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Big Ten Schedule Released. Let's React.

Big Ten Schedule Released. Let's React.
Seth June 8th, 2023 at 5:40 PM
A butterfly flaps its wings in Indiana. [Marc-Grégor Campredon]

THIS IS ALL TEMPORARY

The ACC is crumbling, the Pac 12 may not exist anymore, and Oregon and Washington are blowing up Brett McMurphy's cell phone on a weekly basis to say they heard a rumor that UCLA said they saw USC talking to the AAU about Miami and FSU at 31 flavors, and they think it's pretty serious. As Sam Webb iterated and reiterated on the show this morning, they're just putting this together right now as a stopgap because they're not done expanding.

THE SCHEDULE

Mitch Sherman helpfully got us a screen shot. White games are on the road; gray at home.

[Discussion after THE JUMP]

Michigan, as we all suspected, will visit USC their first year in the conference, despite having Ohio State on the road and Texas visiting that year. The 2024 schedule doesn't have dates yet so we can just order by difficulty:

  1. @Ohio State (11/30)
  2. @USC
  3. Texas (9/7)
  4. Wisconsin
  5. @Illinois
  6. UCLA
  7. Minnesota
  8. Maryland
  9. Michigan State
  10. @Rutgers
  11. Arkansas State (9/21)
  12. Fresno State (8/31)

That is BRUTAL, with three potential contenders at the top, whatever Year 2 Wisconsin with Fickell looks like, going to a now-decent Illinois, tough outs UCLA and Minnesota, and then your 8th-hardest game is a rival that's been recruiting as well as Wisconsin and has you in their crosshairs.

Michigan's 2025 schedule gets a LOT easier but still goes about seven deep in losable games.

  1. Ohio State (11/29)
  2. @Oklahoma
  3. Penn State
  4. @Nebraska
  5. @Iowa
  6. Purdue
  7. @Maryland
  8. @Michigan State
  9. @Indiana
  10. Northwestern
  11. Central Michigan (9/13)
  12. New Mexico (8/30)

YMMV on the power rankings in three years; let's just get through this. Ohio State gets USC at home in 2025 but nothing like Michigan's 2024. I'm sure this was a point of contention, since what we were hearing out of these meetings was a lot of sidemouth B.S. about Michigan's easy 2022 and 2023 schedules. Maybe we shouldn't have canceled the UCLA series.

PLEASE DO A SHOWCASE

They haven't announced the plans for a postseason yet but rumor is they're going to just have the top two teams play, which is a recipe for disaster since there isn't a good way to determine the best two teams.

Showcase! Showcase! Showcase! Play the best three games that weren't played. You can even have it in NFL stadia. Replays are awful and just destroy or confirm information you already had. There is almost no configuration of a season that does not result in an obvious #1 game. Most of the time the #1 game is for the conference championship, but when it isn't that's because the #1 team already defeated all the other contenders and deserves to be the champion.

THE PROTECTED RIVALRIES

Nicole Auerbach broke down the ten protected rivalries.

This seems like the bare minimum. It's interesting that Maryland and Rutgers couldn't engineer a deal to keep Penn State on the schedule every year. Also note that seven of these protected games occur the final weekend, meaning everyone but Penn State and Michigan State are already seeing someone for Thanksgiving.

They could move Rutgers-Maryland to another week I guess, but there won't be much more variety than that. I wonder if MSU-PSU are going to get locked together or if both will get that week off for a bye, or use it to schedule an interesting independent. Right now PSU-MSU is on the schedule both years.

EVERYONE PLAYS MICHIGAN

I wonder if getting Michigan to visit was one of USC's conditions for joining the league in the first place. Michigan plays both in 2024, continuing a long tradition of always playing the teams they add right away. At least this one isn't locked in. When the B10 added Rutgers and Maryland they put them in the East with Michigan. When the B1G added Nebraska, they configured weird divisions that put Nebraska with Michigan. When the Big11Ten added Penn State and everyone was going to miss two opponents every year, they made sure Penn State didn't miss Michigan. When Michigan State replaced Chicago after World War II, it was on the condition they get a protected rivalry with Michigan. When they organized the conference in 1896, it was so Chicago could play Michigan.

The last team to join the conference and not play Michigan was Ohio State in 1913, but that was only because Michigan had left the conference, and the Western Conference (as it was known then) had banned teams from playing Michigan (except Minnesota ignored them). Before that Michigan-Ohio State had played every year since 1900. The loss of The Game was part of the impetus for Michigan returning to the conference in 1918.

OTHER ODDITIES

Empty Rose Bowl. UCLA's two seasons are extremely unbalanced. Their home schedule in 2024: Ohio State, USC, Nebraska, Minnesota, Northwestern. Their home schedule in 2025: Wisconsin, Purdue, Maryland, and Rutgers. Hope they have interesting non-con opponents.

Have Fun with That. Illinois visits OSU and USC and hosts Michigan, Iowa, and Purdue in 2024.

I may find more later but need to get this posted and get my kids.

Blue Vet

June 8th, 2023 at 5:56 PM ^

Combine tasks: have your kids do this work!

Don

June 8th, 2023 at 5:58 PM ^

At first I thought Seth finished with:

"I may find more later but need to get pasted and get my kids."

Vasav

June 8th, 2023 at 6:02 PM ^

You forgot Maryland in '24 for us, at home. Probably slotted around UCLA or Minnesota.

It's weird that they put 2025 on top of 2024. Also weird to me that it's harder to read your home opponents (gray backgrounds) than your away (white backgrounds).

Also, PSU has a home and home ("2-play") with Rutgers in this round, guessing they'll always get Rutgers or Maryland. They theoretically could have 5 different sets, but it sounds like they'll be getting one of M, OSU or USC every 2 years. Guessing they keep one of the cable subscribers too.

In reply to You forgot Maryland in '24… by Vasav

Vasav

June 8th, 2023 at 6:13 PM ^

Found this useful, from the Athletic. It's all the opponents each school will see home-and-home over this period. Italicized if it's a permanent rivalry

Illinois: Northwestern, Purdue, Ohio State
Indiana: Purdue, Michigan State, Maryland
Iowa: Minnesota, Nebraska, Wisconsin
Maryland: Rutgers, Indiana, Michigan
Michigan: Ohio State, Michigan State, Maryland
Michigan State: Michigan, Penn State, Indiana
Minnesota: Wisconsin, Iowa, Nebraska
Nebraska: Iowa, Minnesota, UCLA
Northwestern: Illinois, Ohio State, Purdue
Ohio State: Michigan, Illinois, Northwestern
Penn State: Michigan State, USC, Rutgers
Purdue: Indiana, Illinois, Northwestern
Rutgers: Maryland, Penn State, UCLA
UCLA: USC, Nebraska, Rutgers
USC: Penn State, Wisconsin, UCLA
Wisconsin: Minnesota, Iowa, USC

In reply to Found this useful, from the… by Vasav

kyle.aaronson

June 8th, 2023 at 6:33 PM ^

USC gets some great, traditional Big Ten programs, and UCLA gets diddly-squat.

In reply to USC gets some great,… by kyle.aaronson

FB Dive

June 8th, 2023 at 6:53 PM ^

Rumor was that UCLA wanted annual matchups with Nebraska, so I imagine they’re pretty happy with that. The trip to Rutgers will suck, but it’s 2 free wins

In reply to Rumor was that UCLA wanted… by FB Dive

kyeblue

June 8th, 2023 at 11:30 PM ^

Never know, it might be the opportunity for Rutgers.

In reply to You forgot Maryland in '24… by Vasav

Communist Football

June 8th, 2023 at 8:01 PM ^

Graphic on the protected rivalries and two-play teams (i.e., teams that you play both in 24 and 25):

Unsalted

June 8th, 2023 at 6:05 PM ^

A one-loss Michigan team in 2024 is sure to make the 12-team college playoff. I wonder if a two-loss team, with Ls in Columbus and LA, would still have a case for the 12-team field. Probably yes.

In reply to A one-loss Michigan team in… by Unsalted

Stanley Hudson

June 8th, 2023 at 6:15 PM ^

Some weird teams are going to get into a 12 team playoff. I’d guarantee a 10-2 Michigan team makes the field in 2024. 

In reply to A one-loss Michigan team in… by Unsalted

kyle.aaronson

June 8th, 2023 at 6:28 PM ^

Considering this was how the Top 12 shook-out last year...

  1. Georgia (13-0)
  2. Michigan (13-0)
  3. TCU (12-1)
  4. Ohio State (11-1)
  5. Alabama (10-2)
  6. Tennessee (10-2)
  7. Clemson (11-2)
  8. Utah (10-3)
  9. Kansas St. (10-3)
  10. USC (11-2)
  11. Penn State (10-2)
  12. Washington (10-2)

... it seems incredibly likely.

In reply to Considering this was how the… by kyle.aaronson

Unsalted

June 8th, 2023 at 6:54 PM ^

Hey Kyle, thanks for this. I'd like to change my answer from probably yes, to they better damn well be in the 12-team field!

In reply to Considering this was how the… by kyle.aaronson

Vasav

June 8th, 2023 at 7:05 PM ^

Penn State was criminally underrated heading into bowl season. 2 losses to top 5 teams, and yet behind...well I guess everyone ahead of them actually beat a top 10 team. Except for Clemson. and Ohio State (!!!)

In reply to Penn State was criminally… by Vasav

Unsalted

June 8th, 2023 at 8:10 PM ^

Good point about Penn State. Even with 2 quality losses, PSU was only one spot from being bumped by Tulane. Tulane was the sixth-highest-ranked conference champion, aka group of 5 auto bid. (Top 6 ranked conference champions are automatic qualifiers.)

In reply to Considering this was how the… by kyle.aaronson

Leaders And Best

June 9th, 2023 at 12:26 AM ^

And on top of that, the Pac-12 and Big 12 are not going to look the same moving forward from 2024 on. Texas, Oklahoma, USC, and UCLA leaving those conferences is going to make it very difficult for them to be 2-bid leagues in the future. I think most years you are going to see the at-large bids split between the Big Ten and SEC with the ACC/ND taking up one at-large.

In reply to A one-loss Michigan team in… by Unsalted

CompleteLunacy

June 8th, 2023 at 6:56 PM ^

A 2-loss Michigan is probably close to guaranteed to qualify too. Shoot, there's a nonzero chance that a 3-loss Michigan could sneak in (although I guarantee that SEC would get first priority in that category)

In reply to A 2-loss Michigan is… by CompleteLunacy

Leaders And Best

June 8th, 2023 at 11:51 PM ^

That's how I feel too. I think a 3-loss team would potentially be in if that schedule strength holds up.

I don't think you can look at last year's rankings and project them moving forward. I think the Big 12 and Pac-12 are going to be one bid leagues for most years moving forward as their strength of schedule drops once they lose Texas, Oklahoma, USC, and UCLA so you would most likely not have a playoff with TCU, Kansas St, Utah, and Washington in it unless they were one-loss teams losing in conference championship games.

In reply to A one-loss Michigan team in… by Unsalted

OneEyedMooseSm…

June 8th, 2023 at 10:16 PM ^

I now live in the land of University of Spoiled Children (South OC CA).  Can't wait to kick their asses next year with some Man Ball!!!  Buncha old rich bastards who got here way before me.

Also, I'll be there for the game.  Look for the guy in the Michigan hat.



This post first appeared on Mgoblog, please read the originial post: here

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