Trends Forecast:
The Great Asian-Pacific Demographic Shift - Year 2045-2070
High Likelihood of Hot War
California – Seeks further ties, union, or customary exchange with The Peoples Republic of ___, Year 2035 +/-
Critical Relationship – Abandonment is Economically/Politically Untenable
Mandarin as Second Official State Language
Mandatory in Schools, Spoken in Legislature
North Korea enters Top 30 Richest Countries - Reserve Accounts, not G.D.P.
Black Swan Possibilities:
American Division of States from the Union
2-5 Countries form, various representations of the previous Great Republic
Federal Protectionism of Federal Assets & Facilities
'The Great Hack' – Project Dragon + Crime Inc.
Monitoring:
Seoul, South Korea, and Akon City, Senegal
France/Europe in Energy Decay Unison - Impossible Coincidence.
France claims maintenance of almost all domestic reactors during Euro energy crisis - still unfolding
California - Succession Talks/Threats
Northern California Tensions with South-Central
Texas/Others – Succession Talks/Threats
Election Integrity Breakdowns
Real or Perceived
Administration Concerned
Whistleblower revealing Co-int3l Program @Twitter/Media
@Asky - Human Disinfo Interventions - Circa 2007 and before
Parallel Economies of Scale
Built around Ideological Identities and Dividing Regional Lines
Eg: Social Media - Truth Social, G.E.T.T.R., Rumble
Eg: Regional – N.Y.C./California Corporate Exodus to Florida/Texas Region
Eastern Oregon Petitions for 'Greater Idaho'
Disclaimer: The information presented in this Discussion Paper is publicly available content. Nothing within this document was obtained from restricted,
classified, or non-public resources or information.
I am not an insider. I do not have special knowledge.
This information is my personal research and is intended to facilitate Policy Discussions among the public for the purposes of seeking better solutions to our problems.
Nothing within this document should be construed as expertise.
This document was created for speculative and entertainment purposes only.
Without Prejudice, within and in entirety.
Reader Note:
This type of document may be well outside your personal reading preferences. I am entirely aware of that, and I would like to state I don't intend for these policy discussion papers to become a norm.
Please feel free to disregard this document, and thank you for your interest and support. Current publishing schedule - M/W/F
"You never know whose watching, so speak to all audiences."
Connect: This document was written and edited to the tune of: "Believer - Imagine Dragons" on loop
Policy Discussion Paper
Americas Continental Energy Producers Public-Private Partnership
A.C.E.P.P.
North, South, and Central –
A Continental America Forward Strategy for Energy & Ecological Security
"A Unified Response to Foreign Exploitative Interference"
(Draft-Incomplete)
Continental Issues A.C.E.P.P. is Seeking to Solve
Border Security and Migrant Crisis
Energy Security and Supply Stability
Resolve or Limit Foreign Threats (F.A.S.T.)
Stability in Currency Reserves and Trade Accounts
Ecological Protections for Lands and Oceans
Investment/Job Creation and Preservation
Preservation of State/Provincial Mineral Rights
Federal Political Interference Limitations
Private Capital and Investment Protections
Preservation of Individual National Sovereignty
Continental Model of Resource Management and Trade
Fair and Local Disputes Resolution
Improve Diplomatic Relations of the Whole Americas
Non-Military Strategic Economic Interventions and Incentives
Program Requirements:
Intergovernmental and Private Partnership under A.C.E.P.P. Signatories,
Strategic Oil/Gas Reserve Requirements,
Critical Infrastructure Protection Requirements,
Ecological Requirements,
Facilitation of Access Rights,
Denationalization of Related Infrastructure.
Benefits:
Guaranteed Buying Pool – Buyer of Last Resort,
Access Rights for Transport and Shipping through Member Countries,
Crisis Network Protection,
Shared Technology & Industry Best Practices (Where Possible),
Tariff Exclusions,
Ecological Protection and Best Practices for Oceans and Continental Lands,
International/Intercontinental Market Access and Development,
Continental Energy Security, Supply and Price Stabilization,
American Energy Independence for All of Continental America,
Global Model Established for Africa, Europe, Asia-Pacific.
What is OP3C? (Trying to Avoid Indexing - Sorry)
OP3C – Organization of the P3trol3um 3xporting Countri3s. Founded in 1960, OP3C represents some of the world's largest Oil and Gas producers, joined together as a council of 13 Nations, namely:
Algeria – North Africa
Angola – Southern Africa
Republic of the Congo – Central Africa
Equatorial Guinea – Central Africa
Gabon – Central Africa
Iran – Middle East (Founding Member)
Iraq – Middle East (Founding Member)
Kuwait – Middle East (Founding Member)
Libya – North Africa
Nigeria – West Africa
Saudi Arabia – Middle East (Founding Member)
United Arab Emirates – Middle East
Venezuela – South America (Founding Member)
OP3C and OP3C+// Source
Further, a coalition of nations has formed in the intermittent years to form what has been called OP3C+. This coalition, though not officially recognized by OP3C, follows the direction of OP3C Nations in Production Cuts or Excessive Production to further control Oil Prices and manipulate markets. These nations are:
Azerbaijan
Bahrain
Brunei
Kazakhstan
Malaysia
Mexico
Oman
Philippines
Russia
South Sudan
Sudan (Who has recently applied for OP3C membership)
Why it Matters:
Oil Price and Production Stability. OP3C directly manages (approximately) 44% of Global Oil Production, with a further ____ % from OP3C+, bringing the total global oil production to ______%.
Continental America's current production total: _____%
Continental America's current production needs:_____%
Regional Data:
Currently, Brazil is one of the largest South American oil producers, having recently bypassed Venezuela due to severe internal depreciation of state-owned oil facilities and processes. Further, multiple South American Countries are in the process of exploring both off-shore and territorial oil reserves. Where reserves are proven, a massive opportunity exists for those small, underdeveloped regions while presenting unique ecological, regional, and foreign adversary risks to the US, Canada, Brazil+ Energy, and National/Regional Security.
Why it's Important:
The factors related to this are directly and indirectly beneficial to America and the entire American Continent. To keep it simple:
Border Security and Relief from Migrants – South American Countries have a very large population of young people under the age of 24,
Energy Security and Supply Stability,
A.C.E.P.P. is based on Conventions to ensure and develop workable solutions to address both National and Continental Energy Security with the following in consideration:
Nuclear Security and Appropriate Maintenance (Unlike France),
F.A.S.T. Risks and Review,
Energy Grid Minimum Standards and Current Installation Risk and Review (Underground Vs. Above Ground - European Models),
Coal/Natural Gas Plant Minimum Standards, Supplies, and Related Risks,
Review and Monitoring of Cross-Border and Interstate Energy Transmission, Supply, and Risk Factors,
A.C.E.P.P. Will Work to Develop/Apply Risk Assessment Metrics or Best Practices informed by relevant Federal and Equivalent State Agencies (E.P.A., D.O.D. Corps of Engineers, Department of Energy, etc.)
Other as related,
Resolve/Limit Eco-Terrorist or F.A.S.T. Threats (Foreign Adversary Strategic Targets),
A.C.E.P.P. will work with related State, National, and International Agencies (as applicable) to monitor and act to remedy any external threat toward critical infrastructure,
A.C.E.P.P. will Assist other appropriate/non-combatant Continental Member Nations with similar setups, processes, networks, National Security Protocols, and incident procedures,
F.A.S.T. Threats include, but are not limited to:
Pipelines, Crossings, Critical Above-Ground Exposed Infrastructure, Power Generation Plants, Nuclear Waste (Stored or Contamination), Critical Transporation Hubs, and otherwise as determined by Risk Analysis Metric,
Contamination Sites with the capability to impact critical infrastructure, including Rivers/Lakes where these are upstream from Critical Infrastructure, Populations, or Agriculture/Livestock or have the ability to influence Military Operations/Equipment/Personnel or Critical Government Facilities,
Stability in Currency Reserves and Trade Accounts,
Department of the Treasury shall review and draft proposals for the creation of Reserve Funds and Trade Accounts with Material Production or Commodity as its Unit in unison or under the advisement of related organizations, including private as necessary (Exchange: C.M.E.),
The draft shall include options, securitizations, and other stabilizing mechanics as applicable, in consultation with relevant Industries (Exchanges, Banks, Federal Reserve) for the development of Diplomatic Options for Presentation to A.C.E.P.P.,
Ecological Protections for Lands and Oceans,
Federal Environmental Protection Agency, in consultation with each state's equivalent, shall supply appropriate best practices, known concerns, and other materials as they align with A.C.E.P.P.'s Conventions and Goals,
Comment may also be sought by Non-Profits and related Private Industries, which may include ONGIL-MC, Union Organizations, and associated Trade Organizations,
Where the E.P.A. and A.C.E.P.P. overlap, A.C.E.P.P. shall assume budgetary and workforce required to the loss of E.P.A., Including, but not limited to, in whole or part:
Office of Chemical Safety and Pollution Prevention (O.C.S.P.P.),
Shall prepare, advise, and cross into A.C.E.P.P. all relevant sections,
Office of International and Tribal Affairs (O.I.T.A.),
Shall assist with Conventions and development of Tribal Relations reports and plans of action,
Office of Land and Emergency Management (O.L.E.M.),
Shall construct, cross-over, advise and implement existing policy and law into existing A.C.E.P.P. with Continental Best Practices at the core,
Office of Research and Development (ORD),
Shall form the basis of A.C.E.P.P.'s Research and Development Arm, as outlined,
Related or required A.O. office and management for the continuance of operations,
Shall lead cross-over and begin the establishment of protocols,
Where not enough remains of the E.P.A., it shall equally be folded into A.C.E.P.P., with the remaining distributed back into the Executive Branch or State equivalent, as necessary to avoid redundancy.
Investment/Job Creation and Preservation,
A.C.E.P.P. shall consult with relevant partners (mentioned above) for consideration of any concerns with the stated Convention,
A.C.E.P.P. shall meet with National and Continental Parties for consideration of the Convention, address concerns, and prepare packages for Diplomatic Negotiations on related,
Preservation of State/Provincial Land/Production Rights,
A.C.E.P.P. shall enshrine, where applicable, State Rights over Lease and Production, with a Diplomatic Draft for Member State consideration on a case-by-case basis and in consultation with equivalent embassies and contacts,
Federal Political Interference Limitations,
A.C.E.P.P. governing Convention and ratification shall be drafted to ensure timely political interference in critical energy security is stripped, confined, or limited,
Private Capital and Investment Protections,
A.C.E.P.P. shall develop strategies, policies, and reimbursement schedules, in partnership with Industry Leaders, and meet and address any concerns regarding Continental Investment or Interests, in exchange for development rights within or deployment access to under-developed Members as necessary and allowed by law within that Member's jurisdiction,
Shall Review opportunities for National or Regional development of Operations in Alignment with National Protectionism,
See - Brazil's Mineral and Drilling Rights, Constitution Section 20 and equivalent laws,
Preservation of Individual National Sovereignty,
A.C.E.P.P. shall enshrine and ensure Non-Military Intervention where the contravention is established, except in the case of acting emergency or ecological disaster and where Conventions so allow,
A.C.E.P.P. shall develop policies for consideration by Members regarding these situations during Diplomatic Consideration of Conventions,
Continental Model of Resource Management and Trade,
Department of Energy shall study and develop a plan and appropriate projection of energy needs, capabilities, reserves and capacities, and risks as applicable for presentation and assumption of the duty to A.C.E.P.P.
Where the Department of Energy and A.C.E.P.P. overlap, A.C.E.P.P. shall assume the budget and workforce required at the loss of DoE
Fair and Local Disputes Resolution
In consultation, development shall begin and drafting of memorandums of understanding regarding minority and displaced person Land Claims, Right Claims, Access Claims, etc.,
Shall develop Local Dispute Customs, Resolutions, and overview of Member's court equivalents, with a focus on contradictions of Conventions requiring remediation for Diplomatic Package,
Improve Diplomatic Relations of the Whole Americas
A.C.E.P.P. will, above all, seek the best and fair application of the developed Conventions, prepare diplomatic packages and wires, address immediate concerns, and begin negotiations with relevant parties,
Non-Military Strategic Economic Interventions and Incentives
Economic Incentives, Rights of Passage, Market Access, Applications of Security, Oversight, Industry Development, and other incentive structures shall be compiled for the Incentive Structure
Address Concerns, Develop Files, Prepare Wires,
Emphasis for consideration on current OP3C and OP3C+ Members residing within the Continental
Notes and Rationalizations -
The U.S.A. spends hundreds of millions of dollars in direct "investment" into the three poorest South American countries – El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala. Regardless of your politics, this money does nothing for those countries and is highly politicized and usually earmarked for Police/Military/Social actions to help control the insane levels of poverty and murder within those countries. Honduras, for example, has a 50% unemployment rate. With rates that high, even drug dealers and criminals are starving.
Source: foreignassistance.gov
The problems in South America are not going anywhere. This constant splashing of a few pennies every fiscal year to quell the breakdown of those communities, regions, and entire countries and attempts at pacification through Police Violence isn't the solution. Nor is spending billions of dollars at the U.S. Border for constant policing, surveillance, and 'Asylum' applications a workable long-term solution. Displacing developing countries of their primary source of young, productive labor is not the solution to building those countries for the long term, nor does it lend towards the Security of our Developed and Developing Nations.
Domestic Terrorism is a real threat – including foreign domestic populations being enlisted/compensated for horrific acts as means of retribution. Currently, only Cartel issues. However, this issue will evolve as economic conditions deteriorate.
A North/Central American lead solution will obviously come with some caveats. The U.S. Government and its Allies cannot continue to fund Cartels, Corruption, and Excessive Waste. Whereas, as witnessed over decades of Foreign Policy Initiatives, we can't simply make impossible political demands of Socialist Regimes. They benefit ideologically from opposing our requests (or making promises they refuse to keep) more than they do from compliance.
Nor should we seek an A.C.E.P.P. Convention that later becomes a Political weapon of incoming future Federal Administrations within the United States, Brazil, or by extension, the devolving state of Canada or other Founding A.C.E.P.P. members.
Requirements and Proposed Structure:
Firstly, the dominant nations of the U.S.A., Canada, and Brazil must accept the unification of A.C.E.P.P Conventions, State/Provincial mineral rights, and A.C.E.P.P. must recognize State/Provincial autonomy oversupply, licensure, and production within the conventions of this Continental Agreement. Where the Federal Administrations of both the United States and Canada have expressed overt interest in destroying or limiting energy independence and destruction of National Production, we must, for the sake of Continental Security, bypass these highly political turn-over branches through the removal of Strategic Energy from their political compass.
Failure to comply will result in the revocation of trade access with Member Countries, among other diplomatic resources. (See – Canada File for example).
Secondly, this Continental Convention is in the spirit of the OP3C framework established in 1960 but in oppositional application to OP3C methods. Where OP3C utilizes its arrangement to cut production at the expense of the world, thus raising global energy prices, A.C.E.P.P. will seek investment in under-developed South American regions through Private, Local-First Investment Initiatives.
Where OP3C demands quotas for its member nations, we demand Minimum Strategic Energy Reserves. Where OP3C demands membership fees, we require reinvestment and compliance with Safe Working Conditions for Workers, Denationalization of existing Infrastructure, Functional and Practical Ecological Mandates, and compliance with industry Best Practices for Oil Spills and Decommission Processes of Retired or Out-Of-Commission Infrastructure - where applicable.
Process Notes:
First – Each major Producer and Nation must maintain minimum supplies of both Military and Domestic Reserves of Oil and Gas for future Wars, Regional Conflicts, Infrastructure Losses, or International Embargo and Trade Wars. Where future technology decreases the Military and Critical need for Oil/Gas, similar requirements will be placed on On-Demand Electric Capacity from existing infrastructure without impact upon domestic or foreign export or risking other critical infrastructure.
E.g.: Electric Military Vehicles and E.V. Fighter Jets (if ever applicable)
See Further - 1979-1980 Oil Crisis
Initial Reasoning:
We cannot enter this arrangement assuming WW3 is impossible, nor can we enter this arrangement considering future instability is unlikely in any region of the continent. Nor can we continue with our current 'haphazard' forms of Federal/State politically motivated programs of Federal Controls over Lease and Land Rights and other Political motivations and Diplomatic abuse.
Dependent and Developing Nations will hold no more than minimum supplies to ensure domestic production and facilitate exports as necessary.
No state or Province may hold more than 33% of any National or Critical Supply. Attempts at Stockpiling, without A.C.E.P.P. awareness, would be considered a violation of the tenants of this pact.
Where any State or Province presents "externalities" that cannot be controlled or remedied or where adequate evidence of risk or threat is present – A.C.E.P.P. assumes responsibility through National and State/Provincial Alignment.
Possible Example of Structure:
U.S. Department of Energy as Federal Overseer with Limited Powers,
Arizona State's Department of Administration – State Energy Program as acting fellow and A.C.E.P.P. Voting Member,
To act as necessary to preserve this Union and its Critical Goals within capacities, per the defined risks and threats to A.C.E.P.P.'s Goals.
Secondary Example:
ACEPP-US Division as Oversight under Conventions and in Concert with Established and Existing Federal and State Agencies,
Secondly – Each Nation must invest in Critical Energy Infrastructure Security, including but not limited to: Pipelines, Crossings, Electrical Grid Upgrades, Nuclear Power Core and Infrastructure Security, and proper Decommission of any Energy Related Infrastructure (E.R.I.), including Nuclear Waste, where such poses Eco-Terrorist or Foreign Adversary Strategic Targets (F.A.S.T.).
A.C.E.P.P will, in partnership with Federal and State Organizations, take account of all current FAST targets or potential targets and begin immediate remedy for the preservation of Life and Health of Domestic Populations, Military Personnel and Equipment, and Critical Government Facilities
A.C.E.P.P will use the best metrics to determine risk categories.
Highest Risk, Highest Population, or Critical Targets
E.g.: Lakes, Rivers – especially upstream from domestic water intake for agricultural, livestock, or domestic water consumption
Partnership Examples and Information Sources: E.P.A., Department of Defense Corp of Engineers, Department of Energy, and Affiliate State Organizations
Critical Considerations:
1) Future outbreaks of War or Regional Conflict/Disruption in North/Central/South America
2) Invasion of Strategic Partners or Homeland by Foreign or Domestic Adversaries
3) Regional Violence (Eco-Terrorism) and F.A.S.T. Threats
4) Future Adversary Embargos, Market Manipulations, and Counter-Actions
5) Divisions of States (or Provinces) from Federal Unions, Rights Held, and Best Practices
6) Canada File Example - Special Consideration needed. Provincial Rights over Production, Royalties, and review of Canada Petroleum Resource Act of 1985 - Establishment of Federal Powers over northern regions, and other considerations. Military Intervention Treaties are currently existing with D.O.D. Heavy trade partner with U.S; Strong institutionalized/academic communist sympathies in opposition to rural and energy-rich production centers. Alberta/Saskatchewan - Large Continental Energy Production with comparable cultural attitudes to U.S. rural States. Review the western Province's apprehensions regarding resource rights complaints and royalties (Federal Transfer). Possible consensual (redacted), easy cultural/political influential reach.
Tribal File - Further consideration - Local Native populations are divided into hundreds of groups with special access rights and ongoing litigation. National "A.F.N." undergoing a leadership crisis with no inter-group unification.
7) Mexico File - Currently an OP3C* member, Trade Treaty Partner, and critical regional ally. Review diplomatic files for further consideration. Emphasis on internal security risks and previous history of nationalizing companies/resources. Requires further risk assessment. Review recent trade treaty talks.
8) Venezuela File - OP3C* Founding Member - Massive internal strife, political upheaval, and heavily strained relations. The review incentive structure for consideration, along with pressure points regarding regional transportation needs, pipelines, and other critical infrastructure,
9) Brazil File - Largest Southern Oil Producer. Constitutional Considerations and Enshrinement. Federalized Resources - May require a shift in Conventions upon further review and diplomatic outreach,
10) Cuba File - Politically Difficult Nationally/Politically. Extensive diplomatic and coercive relations. Review National needs current allyship and national resources for an application. Too hot to touch?
Thank you, and Good Luck.
-Dark Philosopher
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