New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Overview

• Date: April 13, 2024
• Venue: Progressive Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Clarke Schmidt - Yankees
  • Carlos Carrasco - Guardians
• Run Line: Yankees -1.5 (+120), Guardians +1.5 (-142)
• Money Line: Yankees -142, Guardians +120
• Total (Over/Under): 8.5

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• New York Yankees - 58.68%
• Cleveland Guardians - 45.45%

Projected Win %:

• New York Yankees - 52.12%
• Cleveland Guardians - 47.88%

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Game Preview & Prediction

In an American League matchup scheduled for April 13, 2024, the Cleveland Guardians will host the New York Yankees at Progressive Field in the first game of their double-header. This game serves as the second game of a double-header between the two teams, with the possibility of some players resting after the first game.

The Guardians have been having a great season so far, boasting a record of 9-3. Their offense ranks as the 12th best in MLB, with an average team batting average of .300. However, they have struggled in the power department, ranking last in team home runs. Despite this, their bullpen is considered the 12th best in the league according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings.

The Yankees, with a record of 10-3, are also enjoying a successful season. Their offense ranks as the 11th best in MLB, but they have displayed power with the 8th most home runs. Their bullpen is particularly strong, ranking as the 4th best in MLB.

On the mound, the Guardians are projected to start Carolos Carrasco in the first game of this double-header, while the Yankees are set to send Clarke Schmidt to the mound.

In their last games, the Guardians and the Yankees played against undisclosed opponents. The Guardians' best hitter over the last seven games has been Josh Naylor, recording 6 hits, 4 runs, 4 RBIs, and 2 home runs with a batting average of .462 and an OPS of 1.588. The Yankees' standout hitter over the same period has been Giancarlo Stanton, tallying 8 hits, 5 runs, 7 RBIs, and 3 home runs with a batting average of .421 and an OPS of 1.450.

With the Guardians having a strong season and the Yankees displaying offensive firepower, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Anthony Rizzo is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.

• Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.

Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Cleveland Guardians:

Jose Ramirez is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#3-worst of the day).

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Projected catcher Austin Hedges projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction: Yankees 4.52 - Guardians 4.09

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