Federico Gaio and Mario Vilella Martinez will square off in the final of the Todi Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:30 pm on CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mario Vilella Martinez who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mario Vilella Martinez is the pick to win this match.
Mario Vilella Martinez -> 1.66
Federico Gaio -> 2.10

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Prediction and head to head Federico Gaio vs. Mario Vilella Martinez

There is no head to head record between Federico Gaio and Mario Vilella Martinez since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Federico Gaio

Ranked no. 151, Gaio reached the final after beating Viktor Galovic 6-3 6-2, Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-7¹ 6-1 7-6², Flavio Cobolli 7-5 6-4 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-2 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Martin Etcheverry (6-2 6-2). During the match, Gaio scored 62 points vs Martin Etcheverry’s 35. Federico was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gaio scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Federico Gaio was extremely efficient on serve to win 91% (20/22) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Gaio broke Martin Etcheverry 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Gaio has a favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (372-291). 11-11 on clay in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gaio has a composed 265-183 record in the last years on clay.

Federico’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Biella 1 Challenger and the Todi Challenger.

Federico has an overall 26-23 win-loss record in 2021, 11-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Todi Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history.

Mario Vilella Martinez

Ranked no. 178, Vilella Martinez got to the final after beating Tristan Lamasine 6-2 7-6⁴, Francesco Forti 6-3 6-1, Giulio Zeppieri 6-3 6-3 and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 7-6⁴ 3-6 6-1.

In the semifinal, The Spaniard defeated Pucinelli De Almeida (7-6⁴ 3-6 6-1). During the match Vilella Martinez scored 100 points vs Pucinelli De Almeida’s 87. Mario was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Vilella Martinez made 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Mario Vilella Martinez lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Vilella Martinez put 57% of his first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the 2nd serve. Vilella Martinez broke Pucinelli De Almeida 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Mario’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Marbella Challenger and the Todi Challenger.

Mario has a compiled 21-14 win-loss record in 2021, 16-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Todi Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2020. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Gaio and Vilella Martinez played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Federico Gaio lost 1 set, while Mario Vilella Martinez dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Gaio and Vilella Martinez have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Gaio played 4 games more than Vilella Martinez. Gaio scored 128 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Mario bagged 105 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Gaio recorded 13 aces (3.3 per match). Vilella Martinez scored 16 aces (4 per match). Gaio won 77% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Vilella Martinez won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

The Italian broke his opponents 18 times with a 45% conversion rate. Federico dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 17 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.