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H2H, prediction of Mattia Bellucci vs Emilio Nava in Malaga Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 14th October 2023

Mattia Bellucci and Emilio Nava will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Malaga Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emilio Nava who should win in 3 sets.

(image) As per the initial odds, Emilio Nava is the pick to win this match.
Emilio Nava -> 1.88
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.88

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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Emilio Nava

This will be the 2nd time that Mattia Bellucci and Emilio Nava fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nava (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Nava won 4-6 6-1 7-5 in the 1st round in the St. Tropez Challenger back in September 2023.

Mattia Bellucci

Mattia Bellucci(image)
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30 - 31win/loss

Hard
19-17
I Hard
4-2
Clay
2-9
Grass
5-3
Rank
144
High
142
(image) WWWLWLWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 30-31 19-17 2-9 4-2 5-3 0-0
2022 66-23 30-4 25-12 11-7 0-0 0-0
2021 39-18 29-10 5-3 5-4 0-1 0-0
2020 15-6 13-3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2-1
2019 24-15 8-6 9-7 0-0 0-0 7-2
See all years

Ranked no. 144, Mattia reached the semifinal after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 4-6 6-3 6-2, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 7-60 and Andrea Vavassori 6-3 7-5.

In the quarter, Bellucci had a good straight sets win against Vavassori (6-3 7-5). During the match, Bellucci scored 71 points vs Vavassori’s 50. Bellucci was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bellucci fired 5 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Mattia Bellucci was very effective on Serve to win 83% (30/36) of his 1st serve and 88% (15/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bellucci broke Vavassori twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bellucci has lost 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Bellucci has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (181-98). 19-17 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has a compiled99-42 record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Cassis Challenger where he beat Tomas Machac in the final 6-3 6-4.

The Italian has a compiled 30-31 win-loss record in 2023, 19-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Malaga Challenger

Bellucci has never competed in this tournament before.

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Malaga Challenger
Bellucci's Record
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Emilio Nava

Emilio Nava(image)
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36 - 26win/loss

Hard
24-12
I Hard
0-6
Clay
12-8
Rank
162
High
154
(image) WWWLWLWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 36-26 24-12 12-8 0-6 0-0 0-0
2022 41-27 15-15 14-6 12-6 0-0 0-0
2021 40-16 9-6 27-7 4-3 0-0 0-0
2020 17-12 10-7 7-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 6-10 5-8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 162, Nava got to the semifinal after beating Raul Brancaccio 6-4 6-4, Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-3 7-64 and Alejandro Moro Canas 2-6 6-3 7-5.

In the quarter against Moro Canas, Emilio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-5). During the match Nava scored 92 points vs Moro Canas’s 90. Emilio was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Nava managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Emilio Nava lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nava put 67% of his first serves in, winning 59% (41/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the 2nd serve. Nava broke Moro Canas 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nava has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Modena Challenger where he overcame Titouan Droguet in the final 6-7(5) 7-6(6) 6-4.

Nava has a composed 36-26 win-loss record in 2023, 24-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Malaga Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.

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Malaga Challenger
Nava's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Bellucci
E.Nava
5h:56
5h:56
Time on court​
5h:25
5h:25
1h:33
1h:33
Last match​
!
2h:23
2h:23
3
3
Match played
3
3
70
70
Games Played​
71
71
7
7
Set played​​
7
7
246
246
Total points​
228
228
82
82
Avg point​
76
76
108
108
Winners
109
109
36
36
Avg Winners​
36.3
36.3
44%
44%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
28
28
4.7
4.7
Avg Aces
9.3
9.3
5
5
Double Faults
8
8
1.7
1.7
Avg Double Faults
2.7
2.7
108/132
108/132
1st won total​
109/153
109/153
!
82%
82%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
49/82
49/82
2nd won total​
43/79
43/79
60%
60%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
7/19
7/19
BP won
11/17
11/17
2.3/6.3
2.3/6.3
Avg BP won
3.7/5.7
3.7/5.7
37%
37%
Won
!
65%
65%
17
17
Conceded
21
21
5.7
5.7
Avg Conceded
7
7
2
2
Broken
8
8
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
2.7
2.7
15
15
Saved
13
13
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bellucci Nava
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 7
Tot Games 70 71
Pts 246-193 228-198
Total Points 439 426
Winners 108 109
%Winners 44% 48%

Both Bellucci and Nava played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mattia Bellucci lost 1 set, while Emilio Nava surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Bellucci and Nava have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Bellucci played 1 game less than Nava. Mattia scored 108 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Nava fired 109 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bellucci Nava
Aces 14 28
Avg per match 4.7 9.3
1st in 132/214 153/232
%1st in 62% 66%
1st pts 108/132 109/153
%1st pts 82% 71%
2nd pts 49/82 43/79
%2nd pts 60% 54%

Bellucci struck 14 aces (4.7 per match). Nava made 28 aces (9.3 per match). Bellucci won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nava won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bellucci Nava
Won 7 11
Converted 7/19 11/17
% Converted 37% 65%
Conceded 17 21
Saved 15 13
% Saved 88% 62%
Times Broken 2 8

The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Nava broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Nava conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Bellucci
R1
Carballes Baena
R2
Carreno-Busta
1/4
Vavassori
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-2 6-3 7-60 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 27 22 21 70
pts 100-85 75-58 71-50 246-193
Total points 185 133 121 439
Winners 44 34 30 108
%Winners 44% 45% 42% 44%
SERVE
Aces 5 4 5 14
Double Faults 3 2 0 5
1st in 51/91 45/70 36/53 132/214
% 1st in 56% 64% 68% 62%
1st pts 44/51 34/45 30/36 108/132
% 1st pts 86% 76% 83% 82%
2nd pts 16/40 18/25 15/17 49/82
% 2nd pts 40% 72% 88% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 1 2 7
Converted 4/12 1/2 2/5 7/19
Converted % 33% 50% 40% 37%
Conceded 14 1 2 17
Saved 12/14 1/1 2/2 15
Saved % 86% 100% 100% 95%
Times Broken 2 0 0 2
Nava
R1
Brancaccio
R2
Ramos-Vinolas
1/4
Moro
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-3 7-64 2-6 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 20 22 29 71
pts 60-51 76-57 92-90 228-198
Total points 111 133 182 426
Winners 25 43 41 109
%Winners 42% 57% 45% 48%
SERVE
Aces 6 14 8 28
Double Faults 1 4 3 8
1st in 34/59 50/70 69/103 153/232
% 1st in 58% 71% 67% 66%
1st pts 25/34 43/50 41/69 109/153
% 1st pts 74% 86% 59% 71%
2nd pts 14/25 10/20 19/34 43/79
% 2nd pts 56% 50% 56% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 2 5 11
Converted 4/5 2/3 5/9 11/17
Converted % 80% 67% 56% 65%
Conceded 5 5 11 21
Saved 3/5 4/5 6/11 13
Saved % 60% 80% 55% 65%
Times Broken 2 1 5 8


This post first appeared on Tennis News, please read the originial post: here

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H2H, prediction of Mattia Bellucci vs Emilio Nava in Malaga Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 14th October 2023

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