Federico Coria and Mariano Navone will square off in the final of the Buenos Aires Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 3 sets.

(image) As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.66
Mariano Navone -> 2.16

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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Mariano Navone

This will be the 3^rd time that Federico Coria and Mariano Navone fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Coria and Navone (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Navone won 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the 1^st round in the Poznan Challenger back in June 2023.

Federico Coria

Ranked no. 83, the Argentine reached the final after beating Juan Pablo Ficovich 7-6⁴ 2-6 6-3, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 6-1 6-3, Jan Choinski 5-7 7-6³ 6-3 and Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Federico had a good straight sets win against Diaz Acosta (6-4 6-4). During the match, Coria scored 62 points vs Diaz Acosta’s 45. Federico was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Coria scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Federico Coria lost the Serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 74% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Diaz Acosta 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Argentine has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Coria has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (455-280). 31-15 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Coria has a composed 439-235 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Concepcion Challenger where he beat Timofey Skatov in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Szczecin Challenger where he defeated Vit Kopriva in the final 6-1 7-6(4).

Federico has an overall 34-24 win-loss record in 2023, 31-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger

Mariano Navone

Ranked no. 190, Navone got to the final after defeating Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco 6-2 6-2, Gastao Elias 3-6 6-4 7-6³, Franco Agamenone 6-3 6-2 and Luciano Darderi 2-6 6-4 7-5.

In the semifinal against Darderi, Mariano recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 7-5). During the match Navone scored 98 points vs Darderi’s 95. Mariano was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Navone wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Mariano Navone lost the serve 6 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Navone put 66% of his first serves in, winning 57% (30/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. Navone broke Darderi 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Navone has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Poznan Challenger where he defeated Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 7-5 6-3 and the Santa Fe Challenger where he defeated Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the final 6-2 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he defeated Francisco Comesana in the final 4-6 7-5 6-1.

Mariano has a composed 30-22 win-loss record in 2023, 30-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022 and 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Coria and Navone played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Federico Coria dropped 2 sets, while Mariano Navone surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Coria and Navone have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Coria played 5 games more than Navone. The Argentine scored 145 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine made 107 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Coria managed to score 9 aces (2.3 per match). Navone struck 5 aces (1.3 per match). Coria won 64% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Navone won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

The Argentine broke his opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Argentine lost his serve 15 times and he saved 42% of the break points that he conceded. Mariano broke his opponents 20 times with a 43% conversion rate. Navone conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 35% of the break points that he conceded.