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Expected Number of Attempts - Broken Coffee Machine

Source: Mind Your Decisions Blog

Related Problem: Expected Length of Last Straw - Breaking the back of a Camel - CSE Blog

Problem:

Your boss tells you to bring him a cup of coffee from the company vending machine. The problem is the machine is broken. When you press the button for a drink, it will randomly fill a percentage of the cup (between 0 and 100 percent). You know you need to bring a full cup back to your boss.

What’s the expected number of times you will have to fill the cup?

Example: The machine fills the cup 10 percent, then 30 percent, then 80 percent–>the cup is full plus 20 percent that you throw away or drink yourself. It took 3 fills of the cup.



This post first appeared on CSE Blog - Quant, Math, Computer Science Puzzles, please read the originial post: here

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Expected Number of Attempts - Broken Coffee Machine

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