finals and finals of the South East Asian Championship, the complete… Read More
2022-01-02 16:04
Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the February 2022 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on February 10th.Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a s… Read More
2022-01-02 16:04
Here are the probable results of all 124 currently scheduled matches up to and including February 6th, used to calculate the February 2022 probable ranking. The results are generated using e… Read More
2021-12-30 15:40
The African Cup of Nations 2021 was initially scheduled for June 2021 in Cameroon, but soon moved back to January 2021 due to unfavourable climatic conditions in this time of the year. Then… Read More
2021-12-19 09:18
FIFA will publish the December ranking next Thursday December 23rd. This final preview contains 59 matches, out of 59 matches played since November 17th. Only today's final matches in g… Read More
2021-11-28 08:29
The publishing date of the December 2021 ranking is pushed back one week. Probably to be able to include the complete Arab Cup in Qatar and the complete group phase of the South East Asian C… Read More
2021-11-28 08:26
Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the December 2021 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on December 23rd.Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a s… Read More
2021-11-28 08:26
Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA December 2021 ranking with FIFA's Home Team Win Expectancy (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home te… Read More
2021-11-28 08:26
Here are the probable results of all 56 currently scheduled matches up to and including December 19th, used to calculate the December 2021 probable ranking. The results are generated using e… Read More
2021-11-27 11:00
The November window has been played. The decisions in the UEFA and CAF qualification groups are known now. Furthermore, yesterday the draw for the UEFA play-offs and the pairing of confedera… Read More
2021-11-18 20:15
FIFA will publish the November ranking next Thursday November 25th. This final preview contains 138 matches, out of 145 matches played since October 18th. One team climbs to their highe… Read More
2021-11-14 10:27
The November window is halfway. UEFA and CAF stand for their final group matches where the remaining decisions will fall.On request is here an update of the simulations for the qualification… Read More
2021-10-30 06:29
The FIFA November international match window starts November 8th. All confederations except OFC are still in full swing qualifying mode for the World Cup next year in Qatar. It's even crunch… Read More
2021-10-30 06:27
Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA November 2021 ranking with FIFA's Home Team Win Expectancy (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home te… Read More
2021-10-30 06:27
Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the November 2021 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on November 25th.Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a s… Read More
2021-10-30 06:27
Here are the probable results of all 144 currently scheduled matches up to and including November 17th, used to calculate the November 2021 probable ranking. The results are generated using… Read More
2021-10-16 10:42
The October window is completed. Time to update the simulations for the qualification of the World Cup 2022 in Qatar.Denmark and Germany are already qualified. Several teams underlined their… Read More
2021-10-16 05:55
FIFA will publish the October ranking this Thursday October 21st. This final preview contains 161 matches, out of 165 matches played since September 13th. Only today's final of the Sout… Read More
2021-09-25 07:57
The FIFA October international match window starts October 4th. All confederations except OFC are still in full swing qualifying mode for the World Cup next year in Qatar. CONMEBOL and… Read More
2021-09-25 07:55
Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA October 2021 ranking with FIFA's Home Team Win Expectancy (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home tea… Read More
2021-09-25 07:55
Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the October 2021 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on October 21st.Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a sma… Read More
2021-09-25 07:55
Here are the probable results of all 162 currently scheduled matches up to and including October 17th, used to calculate the October 2021 probable ranking. The results are generated using el… Read More
2021-09-12 11:49
All confederations except OFC are now busy with their main group qualification stage.UEFA finish their group stage in November. The 10 group winners qualify. The play-offs between the 10 gro… Read More
2021-09-10 18:08
FIFA will publish the September ranking next Thursday September 16th. This final preview contains 181 matches, out of 182 matches played since August 9th. 152 Matches were World Cup qualifie… Read More
2021-08-25 12:32
Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the September 2021 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on September 16th.Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a… Read More
2021-08-25 12:27
The FIFA September international match window starts next week. All confederations (well, except OFC) are now in full swing qualifying mode for the World Cup next year in Qatar. UEFA an… Read More
2021-08-25 12:25
Here are the probable results of all 182 currently scheduled matches up to and including September 9th, used to calculate the September 2021 probable ranking. The results are generated using… Read More
2021-08-25 12:25
Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA September 2021 ranking with FIFA's Home Team Win Expectancy (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home t… Read More
2021-08-10 16:36
The eight teams qualified for the Octogonal, the final CONCACAF qualification round for the World Cup 2022 in Qatar, are known. Mexico, USA, Costa Rica, Jamaica and Honduras were automatical… Read More
2021-07-31 16:15
FIFA will publish the August ranking on Thursday August 12th. This final preview contains 350 matches, out of 369 matches played since May 24th. Only the Gold Cup final between USA and… Read More
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