1 game Tonight in the NFL:
69% of the betting is on the home favorite with the line moving from -9-105 to -7.5+102. Models favor slightly Green Bay, Variables slightly favor the bears. Public Betting favors the Bears. I wanted to find a reason to either bet the bears tonight or at least put them in as a Hilton contest play. But my two strongest models favor the bears. One of them by quite a bit. In addition, I have some alternatives on Sunday so I am going to forgo this game. If my models were not as strong for Green Bay I would be betting the game. So tonights game is a pass for me.
Thursday turned out to be another busy day with 2 one unit plays and 2 1/2 unit plays. In MLB Cleveland +162 won 3-0 and the Dodger -104 lost 2-10. Both were 1 unit plays.
In the NBA Milwaukee +4 won 111-103 and the lakers +10 lost 112-123.
So far we have 3 one unit plays pending.
Going into week 7 of the NFL I am sitting at 8-3 for one unit sides and 19-11 in the Hilton Super Contest sitting at around 62nd out of 1900 participants.
In College football, I have recovered from a 0-5 weekend and now sit at 13-12-1.
I don’t like to say this but for a chance, the first 3 games looked pretty clear to me as opposed to 1 the last two weeks. Might be an ominous sign:)
I am going to cut this short as I have to finish up on the NHL tonight.
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
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