This is not meant to scare or to create panic, only to inform so that we can at least see what may lay ahead. This is so that you can have an idea of the odds and what you can do to improve your odds.
Pandemics have plagued humanity since humans have existed. They have come and gone, they have at times sickened many without causing a lot of deaths, and then in some cases, the diseases have brought mankind to its knees, killing large percentages of the population, as many as 30 percent to possibly 50 percent in just a few years time.
There has been a few cases in prehistory where it was so bad that entire villages and even cities were literally buried to prevent recurrence. This may have actually been the case in Gobekli teki, a place in Turkey that had been buried for as much as 10,000 years.
Back to the current situation, the CDC is reporting a mortality rate of 2 percent. This in itself may be alarming as the normal rate of deaths from influenza is generally less than 0.1 percent which makes the Wuhan Corona virus outbreak more than 20 times as deadly as the regular flu. That means that instead of the normal 10000 to 25000 deaths associated with the flu, the net result of Coronavirus could add another 200,000 to 500,000 deaths to the toll.
The H1N1 Pandemic of 2009 had a mortality rate of 0.02 percent and killed 284,000 people, With a 2 percent mortality, this Pandemic could translate to 284 million deaths.
All of this is only if the 2 percent mortality is true and the rate of viral infection was the same. However, from all indications, the Wuhan Coronavirus is as much as 10 times as contagious which could bring the death toll to 2 million to 5 million. As you can see, this is a serious concern at this level but we are not done.
Is the 2 percent mortality realistic? A few days back, I posted this information and I think that it is important.
The simple answer is how they use the numbers to skew the statistics. They are trying to prevent panic. It is a simple thing to take the total number of infected and divide that into the number of fatalities. That is what they do, which can give a very illusional statistic. Yesterdays numbers will be used to illustrate this. There were just over 6000 cases and 132 reported deaths. Well, that is just rosy, 132/6000 is less than a mere 2 percent mortality. That does not sound so bad does it? But wait a minute you might say, Is it not true that about 2000 of those case were just reported yesterday and therefore likely in the first or second day of cold like symptoms?
Those who just became sick are not likely to be at mortal risk. So, just for the fun of it, lets take the number of people who were sick 5 days ago.
On 24 Jan 2020, there was reported 1,287 cases. So, with 132 fatalities reported out 1287 total, this becomes a 10.25 percent mortality. But again, is this the real statistic?
At the time of the 132 mortality statistic, how many had been sent home as recovered and no longer at risk? They are very carefully not releasing this number. However, due to a slip up a few days ago, we did have one number to compare to. It was reported that there was 56 fatalities ( or more ) and 48 deemed to be recovered one day last week. If you take these numbers, the result is 53 percent mortality. This being the case, it becomes easy to see why there is such concern. On top of that, the fact that after more than 3 weeks of this outbreak, there has only been 48 recoveries tells us that this is really a bad outbreak.
The problem that we have is in determining the real mortality rate. While the numbers could be manipulated to show as high as 53 percent, this too is not realistic. The same with 2 percent. The number may be much closer to 5 percent to 10 percent. The problem here is that this is extremely concerning as here in the US, it might be predictable that 100 million could be infected and of those, 5 to 10 million could die. These number may seem high, but 3 to 4 weeks ago, your would likely not even bother to read this.
This is a pandemic, it has spread to over 20 countries beyond China and in a few of those countries, a major outbreak is highly likely due to poor quarantine and lower levels of health care.
The question arises, is everyone at risk? Not likely but we do not know what the limitations are. We do know statistically that certain groups are at serious risk. The elderly and those who have immunity impairments are at the greatest risk. Also, I would venture to say that tobacco users as well as vapers may be at increased risk.
I have been posting on this issue and for other potential related issues such as Ebola for quite some time. In some of the older posts, I have provided possible aids to help improve survival. Among these is the zapper which I have used for many years, colloidal silver, and many others.
For your benefit, please at least read these prior articles so that you will know what some options you may have. Think of it in this way. There are about a dozen possible helps that I have mentioned. Even if each one only helps your chance of survival by a couple of percent, combined they may double your chance of surviving this pandemic.
And for more information, see the previously posted articles in this series:
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Beware the hidden mortality statistics
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Surpasses SARS
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak How far will it spread and how bad?
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak
Pandemics have plagued humanity since humans have existed. They have come and gone, they have at times sickened many without causing a lot of deaths, and then in some cases, the diseases have brought mankind to its knees, killing large percentages of the population, as many as 30 percent to possibly 50 percent in just a few years time.
There has been a few cases in prehistory where it was so bad that entire villages and even cities were literally buried to prevent recurrence. This may have actually been the case in Gobekli teki, a place in Turkey that had been buried for as much as 10,000 years.
Back to the current situation, the CDC is reporting a mortality rate of 2 percent. This in itself may be alarming as the normal rate of deaths from influenza is generally less than 0.1 percent which makes the Wuhan Corona virus outbreak more than 20 times as deadly as the regular flu. That means that instead of the normal 10000 to 25000 deaths associated with the flu, the net result of Coronavirus could add another 200,000 to 500,000 deaths to the toll.
The H1N1 Pandemic of 2009 had a mortality rate of 0.02 percent and killed 284,000 people, With a 2 percent mortality, this Pandemic could translate to 284 million deaths.
All of this is only if the 2 percent mortality is true and the rate of viral infection was the same. However, from all indications, the Wuhan Coronavirus is as much as 10 times as contagious which could bring the death toll to 2 million to 5 million. As you can see, this is a serious concern at this level but we are not done.
Is the 2 percent mortality realistic? A few days back, I posted this information and I think that it is important.
The simple answer is how they use the numbers to skew the statistics. They are trying to prevent panic. It is a simple thing to take the total number of infected and divide that into the number of fatalities. That is what they do, which can give a very illusional statistic. Yesterdays numbers will be used to illustrate this. There were just over 6000 cases and 132 reported deaths. Well, that is just rosy, 132/6000 is less than a mere 2 percent mortality. That does not sound so bad does it? But wait a minute you might say, Is it not true that about 2000 of those case were just reported yesterday and therefore likely in the first or second day of cold like symptoms?
Those who just became sick are not likely to be at mortal risk. So, just for the fun of it, lets take the number of people who were sick 5 days ago.
On 24 Jan 2020, there was reported 1,287 cases. So, with 132 fatalities reported out 1287 total, this becomes a 10.25 percent mortality. But again, is this the real statistic?
At the time of the 132 mortality statistic, how many had been sent home as recovered and no longer at risk? They are very carefully not releasing this number. However, due to a slip up a few days ago, we did have one number to compare to. It was reported that there was 56 fatalities ( or more ) and 48 deemed to be recovered one day last week. If you take these numbers, the result is 53 percent mortality. This being the case, it becomes easy to see why there is such concern. On top of that, the fact that after more than 3 weeks of this outbreak, there has only been 48 recoveries tells us that this is really a bad outbreak.
The problem that we have is in determining the real mortality rate. While the numbers could be manipulated to show as high as 53 percent, this too is not realistic. The same with 2 percent. The number may be much closer to 5 percent to 10 percent. The problem here is that this is extremely concerning as here in the US, it might be predictable that 100 million could be infected and of those, 5 to 10 million could die. These number may seem high, but 3 to 4 weeks ago, your would likely not even bother to read this.
This is a pandemic, it has spread to over 20 countries beyond China and in a few of those countries, a major outbreak is highly likely due to poor quarantine and lower levels of health care.
The question arises, is everyone at risk? Not likely but we do not know what the limitations are. We do know statistically that certain groups are at serious risk. The elderly and those who have immunity impairments are at the greatest risk. Also, I would venture to say that tobacco users as well as vapers may be at increased risk.
I have been posting on this issue and for other potential related issues such as Ebola for quite some time. In some of the older posts, I have provided possible aids to help improve survival. Among these is the zapper which I have used for many years, colloidal silver, and many others.
For your benefit, please at least read these prior articles so that you will know what some options you may have. Think of it in this way. There are about a dozen possible helps that I have mentioned. Even if each one only helps your chance of survival by a couple of percent, combined they may double your chance of surviving this pandemic.
What I would do to survive Ebola or most any other viral illness if I was on my own
And for more information, see the previously posted articles in this series:
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Beware the hidden mortality statistics
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak Surpasses SARS
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak How far will it spread and how bad?
Wuhan Coronavirus Outbreak
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Lyme Disease - Hitting the Bull's Eye
Chikungunya - Still spreading across the Carribean and to the US
Chikungunya - Contorted in Pain
MERS in America, will it become a pandemic?
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