MANILA, Philippines – Severe Tropical Storm 'Paeng' (international name: Nalgae) crossed southern tip of Catanduanes and made landfall in Camarines Sur, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am update on Saturday, October 29, 2022.
At 4:00 am today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm 'Paeng' was estimated based on all available data including those from Daet and Baler Doppler Weather Radars in the vicinity of Siruma, Camarines Sur.
| Satellite image of Severe Tropical Storm 'Paeng' as of 4:50 pm, October 29, 2022. PAGASA |
'Bagyong Paeng' has maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 160 km/h and and central pressure of 985 hPa. It is moving westward at 30 km/h.
Strong winds extend outwards up to 560 km from the center.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 3
Luzon:
- Camarines Norte
- the northern portion of Camarines Sur (Ragay, Lupi, Sipocot, Libmanan, Cabusao, Magarao, Calabanga, Tinambac, Siruma, Goa, Tigaon, San Jose, Lagonoy, Garchitorena, Presentacion, Caramoan, Saglay, Ocampo, Pili, Bombon, Naga City, Del Gallego, Canaman, Camaligan, Milaor, Gainza, Pamplona)
- the northern and eastern portions of Quezon (Tagkawayan, Guinayangan, Calauag, Quezon, Lopez, Gumaca, Plaridel, Atimonan, Mauban, Perez, Alabat, Real, Infanta, General Nakar, Sampaloc) including Pollilo Islands
TCWS No. 2
Luzon:
- Albay
- Sorsogon
- the northern and western portions of Masbate (City of Masbate, Mobo, Aroroy, Baleno, Mandaon, Milagros, Uson, Balud, Dimasalang) including Ticao and Burias Islands
- the rest of Camarines Sur
- Catanduanes
- Marinduque
- the rest of Quezon
- Laguna
- Batangas
- Cavite
- Metro Manila
- Rizal
- Bulacan
- the southern portion of Aurora (San Luis, Baler, Dingalan, Maria Aurora)
- the central and southern portions of Nueva Ecija (City of Gapan, San Leonardo, Santo Domingo, Rizal, San Isidro, Laur, Zaragoza, Llanera, Aliaga, Palayan City, Gabaldon, General Mamerto Natividad, Cabanatuan City, Quezon, San Antonio, General Tinio, Santa Rosa, Penaranda, Jaen, Licab, Bongabon, Cabiao, Talavera, Science City of Munoz, Talugtug, Cuyapo, Guimba, Nampicuan, San Jose City)
- Tarlac
- Pampanga
- Bataan
- Zambales
- the southern portion of Pangasinan (Bautista, Bayambang, Mangatarem, Urbiztondo, Aguilar, Infanta)
- the northern and central portions of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Baco, City of Calapan, Naujan, Victoria, Pola, Socorro, Pinamalayan, Gloria, Bansud, Bongabong, Roxas)
- the northern and central portions of Occidental Mindoro (Sablayan, Santa Cruz, Mamburao, Abra de Ilog, Paluan) including Lubang Islands Romblon
Visayas:
- the western portion of Northern Samar (Capul, San Vicente, San Antonio, Allen, Lavezares, Biri, Victoria, Rosario, San Isidro, San Jose)
TCWS No. 1
Luzon:
- Isabela
- Nueva Vizcaya
- Quirino
- Kalinga
- Ifugao
- Mountain Province
- Benguet
- Ilocos Sur
- La Union
- the rest of Aurora
- the rest of Nueva Ecija
- the rest of Pangasinan
- the rest of Oriental Mindoro
- the rest of Occidental Mindoro
- the northern portion of Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Dumaran, Araceli) including Calamian and Cuyo Islands
- the rest of Masbate
Visayas:
- the rest of Northern Samar
- Samar
- Eastern Samar
- Biliran
- Leyte
- Southern Leyte
- Cebu including Bantayan and Camotes Islands
- Bohol
- Negros Occidental
- Negros Oriental, Guimaras
- Aklan
- Antique
- Capiz
- Iloilo
- Siquijor
- the rest of Leyte
- Mindanao
- Dinagat Islands
- Surigao del Norte including Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands
- Camiguin
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
Severe Tropical Storm 'Paeng' is forecast to continue moving west northwestward through Sunday across Luzon.
On the forecast track, the center of 'Paeng' will traverse the Bicol Peninsula until this noon before crossing the CALABARZON-Metro Manila-southern Central Luzon area this early afternoon through tomorrow early morning.
Frictional effects associated with interaction with the Luzon landmass may result in weakening into a tropical storm within 24 hours, possibly earlier. However, 'Paeng' may re-intensify into a severe tropical storm once it reaches the West Philippine Sea.
Recent landfalls: Virac, Catanduanes (1:10 AM); Caramoan, Camarines Sur (1:40AM)
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall
Through this morning: Heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Bicol Region, Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras, Quezon including Pollilo Islands, Marinduque, Romblon, Mindoro Provinces, and the northern portion of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands.
Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains likely over Metro Manila, Aurora, Bulacan, Negros Occidental, Northern Samar, the eastern portion of mainland Cagayan Valley, and the rest of CALABARZON and Palawan.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains possible over Cordillera Administrative Region, Zamboanga Peninsula, and the rest of Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, and Visayas.
This morning through evening: Heavy to intense with at times torrential rains likely over Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Marinduque, Romblon, Mindoro Provinces, and the northern portion of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands.
Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains likely over mainland Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Western Visayas, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Pampanga, Bulacan, Bataan, and Camarines Provinces.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains possible over Ilocos Region and the rest of Visayas, Central Luzon, and Bicol Region.
Tonight through tomorrow morning: Metro Manila, Zambales, Bataan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite, and Batangas.
Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains likely over mainland Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Western Visayas, Quezon including Pollilo Islands, Marinduque, Mindoro Provinces, and the rest of Central Luzon.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains possible over Ilocos Region, Camarines Provinces, Romblon, and the northern portion of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands.
Under these conditions, widespread flooding and rain-induced landslides are expected, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities with significant antecedent rainfall.
Severe Winds
Winds of at most storm-force strength may occur within any of the areas where Wind Signal No. 3 is hoisted, while winds reaching reach gale-force strength are possible within any of the areas where Wind Signal No. 2 is in effect.
Areas under Wind Signal No.1 may experience strong winds (strong breeze to near gale strength) throughout the passage of the tropical cyclone.
The surge of the Northeast Monsoon enhanced by 'Paeng' will also bring strong winds with gusts reaching gale-force strength over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, the northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan, and the northern portion of Apayao.
Coastal Inundation
There is minimal to moderate risk of storm surge of up to 2.0 m in height which may cause inundation or flooding in the low-lying and exposed coastal areas of mainland Bicol Region, Catanduanes, Aurora, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Marinduque, the northern portion of Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands, and the eastern portion of Batangas.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
Under the influence of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and Severe Tropical Storm, a marine gale warning remains in effect over the seaboards of Luzon and Visayas and the western seaboard of Mindanao.
TROPICAL CYCLONES
'Paeng' is the Philippines’ 16th tropical cyclone for 2022. It developed into a tropical depression at 8 am on Wednesday, October 26.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
— The Summit Express
