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H2H, prediction of Elena Rybakina vs Liudmila Samsonova in Montreal with odds, preview, pick | 12th August 2023

Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova will play each other in the semifinal of the Omnium Banque Nationale for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on Court Central. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.

(image) As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.72
Liudmila Samsonova -> 2.12

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Liudmila Samsonova

This will be the 3rd time that Elena Rybakina and Liudmila Samsonova fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Samsonova won 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in Tokyo back in 2022.

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina(image)
(image)

40 - 9win/loss

Hard
24-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-2
Grass
5-2
Rank
4
High
3
(image) WWWLWWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 40-9 24-5 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0
2019 57-21 19-9 15-6 16-4 7-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the semifinal after defeating Jennifer Brady 6-73 7-65 6-3, Sloane Stephens 6-3 6-3 and Daria Kasatkina 5-7 7-5 7-68.

In the quarter against Kasatkina, Rybakina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 7-68).During the match, Rybakina scored less points (3) than Kasatkina. In fact, the world no. 4 won 144 points vs Kasatkina’s. That means that Rybakina was more focused during the important points. The Kazakhstani was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rybakina managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 10 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 56% of her first serves in, winning 62% (53/86) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (22/67) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Kasatkina 10 times after converting 42% of her break points (10/24).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rybakina has lost 2 set in this competition to win 52% of the points she played.

Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (282-126). 24-5 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an aggregate120-60 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Indian Wells where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-6(11) 6-4 and in Rome where she beat Anhelina Kalinina in the final 6-4 1-0 ret..

The Kazakhstani has a composed 40-9 win-loss record in 2023, 24-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

(image)
Montreal
Rybakina's Record
(image)

Liudmila Samsonova

Liudmila Samsonova(image)
(image)

23 - 17win/loss

Hard
15-9
I Hard
0-0
Clay
4-4
Grass
4-4
Rank
18
High
12
(image) WWWWLWWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 23-17 15-9 4-4 0-0 4-4 0-0
2022 30-17 26-10 3-4 0-0 1-3 0-0
2021 39-22 15-9 6-9 8-3 10-1 0-0
2020 20-12 10-6 4-4 6-2 0-0 0-0
2019 32-28 8-9 10-10 9-6 5-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 18, the Russian got to the semifinal after defeating Katerina Siniakova 4-6 6-2 6-3, Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-2, Aryna Sabalenka 7-62 4-6 6-3 and Belinda Bencic 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, Ludmilla had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-4 6-4). During the match Samsonova scored 75 points vs Bencic’s 70. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Samsonova bagged 8 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 49% of her first serves in, winning 83% (29/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (17/37) on the 2nd serve. Ludmilla broke Bencic twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ludmilla has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Ludmilla’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Abu Dhabi.

Ludmilla has an aggregate 23-17 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Toronto

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.

(image)
Montreal
Samsonova's Record
(image)
(image)
(image)

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Rybakina
L.Samsonova
7h:23
7h:23
Time on court​
8h:06
8h:06
!
3h:27
3h:27
Last match​
1h:49
1h:49
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
90
90
Games Played​
96
96
8
8
Set played​​
10
10
318
318
Total points​
341
341
106
106
Avg point​
85.3
85.3
118
118
Winners
130
130
39.3
39.3
Avg Winners​
32.5
32.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
21
21
Aces
25
25
7
7
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
15
15
Double Faults
26
26
5
5
Avg Double Faults
!
6.5
6.5
118/173
118/173
1st won total​
130/171
130/171
68%
68%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
61/138
61/138
2nd won total​
80/160
80/160
44%
44%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
18/41
18/41
BP won
14/26
14/26
6/13.7
6/13.7
Avg BP won
3.5/6.5
3.5/6.5
44%
44%
Won
!
54%
54%
29
29
Conceded
29
29
9.7
9.7
Avg Conceded
7.3
7.3
14
14
Broken
6
6
!
4.7
4.7
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
15
15
Saved
23
23
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rybakina Samsonova
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 8 10
Tot Games 90 96
Pts 318-295 341-298
Total Points 613 639
Winners 118 130
%Winners 37% 38%

Rybakina played 3 matches while Samsonova competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina conceded 2 sets, while Liudmila Samsonova dropped 2 sets. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Samsonova (8 vs 10). Therefore, Rybakina played 6 games less than Samsonova. The Kazakhstani scored 118 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Ludmilla bagged 130 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rybakina Samsonova
Aces 21 25
Avg per match 7 6.3
1st in 173/311 171/331
%1st in 56% 52%
1st pts 118/173 130/171
%1st pts 68% 76%
2nd pts 61/138 80/160
%2nd pts 44% 50%

Rybakina managed to score 21 aces (7 per match). Samsonova recorded 25 aces (6.3 per match). Rybakina won 68% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rybakina Samsonova
Won 18 14
Converted 18/41 14/26
% Converted 44% 54%
Conceded 29 29
Saved 15 23
% Saved 52% 79%
Times Broken 14 6

Rybakina broke her opponents 18 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost her serve 14 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded. Ludmilla broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Samsonova conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
R2
Brady
R3
Stephens
1/4
Kasatkina
Total
Score 6-73 7-65 6-3 6-3 6-3 5-7 7-5 7-68
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 35 18 37 90
pts 116-106 58-42 144-147 318-295
Total points 222 100 291 613
Winners 48 17 53 118
%Winners 41% 29% 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 12 2 7 21
Double Faults 5 3 7 15
1st in 63/109 24/49 86/153 173/311
% 1st in 58% 49% 56% 56%
1st pts 48/63 17/24 53/86 118/173
% 1st pts 76% 71% 62% 68%
2nd pts 24/46 15/25 22/67 61/138
% 2nd pts 52% 60% 33% 44%
Breaks
Won 3 5 10 18
Converted 3/7 5/10 10/24 18/41
Converted % 43% 50% 42% 44%
Conceded 5 3 21 29
Saved 3/5 1/3 11/21 15
Saved % 60% 33% 52% 48%
Times Broken 2 2 10 14
Samsonova
R1
Siniakova
R2
Zheng
R3
Sabalenka
1/4
Bencic
Total
Score 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-2 7-62 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 2 10
Tot Games 27 17 32 20 96
pts 91-78 60-42 115-108 75-70 341-298
Total points 169 102 223 145 639
Winners 36 19 46 29 130
%Winners 40% 32% 40% 39% 38%
SERVE
Aces 6 3 8 8 25
Double Faults 7 4 9 6 26
1st in 52/91 25/44 59/124 35/72 171/331
% 1st in 57% 57% 48% 49% 52%
1st pts 36/52 19/25 46/59 29/35 130/171
% 1st pts 69% 76% 78% 83% 76%
2nd pts 20/39 11/19 32/65 17/37 80/160
% 2nd pts 51% 58% 49% 46% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 5 2 2 14
Converted 5/8 5/7 2/6 2/5 14/26
Converted % 63% 71% 33% 40% 54%
Conceded 10 1 13 5 29
Saved 7/10 0/1 11/13 5/5 23
Saved % 70% 0% 85% 100% 85%
Times Broken 3 1 2 0 6


This post first appeared on Tennis News, please read the originial post: here

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H2H, prediction of Elena Rybakina vs Liudmila Samsonova in Montreal with odds, preview, pick | 12th August 2023

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