Get Even More Visitors To Your Blog, Upgrade To A Business Listing >>

Upon Further Review 2022: Defense vs. Colorado State

Upon Further Review 2022: Defense vs. Colorado State
Seth September 7th, 2022 at 4:53 PM
Dude, it's only CSU. [Patrick Barron]

Help, what are all these words? The UFR Glossary.

Substitution Notes: Backups got a lot of play. Morris and Harrell were the starters at edge, with Taylor Upshaw matching them for snaps as Morris slid down to DT for Pass rush packages. Backups were Derrick Moore and Braiden McGregor, with spot appearances at weakside for Eyabi Anoma. DTs were Mazi and Jenkins with Graham and Benny rotating in (more for Jenkins than Smith) and a third team of Rooks and Goode. Safety was Rod Moore and Moten, who rotated with Paige until Moore came out with the starters for Kolesar. Sainristil held down nickel all game, including when CSU went 2TE. CB was DJ Turner and Gemon Green mostly with Will Johnson rotating in for a drive here and there.

Formation Notes: Updating the “Hi” column this year to provide more information on the secondary alignment. Press/Off are self-explanatory. “Fld” or “Bdy” mean only the field or boundary CB is playing off. Reminder that "Hat" (as in: tip o' the…) means the other team's player did a thing all on his own. It can be positive (helped) or negative (nice job, guy on other team).

CSU's favorite formation was a 3-wide with the TE half-flexed. Michigan's formations were mostly the same as last year's plus this 5-1 look from Nickel personnel (that's Barrett at the top). I called it "Nk 5-1"

They also rolled out a 3-3-5 look with Upshaw (on the 45 below the hash) dropped back like a LB. Nk 3-3-5.

And this was the look before the 4th and 7 strip-six, which I called "Y-Stack" because the SS, WLB, and Edge are all over the TE, with Paige down near the LOS. Michigan brought the house.

On epithets, pseudonyms, sobriquets, and general patronymity: When I say "Green" I mean Gemon; I'll use "German" when it's his brother. The Johnson is Will, and if Quinten plays he can be Q-Jo. "Moore" is Rod Moore, and Derrick Moore is "D-Mo." The Pollards are going by their first names, Micah (the LB) and Myles (the CB). NHG=Nikhai Hill-Green. Juice=Julius Welschof. And Kody Jones is K.Jones for the purposes of future-proofing. Apologies to the people who asked me to use full names, but the tradeoff is fewer mistakes.

Also "PR" means pressure, "cov" is coverage, and "RPS" is rock-paper-scissors, IE effects of the play calls. Let's do this!

[After THE JUMP: So many guys to talk about, one huge caveat]

---------------------

Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O20 1st 10 Pistol Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Tite 2 off Run   Stretch Mullings 5 0.09
The Tite is an under formation that gets Morris(-0.5) doubled and shoved back a yard before he can fight through. Mullings(-2) is supposed to react when the line shifts but stayed inside and allowed the Flex TE to crack him. Looks scary for a moment but Sainristil(+0.5) pushes his CB upfield to set a new edge, and Moore(+2) blasts down through traffic to stick for a minimal gain.
O25 2nd 5 Pistol Str Demi H-fly 4-2-5 Nk Wide 2 fld Pass 4 Bubble Screen Sainristil 8 0.87
Motion meant to outflank M, Sainristil(+0.5) beat back the TE to force this to the edge where Turner(-1) was slow to attack and allowed room on the sideline to pick up the 1st.
O33 1st 10 Empty Demi RB-Flare 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 off Pass 4 TE Snag Mullings 9 1.38
Colson(-1) got too far up on the flare and Mullings(-1c, Cov-2) didn't replace. Easy pitch and catch with trundle YAC.
O42 2nd 1 Pistol Str 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 press Run   Counter Trey Colson 3 -0.23
Colson(-0.5) tipped his blitz, gets easily blocked down by the RT but this should work because he is blitzing that gap and switching (RPS+1) which should have this dead to rights. Unfortunately Mullings(-0.5) isn't aggressive against the TE so the RB can burrow for the 1st.
O45 1st 10 Gun Wk Y-Cross 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 fld Pass 4 RB Swing Morris -1 -1.38
Might be a lane forming as Mullings(-0.5) and Sainristil(-0.5) are outflanked. Morris(+3, tackling+1) gives the LT a GERTOFFME and hacks this down from behind to create a TFL himself. Moore(+1) had shot through and was going to stick for no gain or something absent Morris's heroics.
O44 2nd 11 Pistol Strong 4-2-5 Nk Wide 1 fld Run   Dart C Colson 5 0.06
CSU's version of Power is really a stretch with uncovered guys trying to pull around covered ones which we (incorrectly) call Dart. Upshaw(+1) plants the kickout upfield and CSU center (hat+1) runs into that instead of trying to block anyone. That gives Colson(-1, tackling-1) a clear path for a thunderous TFL, but he doesn't trust it, instead bouncing off an OL. Barrett(+0.5) was blitzing and came off that to converge with Colson and hold it down. Ungh.
O49 3rd 6 Gun Wk H-fly 4-2-5 Racecar 2 off Pass 6 Sack Sainristil -2 -1.40
Fun Blitz 1 (RPS+2, PR+1) and Colson/Sainristil don't know which is blitzing on the top while Upshaw drops into coverage and from the leverage here I blame Colson. They figure it out as Sainristil(+1) chips the RB they were both bracketing, then goes in for the kill while Colson stays on the RB so no minuses. They don't show Turner(+1, Cov+2) but the reason there's time for that is Millen is staring down Turner's guy and is finally deterred. By then Harrell is free as the LT is overwhelmed by Moten blitzing that side as well and Smith(+1) blew one side of his double into the other so neither can help. Amoeba FTW!
Drive Notes: Punt. 0-0. 10 min 1st Q. Collar-pulling LB play, Amoeba gets them off the field.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 press Pass 4 RB Flat Colson 2 -0.35
McGregor(+2, PR+1) beats the RT who blatantly hauls him down (refs-1). Millen spooked and quickly dumps to the RB whom Colson(+2, Cov+1, tackling+1) nails immediately.
O27 2nd 8 Gun 5w 4-2-5 Nk Wide 1 high Pass 4 Post R.Moore -14 -5.03
McGregor(+2, PR+1) around the LT, goes for the strip but misses and gets pushed by. Millen has time because Upshaw(-1) got ejected but is now spooked and doesn't see Moore(+2, Cov+3) hanging out in centerfield and throws it right to him. Moore then runs it to the paint. No points for blocking but Moten and Barrett clear the shingles.
Drive Notes: Interception. 0-0. 9 min 1st Q.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun 4w 4-2-5 Nk Wide 1 fld Pass 4 Quick Seam Barrett 20 1.80
Harrell(+1, PR+1) pushed the LT into the pocket, rushing Millen's skinny post to the H. Barrett(push, Cov-1), juuuust gets his fingertips on it, but Stovall reels it in anyway (Hat-1) for a good gain.
O45 1st 10 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Wide 1 fld Pass 4 Flash Screen Sainristil 2 -0.52
Morris(+1) sees the RB heading for the flat and jets out there, cutting him off. That's only a little relevant but heady. Sainristil(+1) also sees it and cuts off the TE. Play stretches to the sideline where Turner(+0.5) shot his WR upfield without leaving any space around him. RPS-1: Minter was blitzing the backside and rolling the FS which meant Michigan was outnumbered to the strongside.
O47 2nd 8 Pistol Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 press Run   Dart C Morris 1 -1.01
CSU OT tries to kick out Morris(+1) and falls down (Hat+1). The C converts to a kickout but now M is up a guy. RB has to cut back, Colson is there to deter the A gap, and Benny(+1) does a great job to control the G, shed and fire upfield for no gain. Safeties staying high so this was all on the front.
O48 3rd 7 Gun 4w 4-2-5 Racecar Split B 2 bdy Pass 4 Double Screen Harrell INC -1.19
CSU throws the flare screen side and Harrell(+2, cov+2) read the play and has a TFL if it's completed. It is not.
Drive Notes: Punt. 10-0. 7 min 1st Q. Starting to think CSU isn't very good.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun Wk Demi 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 press Pass 5 Fly Johnson INC -0.70
Will Johnson(+2, Cov+2) in and immediately targeted, MSU 2020 style. Perfect ball, WR gets away with a little pushoff but WJ's arms are so long he's able to rake it out as the guy's going down.
O25 2nd 10 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Wide 2 off Pass 4 Sack Colson 2 -0.23
M drops Upshaw into the slant (RPS+1) and brings Mullings. He's picked up but Smith(+2, PR+2) runs the center 6 yards into the backfield. Looks like a sack but Jenkins(-1, tackling-1) went to the wrong side of the LT and Millen escapes. Not for long as Colson(+1, tackling+1) runs up and sticks after a tiny gain.
O27 3rd 8 Gun Str 4-2-5 Racecar Split 2 fld Pass 4 Scramble McGregor 5 0.01
The one where McGregor(+1, PR+2, tackling-1) got around CSU's very bad RT then whiffed the sack. Morris(-1) at DT watches instead of containing then gets edged. Sainristil(+1) gets down and pops the QB in the air and OOB to force a punt. Flag for defensive holding gets picked up but we don't get a replay or explanation because the worst announcers in football are busy obsessing over a photograph of the time Jay Norvell's mom got hit on by Muhammad Ali.
Drive Notes: Punt. 13-0. 14 min 2nd Q. One fly and two almost sacks.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O16 1st 10 Pistol Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 fld Run   Split Zone Smith 2 -0.23
Harrell(+0.5) resists a kick to force it inside. Rooks(-0.5) got locked out by the RG so the C can immediately release on Barrett. Smith(+1, tackling+1) is singled on the LG, stands him up, sheds, and grabs the RB's feet. Moten(+1) flew down past a WR trying to crack him to help.
O18 2nd 8 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk 5-1 1 bdy Pass 3 Throwaway D.Moore INC -0.37
M shows 5 and brings 3. D-Mo(+2, PR+2) comes through the LT with an RB chip, arms the guy away, and is sacking so Millen tosses it hopelessly at the RB. G (Hat+1) was triple-teaming Smith.
O18 3rd 8 Gun Str 4-2-5 Racecar Split 2 off Pass 4 Sack Anoma -8 0.18
Weird from CSU as both tackles and one of the guards don't move after the snap (uh, Hat+3). Free quarterback is served. Anoma(+2, PR+3) runs through RB like he's not there and thundersacks. Morris(+1) took a chip from the TE then joins.
Drive Notes: Punt. 13-0. 9 min 2nd Q. Hat Hat Hat Hat Hat.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Pistol Str 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 off Run   Counter Trey Upshaw -1 -0.80
Bet the coaches use this in a clinic on how to kill Counter. Upshaw(+1) blasts the puller into the RB's path. Benny(+0.5) holds up to a play-long double. Colson(+0.5) shoots into the gap they're attacking, pops the TE, and discards him. Paige(+1, tackling+1) shoots down to replace the edge and helps tackle. Wall of Wolverines means nowhere to go until Morris arrives from the backside.
O24 2nd 11 Empty Demi RB-Orbit 4-2-5 Nk Even 1 fld Pass 4 Double Screen Turner -3 -0.39
Same look as the last screen but hits the other side, where Turner(+2, cov+3) is in man and sitting on this (RPS+2).
O21 3rd 14 Gun Wk Demi 4-2-5 Racecar Eagle 2 off Pass 4 Drag Moten 14 2.03
Moten shows blitz, CSU checks out and Michigan checks to something else automatically. Moten(-2, cov-2) blows the coverage, letting the backside drag route cross him and turn the corner. Mark Jones calls Mazi "Ozzie" Smith(+1, PR+1) just before the wizard teleports into the backfield. WR goes out a yard shy of the sticks but they take pity (refs-1).
O35 1st 10 Gun Wk Demi 4-2-5 Nk 3-3-5 1 off Pass 3 Hook Mullings 3 -0.41
M shows one look, Millen calls it out, they switch, then switch again. Bait->Trap. Rush three: Smith(+0.5) puts the C in the backfield enough to make things uncomfortable, and Benny(+1, PR+1) slaps away the bad RT's half-assed hand to get a shot at Millen, who dumps it off to a well-covered slot under Mullings(+1, cov+1, tackling+1) who doesn't give up any more. RPS+2 this was the offense's best possible outcome.
O38 2nd 7 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 fld Pass 4 Scramble Benny 12 1.81
Morris(+1, PR+1) has the RT shoved back into Millen and Mullings(+0.5) quickly shed the RB so this starts feeling sacky. The RT fixes things by grabbing hugging Morris's face (refs-1). At this point Benny(-2) hops inside where Morris has things handled and gives up an escape route that Upshaw(-1) who is spying the QB/RB, cannot run down--in fact a WR can step in front of him.
50 1st 10 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 fld Pass 4 Reverse Screen Upshaw 2 -0.48
Tricky: it's a flash screen but the WR then runs a reverse out the other side. Upshaw(+1) stayed home. Turner(+0.5) and Moore(+0.5) were there as well. RPS+1 shouldn't have done this against zone.
M48 2nd 8 Empty Wk Demi RB-Flare 4-2-5 Nk 5-1 1 fld Pass 3 Sack Harrell -11 -2.72
Rolder in for Colson and he goes with the RB as he leaves. M rushes 3, dropping Upshaw into the H-curl Millen wanted (RPS+2). That's all he gets as Graham(+2, PR+2) blasted the C into Millen's personal bubble then tried to claw at the ball over that guy's face. GTFO time. D-Mo(+1) was spinning inside the RT who unnecessarily climbs on his back and D-Mo puts his hands up to force a call. Doesn't matter because Barrett(+2) shot upfield, danced Millen into staying inside then sacked with the help of Moore's heft.
O41 3rd 19 Gun 4w 4-2-5 Racecar Eagle A 1 off Pass 4 Scramble McGregor 12 0.76
McGregor(-2) and Harrell(-1, PR-2) both get the worst kind of pass rush: way upfield and big escape vector. Smith might get there but is held so bad he's running at the QB with his front shoulder turned backwards (refs-2). Colson has to deal with the RB and spills to Paige(-1, tackling-1) who came in too far inside and turned a punt from the 50 into 4th and go for it.
M47 4th 7 Gun 4w 4-2-5 Racecar Split 2 off Pass 5 Sack Harrell -6 -4.11
Tempo. Defense had a plan already (RPS+2), dropping Upshaw (playing DT) and bringing both Moten and Sainristil off the edges. Millen has a shot to gun this to an out vs Moore but Upshaw(+1, PR+3) got the bad-day-having RT all crossed up with a stab outside and slap-away. Millen ducks and Harrell only gets his helmet as he goes by but now there's McGregor(+1) who won inside and an unblocked Moten. Drive's done.
Drive Notes: Turnover on Downs. 20-0. 1 min 2nd Q. [/Hot take voice] We shoulda saved that! [/voice]. Next drive starts with 11 seconds.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Pistol Twins 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 off Run   Dart TCT Colson 1 -0.92
It's just a run-out-the-half run but they try to loop the front T around Morris(+0.5) who's not having it. Colson(+1) shoots inside the C as he goes by and tackles with help from Harrell(+0.5)'s dogged backside pursuit.
Drive Notes: End of Half. 23-0. Two plays in M's territory all half, both of them sacks.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun Wk Flex 4-2-5 Nk Split 1 off RPO   IZ/Bubble Jenkins 3 -0.30
The RR play. LG is holding Jenkins(+2, refs-1) but he fights through and trips up the RB. Nowhere else to go because Smith(+1) stood up a double.
O28 2nd 7 Gun Wk Flex 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 off Pass 6 Out Moten 10 1.42
Blitz is tipped by Sainristil's alignment (RPS-2, cov-2) and they have the quick answer since Moten is playing high. Not minusing him bc he funneled back to help, but if you're going to Ravens this the FS has to slam down on that harder.
O38 1st 10 Pistol Str 4-2-5 Nk Split 1 fld Run   Dart C Johnson 2 -0.52
Minter sends a corner blitz (RPS+1) and Johnson(+2) is able to redirect and trip the RB. Scary for a moment as Harrell(-1) got comboed through on the frontside. Barrett(+0.5) dodged the TE and Sainristil(+0.5) shoved the slot over the pile to clean that up but RB can fall forward. Bonus humor as Colson and Barrett lift the RB and carry him back to the LOS.
O40 2nd 8 Gun Str Flex 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 off Pass 4 Flash Screen Sainristil 2 -0.70
Tempo catches Nk and MLB not set (RPS-1) but Sainristil(+1, cov+1) still beats the TE to get an arm on the WR at the LOS and spin him back inside, where Paige(+2, tackling+1) flew down to end this.
O42 3rd 6 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Eagle AA   Pass 5 Sack Jenkins -1 -0.73
Another Amoeba sack (RPS+1). Morris(Cov+1) drops into the TE slant that's Millen's outlet and then Colson(+1, PR+2) is through the RB and Harrell(+0.5) is around at 8 and Millen needs to escape. Jenkins(+1, tackling+1) closes it down for the sack.
O41 4th 7 Gun Wk Demi 4-2-5 Nk Y-Stack 1 off Pass 6.5 Strip Six Harrell -41 -7.05
Lol. CSU wants to go tempo but refs+1 allow M to get set without a change. M shows a weird look with three defenders over the TE, which tips blitz and CSU gets into a six-man protection that picks up everybody but a delayed Colson, who first had to drop underneath a TE outlet. Sainristil(+1, Cov+3) is in the pocket of the H: nope. Moten(+1) has cut off the TE's post: nuh-uh. Next check is the square-in vs Turner(+3) which is covered too. By now it's too late anyways since Harrell(+3, PR+2) has the RT on the ground as Millen's coming off his first read, that guy kicks out his leg for an illegal trip (refs-1) as Millen's on read 2, and then Morris(+1) is in as well. Before Morris can get there, Harrell reaches out his arm while falling down and strips. Turner scoops it, breaks a tackle with helpful harassment provided by Sainristil, and takes it in for six.
Drive Notes: Defensive Touchdown. 30-0. 12 min 3rd Q. We are done with the serious stuff but sticking around to clip stuff for next year's preview.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Pistol 2TE 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 bdy Run   Dart C McGregor 10 0.84
CSU's running game is not diverse. Mullings(+1) hops past the LT and blows up the puller to set up a free hit for Moore if the edge holds. It doesn't, as McGregor(-1, tackling-1) is sliding instead of stopping, then trips over his feet. Sainristil(-1) is gets locked up with the other TE, who doesn't let go of Sainristil's shoulderpads (refs-1) so Mikey's running backwards dragging this dude as the RB turns the corner, turning a 5-yard gain into a 1st down.
O35 1st 10 Pistol 2TE 4-2-5 Nk Under 1 press Run   Inside Zone McGregor 6 0.40
Yeesh. McGregor(-2) blown out by a TE/T double. Not a -3 because he does keep them occupied so Colson(+1, tackling-1) can loop around and stop it with help from Moore(+0.5) who's down here playing 8 in the box (RPS+1). Colson lost a point of tacklin' for coming too high, allowing the RB to fall forward for 2.5 yards. Announcer bros are talking about lifting.
O41 2nd 4 Pistol Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 off Run   Dart C Harrell -1 -1.35
Finally see Michigan's "base" which is Jenkins at SDT, Smith NT, Graham at WDT, and Green in the nickel (Johnson is the other CB). Harrell(+1) does a much better job of setting an edge than McG. RT and TE trying a dart around Jenkins(+2) who chucks the TE then goes down at the T's feet, which trips up the C. Three guys for the price of one! Smith(+1) meanwhile has ripped out the LG's soul and feeds it to the RB. Graham(+1) did the same to the RT and arrives with Mazi. We then cut away from Bruce Feldman's #1 freak so RG3 can put himself on a list of combine freaks.
O40 3rd 5 Gun Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 fld Pass 5 Mesh (Sack) Jenkins -14 -0.80
M shows a blitz from Moore, CSU spots it and snaps before M can check out. Upshaw is dropping into a zone that takes away the 1st read and Mullings steps in front of the other crosser. At this point both of them leave the high and low crossers wide open but no cov minuses because they're just reacting to the chaos of the backfield. As to that: RG and C stay with Smith(+1, RPS+2) and Jenkins(+2, PR+3, tackling-1) takes advantage by immediately whipping the LG inside so badly that Harrell(+1)'s LT on skates is rubbed off. KJ misses the tackle but that's just more negative YAC as Graham(+1) and Moore have come through their guys for the finishing move.
Drive Notes: Punt. 30-0. 10 min 3rd Q. Shall we be done? No? Okay sickos to garbage time we go! Backups (including the CSU Ts) are in. RPS is off.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Pistol Wk 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 off Run   Dart C Goode 9 1.25
D-Mo(+2) Wormley's the TE and thunks the puller. Unfortunately Rolder(-1) hasn't read this and goes really fast outside while Goode(-2) got shoved a few yards downfield and is locked with his G, which impedes Colson. Kolesar(+1, tackling+1) shoots down to keep it from getting worse, losing a shoe in the process.
O34 2nd 1 Pistol Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 off Run   Inside Zone Rolder 4 -0.13
Rolder(-0.5) shows blitz and gets stuck at the LOS vs a T, holding up for a second but getting beack back. Goode(-1) is moved out by a double but Colson(+1) picks his way around it and stops this after it gets the 1st.
O38 1st 10 Gun Wk Demi 4-2-5 Nk Under 1 off Pass 4 Drag Sainristil 21 1.71
D-Mo(+1, PR+1) bull rushes the LT into the pocket but nobody else is close so Millen has time to find a shallow cross. Sainristil(-2, cov-2) got sucked back by the deep cross into the LB zones, and M rotated their safeties (RPS-x1) to the boundary so the WR gets to run for 21 yards.
M41 1st 10 Pistol Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 off Run   Dart C Harrell 5 0.09
Benny(+1) got into the LG and bends the pocket back. Harrell(-0.5) is holding up on the edge but lets the LT into Barrett and gets beaten inside when the puller arrives (He's not Hutchabo moment). Barrett(-1) should replace but got stuck on the LT. Also want Green(-1, tackling-1) to hammer down faster when his WR goes after Kolesar; instead he waits high then only gets an arm in to help.
M36 2nd 5 Pistol Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 fld Run   Inside Zone Colson 2 -0.49
Benny(-1) bent back by a combo that gets to Barrett(-0.5) but Graham(+0.5) stood up his side and Colson(+2, tackling+1) read it perfectly, shot in, and made the stop himself. Hello.
M34 3rd 3 Pistol Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 press Run   Split Stretch Graham 0 -1.01
We miss the start of this play because the announcers are obsessing over a guy in a red (Miami-NNTM) t-shirt more than anyone I've ever met in Michigan Stadium. That sucks because I think we missed a great get-off from Anoma(+1), who's four yards in the backfield as the QB gets the ball. It's also a weird play with a TE crossing backside while they PnP the rest. Planned? Mistake? Dunno. Anoma gets a hand to slow up the RB, Graham(+1) has his C in the backfield so the backside T runs into him freeing Graham except the C forgot he had his hand in Graham's sleeve and gets comically yanked down as his RB does. Also Barrett(+1, tackling+1) picked through the traffic and got into the RB's legs.
M34 4th 3 Pistol 2TE Z-Fly 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 off Play-action 5 Sack Smith -8 -4.79
Starters back in for this 4th down. Smith(+2, PR+3) goes full grizzly on this poor C, two-gapping him, removing a panicked holding hand to sack himself…okay with some Harrell(+1) running straight upfield through a TE. Graham(+0.5) got through and took a swat at the ball as Millen's going down. Colson(-2, cov-2) let a WR run free behind him so good thing the pass rush worked.
Drive Notes: Turnover on Downs. 37-0. 2:33 3rd Q. All backups after this.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Pistol Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Under 1 fld Run   Dart C Goode 4 -0.11
Goode(-0.5) stood up and moved back. Barrett(-1, tackling-1) took a good risk to shoot the gap but went in too tentatively and the RB escapes. That's saved by Mullings(+1) shucking a TE kickout, and taking on the puller (passively…he missed a +2 opportunity) but that creates enough of a backup that Goode can cross his guy and tackle as he goes by.
O29 2nd 6 Gun Wk Demi 4-2-5 Nk Over 0 off Pass 4 RB Flat Mullings 8 1.14
Perry in at Nk, CBs are Johnson and German. D-Mo drops, Barrett(+1) times his blitz well and is coming through to sack as Anoma(+1, PR+2) is around the LT at 7 and gets a hand on the QB's shoulderpad. Millen(Hat-1) impressively wiggles away and dumps it to the RB that Mullings(-2, cov-2) wasn't watching. Kolesar(+1) limits the damage by blasting his slot into the RB's path but it's enough to convert.
O37 1st 10 Pistol Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 off Run   Inside Zone Rooks 6 0.40
Anoma(+2) shucked his TE to the ground so this should be dead but Rooks(-2) got doubled and fell down, allowing the LT to capture Barrett and RB to hop into that gap. Goode(+1) let his doubler get to Mullings but then fought across the G's face to limit the damage.
O43 2nd 4 Pistol Wk 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 fld Run   Buck CT D.Moore 1 -0.98
D-Mo(+2) has a world of shit coming his way and Hutches it, standing up the RT in the way of everything. C gets hung up on that, and Barrett(+2, tackling) shot a gap behind a moved-out Goode(-1), thunked the 2nd puller, and made the tackle.
O44 3rd 3 Gun Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Split 1 bdy Pass 4 Snag Barrett 6 1.78
Both TEs stay to block and they get to run a pass play, finding the snag under a too-slow reaction from Barrett(-1, cov-1).
50 1st 10 Pistol 2TE 5-2-4 5-2 Split 2 off Run   Dart T Rolder 3 -0.39
Benny(+1) is getting blocked down so he shoves that guy back and has a shot at a +3 if he see the RB coming back to him--doesn't. Guy(+1) has the frontside edge cut off by bending the TE back until he falls on the next guy so this has to cut off the back of the guy Benny's now got one-hopping backwards. There Barrett(-1) got hung up on the backside T but Rolder(+1) took on a 325-pound dude and rocked him on his ass to end it for a minimal gain.
M47 2nd 7 Pistol Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Over 1 off Run   Counter Trey Welschof 11 1.22
Fall rumor was Juice(-3) is still learning Edge and yeah. Instead of plunking the kickout he meekly goes inside him. Barrett tries to fix by popping the TE but he's inside. German(+1, tackling+1) rescues this from a long gain by constricting the gap vs a WR kicking him and then getting the RB down.
M36 1st 10 Pistol Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 fld Run   Counter Trey Anoma 2 -0.28
Anoma(+2) does it right, shooting into and both-sides'ing the kickout so that the puller gets stuck on his butt. Rooks(+1) beats his blockdown back and Rolder(+0.5) beats the RT inside to stuff.
M34 2nd 8 Gun Str 4-2-5 Nk Split 1 fld Play-action 4 Fly Johnson 34 3.24
Welcome to college kid. M blitzes Q-Jo and drops D-Mo into a short zone. Anoma(+1, PR+1) is coming through and putting his hand over to bother but Johnson(-2,cov-2) has let the WR behind him and is beaten by an excellent throw and catch (yes Alex, he got his foot down).
Drive Notes: Touchdown. 44-7. 9 min 4th Q. CSU gets the ball back with 1:25 left down 51-7 so charting is over. Videos for next year's preview: Micah(+1) sticks through traffic. K.Jones(+1) sticks on the edge. Giudice(+1) in the wild .

So Harbaugh was right.

Listen, I'm very excited about the effectiveness of the edge panic vaccines but that doesn't mean…

Did Colorado State move the ball at all?

Well they tended to get to midfield then turn it over. Drives that weren't 100% back-benchers:

  • 2 plays and an interception.
  • 2 three-and-outs
  • 2 four-and-outs
  • 6-play, 27-yard opening drive.
  • 6-play, 20-yard drive with a strip-six on 4th & 7.
  • 9-play, 22-yard drive that got to midfield before the dink-megasack-scramble-4th & 7 sack sequence.
  • 7-play, 33-yard drive against backups ended on 4th & 3 when Mazi was reinserted and let loose.

More or less what you want to see against a tomato can. There was definitely a vibe, especially as the game went on, that Michigan was content to let the Rams roll on standard downs until they did something annoying like get to midfield, go for it on 4th down, go for it on 3rd down, pass the ball, or dress sorta like Michigan State. Most importantly, no toes were injured in the process.

How many passing plays did CSU have in this game?

Thirty-two.

And on how many of them did Michigan get pressure?

Let's see… I've got 19 pressures, 10 of them at +2 or more. Hence seven sacks.

So 59 percent of passes were interrupted, and a third of them majorly.

Yeah.

That is INSANE! Isn't that insane?

It's pretty high up there. I had a pressure total of +31 on 32 passing plays, for a ratio of 97%. The five best ratios from the Hutchinson era:

  1. 86% (+24 in 28 plays) at Wisconsin 2021
  2. 83% (+34 in 41 plays) vs Iowa in the BTC
  3. 71% (+39 in 55 plays) that time they beat Ohio State 42-27.
  4. 70% (+21 in 30 plays) at Minnesota 2020
  5. 68% (+23 in 34 plays) at Nebraska 2021

So Harbaugh was right: We replaced Hutchinson and Ojabo with an army of Hutchinsons and Ojabos. What other explanation is there?

Context. Jay Norvell's team is a redshirt freshman throwing his 3rd through 22nd career passes before more people than he's ever played in front of combined, behind an awful offensive line that's never played together. Someone has to be the worst player Michigan will face all season, and even with Hawai'i and UConn on the docket, that CSU right tackle is a good candidate. His hypothetical UFR score in this game was something like +0.5/-14.5, and that was a significant chunk of the Michigan edges' scores, especially Eyabi Anoma's.

You're throwing out numbers, could you organize them in some way?

Like a chart?

Like a chart.

Like a CHART! (snap data via)

Defensive Line
Player + - T Snaps Notes
Michael Morris 8.5 1.5 +7 28 Do the Wormley thing.
Jaylen Harrell 10.5 2.5 +8 23 Pass rush events mostly pushing that RT. Owned edge.
Taylor Upshaw 4 2 +2 12 Steady at the Upshaw line.
Braiden McGregor 6 5 +1 12 Hands are great, lower body strength way behind.
Derrick Moore 8 0 +8 9 Standing by my podcast take he's the dude by Ohio State.
Eyabi Anoma 9 0 +9 10 Blew up the endgame. Caveat: CSU backups
Julius Welschof 0 3 -3 3 Uff! Leg ihn zurück in den Ofen!
TJ Guy 1 0 +1 4 Just one play but good vibe with this one.
Kechaun Bennett 0 0 - 31 DNC
Mazi Smith 10.5 0 +10.5 22 Could have done more damage if he wanted. Unblockable.
Kris Jenkins 7 1 +6 15 Kept coming through but an edge was there first.
Mason Graham 6 0 +6 19 Powerful debut. Got his when the DTs weren't first at the bowl.
Rayshaun Benny 4.5 3 +1.5 12 Couple of fixable mistakes. Tracking towards excellent.
George Rooks 1 2.5 -1.5 9 Significant drop after the first four.
Cam Goode 1 4.5 -3.5 5 Fixes bad plays but beaten back too much.
Kenneth Grant 0 0 - 238 DNC
TOTAL 77 25 +52 238 Caveat: CSU could have the worst OL in FBS.
Linebacker
Player + - T Snaps Notes
Junior Colson 9.5 4.5 +5 45 Now runs 75% in the right direction.
Nikhai Hill-Green 0 0 - 0 DNP
Michael Barrett 7 4.5 +2.5 27 Good weapon on blitzes, still not a linebacker.
Kalel Mullings 3.5 6 -2.5 22 Early hiccups, settled in for some nice plays.
Micah Pollard 1 0 +1 4 One play, still small, but might have something here.
TOTAL 21 15 +6 98 Least opponent-variant; coming out positive is a good sign.
Secondary
Player + - T Snaps Notes
DJ Turner 7 1 +6 42 Avoided after he murdered a screen, still made an impact.
Mike Sainristil 6.5 3.5 +3 41 One drag route on him. Not quite Daxhillian but tough to edge.
Gemon Green 0 1 -1 37 Untested, unsalted.
Will Johnson 4 2 +2 22 Tested twice, beaten once.
German Green 1 0 +1 10 One very senior play
Kody Jones 1 0 +1 4 Two gutsy sticks late. I think we're gonna like him.
Rod Moore 6 0 +6 32 Pick was a gimme, made his presence felt in run game.
RJ Moten 2 2 - 32 One drag route on him, otherwise yawn.
Makari Paige 3 1 +2 31 Reminded me of a young Jarrod Wilson one time.
Caden Kolesar 2 0 +2 15 Kolesared his Glasgows like a Kovacs.
TOTAL 32.5 10.5 +22 296 Beat some screens, ran man till they heard sack noises.
Metrics
Pressure 33 2 +31 - Couldn't be blocked.
Coverage 7 13 -6 - CSU hit some out stuff. Few busts covered up by pressure.
Tackling 12 9 +3 - Millen could have been sacked more, just sayin'.
RPS 18 4 +14   Amoeba stuff covered 1st read, contributed to sack party.

Liked the chart.

I admit when it comes to recreating Hutchinson in the aggregate, this is in the ballpark of best-case scenarios. Like, nobody's going to call Mike Morris another Hutchinson, but he is out there making plays like Glen Steele after another Hutchinson:

#90 on the bottom of the formation

I was hoping we'd get maybe one non-Morris edge (NME) showing out. You have all of them except two old guys.

I do, but keep in mi—

No, no more caveats; do you have a favored NME or not?

Like a ranger, and maybe not the one you expect. Both Derrick Moore and Eyabi Anoma had similar scores on as many snaps, but I found Moore's play to be more translatable to tougher competition. The thing about true freshmen is they usually need to hit their final growth spurt with the filled out chest and the man strength. Moore is a year older than most of his class, has been in a college-ish weight program at St. Frances, and is a believable 270 already. When CSU ran Counter Trey at him he broke it.

#8 DE at the bottom

Those are long arms, and one of those long arms is holding the T he planted in the path of this run in place to deter a bounce. For the purposes of this year's defense, a good bull rush is the first thing I want to see, and Moore has the body, athleticism and strength to turn a 3-man rush into a throwaway.

Moore also didn't get out of his lane, seemed competent dropping into coverage a few times, and knew how to convert a spin move that got countered into a holding call. He's not a finished product, but it took Taco Charlton three years to look like that. I might be as wrong as the scout in the Moneyball flashbacks about this sort of thing but this is me watching every D-Mo snap:

Regardless of competition—and that's probably a big part of it—a +8 in 9 snaps in your first college game is something.

And yet Eyabi Anoma was incrementally better in your charting and had the more impressive THUNDERSACK.

Right, so the thing about that play is guy who supposed to be blocking him didn't know the play had started.

Slow it down and it's obvious this is on the center. The RG saw the snap and stood up but nobody else on CSU is out of his stance when the quarterback is already catching the ball.

That center was the right tackle for Nevada last year. The RT for CSU was a 6th year transfer who couldn't cracking the lineup at FIU. Another guy lost his job at Tulsa. For all of these guys we have to keep reminding ourselves it's a bad line. That said, Anoma also crushed a late Counter Trey.

#18 DE at the bottom

He's skinnier than Moore but showed some impressive get-off that we didn't see in last year's FCS playoffs and goes back to that 5-star ability. We didn't get to see an array of pass rush moves but like Moore those arms and quickness translate:

#18 second from the bottom of the formation

I didn't see him pass set.

As for the non-new guys, Jaylen Harrell started, abused the heck out of that right tackle, and looked stronger when holding the edge than he did last year, while remaining a pre-snap Swiss Army Knife, even if his role leans edge as much as Craig Roh's. The strip was more impressive on re-watch, because the RT he put on his ass got away with a trip and Harrell has to do this while swimming off the turf.

There were a couple of instances of Harrell getting pushed aside or pushed down—he doesn't have the new guys' athleticism. But Harrell's a player, and is probably going to hold those other dudes to smaller roles longer than you'd think given their relative upsides.

Braiden McGregor was in before the young guys I'm hype on, and was eventful. To the upside, he was giving that right tackle the business and did his part to indue the interception with a slap move that looks like it will work against anybody:

#17 coming from our left

…and a swim move he had to have learned from Hutchinson:

The legs still look skinny/not quite strong enough to pay off those wins with sacks. Then you remember he's a third year guy who spent 1.5 years rehabbing an exploded knee and it kinda makes sense that his hands are ahead of his feet.

Finally we have the old guys. Welschof moved from DT recently and tried to go back there when he was supposed to be holding the edge.

#96 at the bottom

If the FCS transfer who sat out two years and the true freshman are doing that better than the 5th year guy it's late, though in Juice's case it's not because he's got good excuses and a COVID year. Is that all of them?

Upshaw?



This post first appeared on Mgoblog, please read the originial post: here

Share the post

Upon Further Review 2022: Defense vs. Colorado State

×

Subscribe to Mgoblog

Get updates delivered right to your inbox!

Thank you for your subscription

×