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North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh prediction, odds: 2022 college basketball picks, Dec. 30 bets by proven model


The No. 25 North Carolina Tar Heels aim to keep things rolling on Friday. Hubert Davis and the Tar Heels are on a four-game winning streak and visit the Pittsburgh Panthers for a matinee clash. UNC is 9-4 overall and 1-1 in ACC play this season, while Pittsburgh is 9-4 overall and 2-0 in ACC action. The Panthers are 6-1 at home and 8-1 in the last nine games overall as they welcome North Carolina to Petersen Events Center.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Tar Heels as 6-point road favorites for this noon ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 149.5 in the latest North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh odds. Before locking in any Pittsburgh vs. North Carolina picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.  

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 8 of the season 21-15 on all-top rated college basketball picks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.   

Now, the model has set its sights on UNC vs. Pitt and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Pitt vs. UNC:

  • North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh spread: UNC -6
  • North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh over/under: 149.5 points
  • North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh money line: UNC -260, Pitt +210
  • UNC: The Tar Heels are 4-8-1 against the spread this season
  • PITT: The Panthers are 9-3-1 against the spread this season
  • North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Why North Carolina can cover

The Tar Heels have a two-time All-ACC big man in Armando Bacot, who anchors things for the program. Bacot is averaging 18.2 points and 11.1 rebounds per game, shooting 56.6% from the field and operating with sky-high efficiency. He has scored 21 points or more in three of the last four games, and Bacot is the centerpiece of a top-15 offense in the country. 

On the defensive side, North Carolina is above-average in overall efficiency, and the Tar Heels rank in the top 30 of the country in free throw rate allowed. North Carolina is securing 73.7% of available defensive rebounds, with opponents shooting 47.4% on 2-point attempts. North Carolina is also blocking 9.7% of shot attempts, and Pittsburgh commits a turnover on nearly 20% of offensive possessions.

Why Pittsburgh can cover 

Pittsburgh has encouraging metrics on both ends of the floor. The Panthers are above-average in overall offensive efficiency, including a sparkling 34.4% offensive rebound rate. Pitt is shooting 53.1% inside the arc and 35.2% from 3-point range, with above-average free throw creation. North Carolina struggles to a turnover creation rate that ranks outside the top 300 of the country, and opponents are shooting 35.0% from 3-point range against the Tar Heels. 

On defense, Pittsburgh is holding the opposition to 28.9% from 3-point range and 48% inside the arc, with the Panthers producing a solid 72.7% defensive rebound rate. North Carolina also has a clear weakness in perimeter shooting with a 30.7% 3-point clip.

How to make Pittsburgh vs. UNC picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 145 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins UNC vs. Pitt? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 21-15 on its top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.

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North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh prediction, odds: 2022 college basketball picks, Dec. 30 bets by proven model

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