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Don't read too much in Karnataka's victory

Karnataka has lauded its mandate at its peak voice. It is true that the BJP has got its Victory with a marginal difference. But at the other side, some figures make the contrasting point. First, BJP has gained more than 30% in terms of seat as compared to the last elections. Secondly, it is in spite of the fact that the party was in power for last two years and Congress had anti-incumbency card in its hand too. Thirdly, this was the first ever election after new constituencies formed due to delimitation, that BJP has figured in its favour. Forth, in the delimited era, BJP has secured far more seats than Congress even in reserved areas. Fifth, BJP had fought this election predominantly on national issues. And last but not the least, Congress had fielded its trump card during the election campaign, i.e Rahul Gandhi, himself had been touring the state breadth and length during the campaign.

All these factors definitely make the marginal victory more important for BJP. As the party is repeatedly highlighting, the first sole victory of BJP in south of Vindhyachal is no less an important phenomena for the Indian polity. But it would be naive to extract very enthusiastic inferences with this victory. Neither does it signal any national phenomena for the next general elections nor is it going to serve the power cake to the BJP in other southern states in near future. One should not forget that in Karnataka, BJP had emerged as a reckoning force a decade ago. In contrast, it has to even mark its footprint in other Southern states AP, TN and Kerala. TDP is no longer in good humor with BJP in AP, whereas Jayalalitha can hardly transfer its vote base to the party's bag. Kerala's demographic balance is in gross contrast to BJP's ideology.

So, the first sole victory in the southern state worth rejoiceable for BJP, but one must not read too much between the line.



This post first appeared on The Voice, please read the originial post: here

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Don't read too much in Karnataka's victory

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