WEEKEND WARRIOR STAKES ANALYSIS NOVEMBER 12
By John Pricci
Exclusively for 123bet.com
AQUEDUCT
Grade 3 RED SMITH HANDICAP | 3&UP | 1-3/8 Miles - TURF
A dozen runners were entered overnight but it wasn’t long before it became apparent the marathon would boil down to three prime contenders trained by three grass masters.
Chad Brown saddles 8-5 early line favorite 8-Wake Forest, short odds by virtue of the fact he exits five straight Grade 1s—yes, this is much easier—and he’s 1-for-1 at the trip. While he might not be course or distance compromised, a slow pace could make it difficult. However, Javier’s good at adapting to that kind of thing...
Two with upset potential are 7-Messi (5-1) and 11-Danish Dynaformer (5-1).
Messi is on a bounce-rebound pattern, off a lowly rated effort, however—and is laudably versatile; racing on the pace or from off of it. Reuniting with winning rider Edgar Prado, Graham Motion is profitable in graded stakes. Recent works at Fair Hill base very sharp.
Four-year-old Danish Dynaformer, developing nicely for Roger Attfield, has been up against it lately vs. Grade 1 rivals in last two. He does own a win at this level going 12 furlongs so distance a non-issue here. Anytime this barn reaches out for Johnny in New York, you can wager the horse is live.
Most Probable Winner: Wake Forest
Value Players: Danish Dynaformer or Messi
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