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James Harden Prop Projections & Best Bet – Points For 3/31/24

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+114/-155).

Pros

  • James Harden has played 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
  • The Clippers check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden places in the 95th percentile for foul shots made, compiling a monstrous 4.2 per game this year.

Cons

  • Relative to last year’s 20.9 clip, James Harden’s points per game have fallen this year to 17.0.
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 11.3 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, creating a tough matchup.
  • The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
  • The LA Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 4thworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

 
  Prop Projection: James Harden is projected for 16.3 Points



This post first appeared on ATS.io - Against The Spread Sports Picks, please read the originial post: here

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James Harden Prop Projections & Best Bet – Points For 3/31/24

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