Pavel Kotov and Otto Virtanen will face off in the qualifications of the Stockholm Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Otto Virtanen who should win in 3 sets.
(image) As per the initial odds, Otto Virtanen is the pick to win this match.
Otto Virtanen -> 1.87
Pavel Kotov -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Otto Virtanen
This will be the 2nd time that Pavel Kotov and Otto Virtanen face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Virtanen (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Virtanen won 6-1 2-6 6-2 in the quarter in the Roanne Challenger back in 2022.
Pavel Kotov
38 - 30win/loss
103
85
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 38-30 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 2-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2019 | 35-29 | 7-5 | 19-16 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
Ranked no. 103, Kotov got to the qualifications after defeating Vitaliy Sachko 6-4 7-64.
In the qualifications, Kotov had a good straight sets win against Sachko (6-4 7-64). During the match, Kotov scored 87 points vs Sachko’s 75. Pavel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kotov scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Pavel Kotov was pretty efficient on Serve to win 73% (35/48) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Sachko twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Kotov has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (244-158). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Kotov has a composed79-43 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
Kotov’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Braunschweig Challenger.
Kotov has a composed 37-30 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Otto Virtanen
32 - 28win/loss
118
109
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 32-28 | 4-6 | 4-10 | 21-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-31 | 4-1 | 7-12 | 25-13 | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 40-21 | 2-2 | 16-11 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 21-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 4-4 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 118, Otto reached the qualifications after beating Damir Dzumhur 6-4 6-72 7-63.
In the qualifications, Virtanen defeated Dzumhur (6-4 6-72 7-63). During the match Virtanen scored 123 points vs Dzumhur’s 119. Otto was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, Virtanen made 9 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Otto Virtanen lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Virtanen put 50% of his first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (32/61) on the 2nd serve. Virtanen broke Dzumhur 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Lugano Challenger where he defeated Cem Ilkel in the final 6-4 7-6(5) and the Lille Challenger where he defeated Max Purcell in the final 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2.
Virtanen has a composed 32-27 win-loss record in 2023, 21-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 36 |
| Pts | 87-75 | 123-119 |
| Total Points | 162 | 242 |
| Winners | 35 | 42 |
| %Winners | 40% | 34% |
Both Kotov and Virtanen played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Otto Virtanen surrendered 1 set while Pavel Kotov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kotov has played 1 set(s) less than Virtanen (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kotov played 13 games less than Virtanen. The Russian scored 35 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Virtanen fired 42 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 9 |
| 1st in | 48/74 | 62/123 |
| %1st in | 65% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 35/48 | 42/62 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 32/61 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 52% |
Kotov recorded 1 ace . Virtanen also struck 9 aces . Kotov won 73% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/9 | 5/13 |
| % Converted | 22% | 38% |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Saved | 4 | 9 |
| % Saved | 80% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Russian broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. Pavel lost his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Otto broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Finn conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | |||
| Q1 Sachko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 87-75 | 87-75 | |
| Total points | 162 | 162 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 48/74 | 48/74 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 35/48 | 35/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/26 | 17/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/9 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 22% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Virtanen | |||
| Q1 Dzumhur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-72 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 36 | |
| pts | 123-119 | 123-119 | |
| Total points | 242 | 242 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 62/123 | 62/123 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 42/62 | 42/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 32/61 | 32/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
