Matteo Arnaldi and Marko Topo will face off in the 2nd round of the Heilbronn Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.
(image) As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.23
Marko Topo -> 3.84
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Marko Topo
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Marko Topo since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
25 - 15win/loss
106
99
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 25-15 | 10-9 | 15-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
2019 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, Arnaldi got to the 2nd round after beating Norbert Gombos 7-5 6-3.
In the 1st round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Gombos (7-5 6-3). During the match, Arnaldi scored 69 points vs Gombos’s 54. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaldi bagged 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the Serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 58% of his first serves in, winning 78% (28/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Arnaldi broke Gombos 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Arnaldi has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (161-97). 15-5 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has an aggregate107-53 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4).
The Italian has an overall 25-15 win-loss record in 2023, 15-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Heilbronn Challenger
Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.
Marko Topo
15 - 9win/loss
378
378
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 15-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 26-28 | 8-6 | 12-13 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
2021 | 4-5 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2020 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 378 (career-high), Topo reached the 2nd round after defeating Oleksii Krutykh 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Krutykh (6-4 6-4). During the match Topo scored 73 points vs Krutykh’s 65. The Serbian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Topo bagged 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Marko Topo was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Serbian broke Krutykh twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Marko’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Kursumlijska Banja and M25 Kursumlijska Banja.
Marko has an aggregate 15-9 win-loss record in 2023, 15-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Arnaldi | Topo |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 21 | 20 |
Pts | 69-54 | 73-65 |
Total Points | 123 | 138 |
Winners | 28 | 23 |
%Winners | 41% | 32% |
Both Arnaldi and Topo played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Topo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Arnaldi played 1 game more than Topo. Arnaldi scored 28 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Serbian fired 23 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Arnaldi | Topo |
---|---|---|
Aces | 8 | 6 |
Avg per match | 8 | 6 |
1st in | 36/62 | 27/65 |
%1st in | 58% | 42% |
1st pts | 28/36 | 23/27 |
%1st pts | 78% | 85% |
2nd pts | 13/26 | 22/38 |
%2nd pts | 50% | 58% |
Arnaldi recorded 8 aces . Topo blasted 6 aces . Arnaldi won 78% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Topo won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Arnaldi | Topo |
---|---|---|
Won | 4 | 2 |
Converted | 4/7 | 2/10 |
% Converted | 57% | 20% |
Conceded | 4 | 5 |
Saved | 2 | 5 |
% Saved | 50% | 100% |
Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Matteo dropped his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Topo broke his opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. The Serbian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
Arnaldi | |||
R1 Gombos |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
pts | 69-54 | 69-54 | |
Total points | 123 | 123 | |
Winners | 28 | 28 | |
%Winners | 41% | 41% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 8 | 8 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 36/62 | 36/62 | |
% 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
1st pts | 28/36 | 28/36 | |
% 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
2nd pts | 13/26 | 13/26 | |
% 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 4 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Topo | |||
R1 Krutykh |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
pts | 73-65 | 73-65 | |
Total points | 138 | 138 | |
Winners | 23 | 23 | |
%Winners | 32% | 32% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 6 | 6 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 27/65 | 27/65 | |
% 1st in | 42% | 42% | |
1st pts | 23/27 | 23/27 | |
% 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
2nd pts | 22/38 | 22/38 | |
% 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/10 | 2/10 | |
Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |