NFL betting, NBA wagering, college basketball odds: who is the public betting on Sunday?
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NFL market report
Biggest bets in terms of Percentage of wagers: Chicago, Pittsburgh; Las Vegas UNDER
Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Pittsburgh, Chicago; LA Rams UNDER, Detroit OVER, San Francisco UNDER, Philadelphia UNDER
Largest line moves, opener to current: Pittsburgh +2.5 to -1, Buffalo -3.5 to -7
Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Carolina; Green Bay UNDER, Philadelphia UNDER
NBA market report
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Brooklyn
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Memphis; Oklahoma City OVER, Philadelphia UNDER
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Memphis; Philadelphia UNDER
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: LA Lakers -3 to -4.5
NCAAB market report
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: North Dakota State
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: North Dakota State
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Columbia
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Davidson -17.5 to -20.5
There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale.
The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets.
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