Season: 82-51-1
Last Week: 7-6
Redskins: 6-3
ATS: 13-23 (Last Week: 1-3)
Lock: 5-4

Oh, the horror of my picks ATS this year. Just a total disaster. Oddly enough, I still remain on a winning track with my lock of the week, which is a year to year trend. So give me one game per week to select ATS and I can help you out a bit. But this year, beyond that one game I have been a total dumpster fire. Probably no way to get to .500 at this point, so it's time to just try and save face and not set my own personal record for losses in a season.

Cleveland at Cincinnati: The Browns just completed a three game run against arguably the three worst teams in the NFL: Jags, Bucs, and Raiders (two of those games at home). They came out of that run at 2-1, which is acceptable, but they were fairly "eh" in the process and those results are giving me pause as to whether or not the Browns are really a contender at 5-3. So go ahead and color me a doubter. They can change that by going into The Jungle and beating the Bengals, who haven't lost at home in 14 games.

Bengals 24, Browns 17

Miami at Detroit: Extremely impressive win for the Dolphins last week; and it is a victory that could pay major dividends later this season when the playoff races are heating up and tie-breakers come in to play. I can't tell if the Dolphins are good or just playing well right now. Much like the Browns above, I'll use the Miami game at Detroit as a measuring stick. With a bye week under their belt and Megatron set to return, I like the Lions to win this one by more than a TD.

Lions 31, Dolphins 19

Dallas vs. Jacksonville (London): The Jags just signed on for another London "home" game in 2015 earlier this week. Dear NFL, sending your worst product overseas to build your global presence might not be the best marketing strategy. Although, if Brandon Weeden is at the helm for Dallas, the Jags have a fighting chance at Wembley.

Cowboys 30, Jaguars 23

Kansas City at Buffalo: This was the toughest game on the board for me; a total coin flip. Love the way the Chiefs have rebounded after their sluggish start, but not completely sold that their offense can hold up against the better defenses in the league. Good news for KC is that there really aren't any good defenses in the league anymore. A slight nod to the road team here.

Chiefs 23, Bills 20

San Francisco at New Orleans: My initial gut reaction to this game was that THIS will be the game where the Niners bust out and regain their form from the past three years. But at some point, you have to wonder if they are even capable of that anymore. Through 8 games the 49ers look every bit the mediocre team their 4-4 record indicates they are. New Orleans, on the other hand, seems to have fought through some early stumbles. Just can't go on blind faith that the "old" Niners will return this week or anytime soon.

Saints 28, 49ers 21

Pittsburgh at New York Jets: I've always felt Big Ben was underappreciated across the board when it comes to this era of QB's. Too often he has been labeled a "game manager" or "limited" when it was really more just a function of the team's style or limits of his supporting cast. Big Ben is, and always has been, a major playmaker. It's just that now with defenses flailing across the league and an influx of speed at his disposal, he is more readily able to show off those playmaking skills. Having said that, he isn't THIS good-- no one is. Twelve TD's in two weeks is stupid. I see a regression this week and a much uglier win in NY.

Steelers 22, Jets 21

Tennessee at Baltimore: What an awful spot for the Titans. The Ravens enter this game in desperation mode after two straight division losses on the road. I don't think Baltimore is anywhere near good enough to dictate a win or name their score or anything like that, but the Titans at home are a team they should handle with relative ease.

Ravens 27, Titans 13

Atlanta at Tampa Bay: Yeesh.

Bucs 27, Falcons 24

Denver at Oakland: Foxboro just hasn't been a friendly place for Peyton to visit over the years. Don't let the name fool you, The Black Hole, is much more welcoming to Hall of Fame QB's.

Broncos 37, Raiders 20

St. Louis at Arizona: Can't quite figure the Rams out. Two impressive wins over the Seahawks and 49ers, with a blowout loss to the Chiefs in between. They look very similar to the team they were last year-- a team that at the end of the year, people are saying "watch out for them next year." But then next year comes and it's the same story again.

Cardinals 20, Rams 16

New York Giants at Seattle: The Giants are a mess right now. The roster is flawed on both sides of the ball and injuries have taken their toll as well. Eli is having a decent year, but he doesn't make enough plays on his own to make up for his middling offensive line or lack of real threats on the outside or in the backfield. Defensively, they are dreadful against the pass. If the rebuild hasn't started yet in NY, it needs to.

Seahawks 29, Giants 17

Chicago at Green Bay: I'd say I have a sneaky suspicion that Jay Cutler and the Bears come up big in Lambeau this week, but I'd be lying.

Packers 35, Bears 27

Carolina at Philadelphia: You can do worse with your backup QB than Mark Sanchez. You can also probably do better. The beauty about the Eagles system of course is that if things are going well, the QB doesn't have to do much more than complete intermediate routes and hit open backs in the flat. The Panthers defense has taken a major step back this season, but I see them making things difficult on Sanchez. I'm also going to call for a pretty major upset here.

Panthers 25, Eagles 23

Against the Spread (lock listed first):

1. Lions (-2.5) vs. Dolphins
2. Panthers (+6) vs. Eagles
3. Bengals (-6.5) vs. Browns
4. Saints (-4.5) vs. 49ers