On Tuesday, the White House voiced its opposition to a Republican bill scheduled to be voted on by the U.S. House of Representatives that would prevent California from receiving federal waivers to set standards limiting the sale of gasoline-driven automobiles.

With the issue of what people will be allowed to drive in the future becoming yet another hot-button political issue, there’s little chance of the bill making it through Congress. Democrats have made widespread electrification a major platform and they’re currently the dominant party in the Senate, likely meaning the “ The Revoking Engine and Vehicle (REV) Requirements Act” would stall there.

However, the proposal is not incorrect in asserting that California's Clean Air Act waiver gives it a large amount of influence over national vehicle policies. Republican Congressman Doug LaMalfa (CA-01) pointed this out while introducing the bill.

"California is abusing their waiver authority and its status as the largest market in the United States to force this change on all Americans. We have a free market; therefore if Americans truly wanted to make the switch to Electric vehicles, then they would buy them — no government interference necessary. The truth is that electric vehicles aren't a reliable option for everyone, nor are they affordable. Just a few days after the California Air Resource Board's mandate came out, Governor Newsom had to publicly beg electric vehicle owners not to charge their cars due to concerns of the power grid and blackouts. This winter, residents in the Sierra Nevada mountains lost power for days due to heavy snow storms. People with electric vehicles couldn't charge them to evacuate or heat their homes. Those who want an electric vehicle and can afford it have every right to purchase one. People shouldn't be compelled to purchase them. The bottom line is that the government has no right to mandate what kind of car you drive." said Congressman LaMalfa.

Due largely to possessing the ability to self-regulate, California is known for having some of the strictest emission rules in the country. However, the region is also highly influential and has over a dozen other supportive states (New York, Massachusetts, Vermont, Maine, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Washington, Oregon, New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware, Colorado, Minnesota, Nevada, Virginia, and New Mexico) claiming to adhere to its benchmarks for vehicle emissions in lieu of federal guidelines.

Though exactly how this works is a little confusing, as those locales don’t enjoy the same regulatory waiver provided by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). These also aren’t issues that are being voted on by the public and instead tend to be declarations made by state leadership that feel a political kinship to California.

While this has created an incredibly hazy regulatory environment at both the federal and state level under the Trump administration, Biden’s doesn’t seem to care due to being in broad alignment with the policies pushed by the California Air Resources Board (CARB). Furthermore, the EPA cannot legally issue a formal ban on combustion vehicles.

Arguments could be made that today’s federal standards represent de facto bans by how heavily they incentivize electric vehicles while punishing automakers for building modestly sized, economical models that burn gasoline. But it still doesn’t qualify as an outright ban, even if the White House has set goals for what portion of the market should be electrified and vowed to make all government vehicles EVs in the coming years. The point is that the Biden administration presumably doesn’t want to get in California’s way when it’s taking actions it’s prohibited from engaging in.

Under Trump, the EPA sought to end California’s ability to self-regulate after market analysts suggested Californian policy would split the U.S. market by forcing automakers to comply with regions adhering to more stringent emission rules and state-backed vehicle bans. At the time, the White House claimed this would result in Americans having limited choices, being forced into more-expensive automobiles, and ultimately advantage China as the world’s largest battery producer. However, the legal hurdles confronted by the Trump administration were vast and Biden undid any headway it had made by subsequent executive order.

In May, CARB asked the EPA to approve its plan to require all new vehicles sold in the state by 2035 to be either electric or plug-in electric hybrids, setting the stage to ban automobiles using fossil fuels. Automotive News reported that the proposed bill would strip the EPA of authority to grant that waiver, adding that California has already received waivers from the EPA to set its own emissions limits for heavy trucks and other vehicles.

From Automotive News:

The White House noted Congress gave California authority to regulate emissions from vehicles more than 50 years ago, but did not issue a veto threat. The Biden administration has repeatedly refused to endorse setting a date to phase out the sale of internal combustion engine cars and trucks.

Former President Donald Trump, who is seeking the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, has repeatedly accused the Biden administration of seeking to force an end to internal combustion vehicles.

Under an EPA proposal to cut vehicle emissions, automakers are forecast to produce 60 percent EVs by 2030 and 67 percent by 2032 to meet requirements, compared with 5.8 percent of U.S. vehicles sold in 2022 that were EVs.

California's zero-emission rules [claims it] will cut by 25 percent smog-causing pollution from light-duty vehicles by 2037.

The rules mandate that 35 percent of the new cars sold be plug-in hybrid electric (PHEV), EVs or hydrogen fuel cell by 2026. That proportion will rise to 68 percent by 2030 and 100 [percent] by 2035.

A total of 17 states have agreed to adopt California's EV rules.

CARB's regulation would allow automakers to sell up to 20 percent PHEVs by 2035 with a minimum 50-mile all-electric range.

Leadership understands that California is a keystone state in terms of emission policy and sells enough vehicles to make it borderline impossible for the industry to rationalize building a separate product line. With a cadre of other states claiming to be on board with CARB standards, it almost doesn’t matter what the federal government’s standards are. The industry will have to comply with California’s emissions laws if it hopes to sell within the United States, with the federal government still capable of funding the shift by adding new corporate incentives and indefinitely prolonging an EV tax credit scheme that was originally supposed to expire.

Ultimately, it doesn’t really matter if the proposed bill makes it through the House and Senate. Biden will almost assuredly veto it so that The Golden State can continue doing some of the legwork the federal government is legally barred from doing. It certainly calls into question exactly where the boundaries of regulatory law exist. But it’s an effective tactic and helps guarantee the desired policies are enacted nationally, regardless of which party happens to be in power at the federal level.

Though the above hardly addresses the issue in a comprehensive manner. The fact remains that there’s an affordability issue with modern vehicles that’s been even tougher for EVs to cope with. Electric cars also haven’t yet reached parity with gasoline or diesel vehicles in terms of uptime and there are lingering questions about serviceability as it pertains to DIY maintenance. We also have a large contingent of consumers that remain broadly unwilling to purchase any nontraditional powertrains until they’re absolutely positive it’s better than what they currently own.

That’s not to suggest battery and hybrid-powered vehicles don’t have benefits. At-home charging is extremely convenient for those who can adapt it to their lifestyle and the instantaneous torque of electric motors remains thrilling. But they probably won’t work for everyone and former claims that EVs were ecologically superior are starting to fall flat as the world learns more about cobalt or lithium mining and realizes that the energy for these vehicles still has to be sourced from somewhere that’s still emitting pollution.

[Image: ZikG/Shutterstock]

Become a TTAC insider. Get the latest news, features, TTAC takes, and everything else that gets to the truth about cars first by  subscribing to our newsletter.