Now that the Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak has broken past the 80,000 case level and over 2700 deaths in 10 or more nations, we might as well call it a pandemic at this point. There are no signs that we will be able to completely stop it, slow it possibly, but at this point, it has reached many places that we are unaware of, that may not show for another 14 to 28 days.
It is also highly likely that there will be additional hot spots over the next couple of weeks. They too will be quarantined but that, again, is only going to slow the progress.
A major obstacle to stopping the disease is that people do not want to admit that they may be sick or even carriers. 'There is nothing wrong with me, just a slight cold.' 'Oh, it is just a cough.'
While the Covid-19 has a R0 of about 3 to 4 ( meaning that the average person infects 3 to 4 other people, this is only an average. It is known that one lady in S. Korea, infected at least 37 people in a church and there may be more extreme cases. Many of South Korea's 830 or more cases originated in the church and they have now quarantined about 9000 members.
Italy now has over 230 case and 7 deaths which prompted a quarantine of over 50,000 people in the northern part of the country. This has grown from just 4 cases in a period of only 5 days, showing just how rapidly this virus epidemic can escalate. In addition, there are 3 confirmed cases in Rome.
It has not yet been determined but Japan, Singapore, and Hong Kong may be close to leveling out or there may just be a pause in cases which has happened in China.
Iran has found 61 Cases and 12 mortalaties in the last 4 days.
There are now a total of 37 nations affected by the virus. The issue is that with so many cases in so many diverse places and with the significant increase that has taken place in the past week, it has become increasingly difficult to contain the outbreak.
Surviving Viral Illness
And for more information, see the previously posted articles in this series:
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Surpasses SARS
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak How far will it spread and how bad?
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak
It is also highly likely that there will be additional hot spots over the next couple of weeks. They too will be quarantined but that, again, is only going to slow the progress.
A major obstacle to stopping the disease is that people do not want to admit that they may be sick or even carriers. 'There is nothing wrong with me, just a slight cold.' 'Oh, it is just a cough.'
While the Covid-19 has a R0 of about 3 to 4 ( meaning that the average person infects 3 to 4 other people, this is only an average. It is known that one lady in S. Korea, infected at least 37 people in a church and there may be more extreme cases. Many of South Korea's 830 or more cases originated in the church and they have now quarantined about 9000 members.
Italy now has over 230 case and 7 deaths which prompted a quarantine of over 50,000 people in the northern part of the country. This has grown from just 4 cases in a period of only 5 days, showing just how rapidly this virus epidemic can escalate. In addition, there are 3 confirmed cases in Rome.
It has not yet been determined but Japan, Singapore, and Hong Kong may be close to leveling out or there may just be a pause in cases which has happened in China.
Iran has found 61 Cases and 12 mortalaties in the last 4 days.
There are now a total of 37 nations affected by the virus. The issue is that with so many cases in so many diverse places and with the significant increase that has taken place in the past week, it has become increasingly difficult to contain the outbreak.
Surviving Viral Illness
And for more information, see the previously posted articles in this series:
Wuhan Coronavirus / 2019-nCoV: Failure to contain
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Beware the hidden mortality statisticsWuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Surpasses SARS
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak How far will it spread and how bad?
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak
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