Jessica Pegula and Martina Trevisan will clash against each other in the final of the United Cup for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Ken Rosewall Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

(image) As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.171
Martina Trevisan -> 5.05

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Martina Trevisan

There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Martina Trevisan since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Jessica Pegula

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Pegula reached the final after defeating Laura Siegemund 6-3 6-2, Harriet Dart 6-2 6-0 and Iga Swiatek 6-2 6-2.

In the semifinal, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-2 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 61 points vs Swiatek’s 33. Pegula was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Pegula made 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jessica Pegula lost the Serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 55% of her first serves in, winning 83% (24/29) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Swiatek 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 64% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (243-149). 3-1 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a compiled 144-79 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Pegula’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Australia.

Jessica has an overall 3-1 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Australia

Pegula has never competed in this tournament before.

Martina Trevisan

Ranked no. 27, the Italian got to the final after defeating Malene Helgo 7-5 3-6 6-4 and Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-7⁴ 7-5.

In the semifinal, Trevisan defeated Sakkari (6-3 6-7⁴ 7-5). During the match Trevisan scored 112 points vs Sakkari’s 104. Martina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about serving, Trevisan scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Martina Trevisan lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Trevisan put 68% of her first serves in, winning 67% (50/75) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Sakkari 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Trevisan’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Australia.

Trevisan has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Australia

Martina has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Pegula played 3 matches while Trevisan competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Martina Trevisan dropped 2 sets while Jessica Pegula hasn’t dropped a set so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Trevisan have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Pegula played 18 games less than Trevisan. The American scored 60 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Martina recorded 95 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Pegula struck 3 aces (1 per match). Trevisan recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Pegula won 80% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Trevisan won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

The American broke her opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. Pegula surrendered her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Trevisan broke her opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Martina conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.