Senators vs Lightning Over 6.5 (-115)

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Senators +170

Lightning -205

The Lightning are prolific offensively but horrific defensively, which is a great recipe for an over.
Tampa Bay has gone over the total in 57% of their home games this season.

The Ottawa Senators will face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning on April 11, 2024 at 7:00 pm ET. DraftKings Sportsbook has the Senators as +170 underdogs, while the Lightning are favored at -205. Currently, 20% of moneyline bets are on the Senators, with 80% on the Lightning. The opening total of 6.5 has seen no significant preference from bettors on the under or over.

As for our best bet for this contest, we will take the over between Ottawa and Tampa Bay. The Lightning still have a slim chance of moving up from fourth place to third place in the Atlantic Division standings, which could be beneficial going into the postseason. But rather than back them to get a win that they could really use, the total is a better play in this spot.

The reason the over is the best play for this contest is the fact that the Lightning are explosive offensively but unimpressive defensively. Tampa has scored 279 goals as a team this season, which ranks second in the Eastern Conference. But they have allowed 256 goals, which is the worst number of any playoff-bound team in the Eastern Conference this season. Look for Ottawa to get some scoring chances and for Tampa to do plenty of scoring of their own to help this over hit on Thursday night.

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NHL picks here.

NHL

Apr 11, 2024 07:00 PM

Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+170

-205

17% OTT

TB 83%

Total Pick Consensus

6.5/-105

6.5/-115

33% UN

OV 67%

Puckline Pick Consensus

+1.5/-135

-1.5/+114

49% OTT

TB 51%

Team Records

OTT	Team Records	TB
34-40-4	Overall	44-27-7
3-0	Shootout	3-0
7-4	Overtime	5-7
20-18-2	Home	24-10-4
14-22-2	Road	20-17-3
24-20-2	EAS	25-17-4
10-20-2	WES	19-10-3
12-9-2	ATL	11-8-4
12-11-0	MET	14-9-0
5-10-1	CEN	8-7-1
5-10-1	PAC	11-3-2
12-10-4	≤1	11-3-7
15-18-0	≥3	21-13-0
4-4-0	Oct	4-2-3
4-5-0	Nov	6-7-2
6-9-0	Dec	8-6-0
6-7-2	Jan	9-3-0
5-4-1	Feb	5-6-1
8-7-1	Mar	9-1-1
1-4-0	Apr	3-2-0

Team Stats

OTT	Team Stats	TB
241	Goals For	276
270	Goals Agst	253
3.45	PP For GM	3.03
.62	PP Goals GM	.90
17.84	PP%	29.66
2.97	PP Agst GM	2.85
.76	PP Agst Goals GM	.49
74.57	PK%	82.88
10.6	PIM GM	11.0
11.1	oPIM GM	11.2

Goalies

J. Korpisalo		A. Vasilevskiy
53	GP	50
47	GS	50
20-25-4	W-L-T/O	30-18-2
160	Goals Allowed	140
3.25	GAA	2.85
1464	Shots Against	1409
.891	SV%	.901
0	SO	2
22	Quality Starts	23
.468	QS%	.460
10	Bad Starts	9
113	Goals All.%	103
-18.84	Goals Sv Above Avg	-4.14

Recent Starts

Date	Opp	W/L	GA	SA	SV	SV%
3/22/22 PIT	Jarry ML N/A	L1-5 TOTAL N/A	5	37	32	.865
3/19/22 STL	Husso ML N/A	W5-4 TOTAL N/A	2	21	19	.905