The Democrats gets 50 Seats and the Republicans will have 50 Seats, this is how the 2021 Senate will work.

Warnock (D) and Ossoff (D) both appear likely to avoid a Recount that could have been requested under Georgia Law if the Outcome fell within .5%. Out of more than 4.4 Million Votes cast, Warnock leads Loeffler by 69,968 votes, 1.58%, and Ossoff leads Perdue by 32,410 votes, 0.74%. All Precincts have reported, but some outstanding Absentee Ballots remain in mainly Democratic-leaning Counties in the Metro Atlanta area. There are 17,000 Military and Overseas Ballots to be Counted on Friday, 8th.

The Vice President Breaks any Ties in the Senate, and that gives the Democrats the advantage, once Kamala Harris is sworn in on January 20th, she’ll give the Democrats the majority.

Because the Vice President breaks Ties, the Democrats would hold the Chairs of All Senate Committees.

The Democrats would be in the Technical Majority, so they’d get to choose the Majority Leader.

In a Split Senate, would the Majority Leader have as much Control as McConnell (R-KY) has had? No. Although the Vice President Votes to Break any Ties when it comes to Voting, there are a lot of Rules and Procedures that need to be Agreed upon that dictate how the Senate will be Run during the Term. Back in 2000, when the Senate was split 50-50 briefly under President Bush, Majority Leader Trent Lott (R-MS) and Minority Leader Tom Daschle (D-SD) had to Collaborate and come to an Agreement on Everything. Also, Funding for Staffers and Office Space would be Equally Split.

There is little hope that McConnell would suddenly Cease to be the Partisan Obstructionist that he has been in the Past. That said, without some Level of Collaboration with Chuck Schumer (D)-NY, the Senate won’t be able to move Forward with even the most Basic of Functions.

Back in 2000, Bush was President and he ended up with a 50-50 Split Senate. VP Dick Cheney (R) was the Tie Breaker. But Jim Jeffords (R-VT), at the time a very Moderate Senator, got so fed up with his Caucus and the White House, over too many Tax Cuts for the Rich and Not enough Money going to Special Education for the Disabled, that he left the Party and became an Independent and Caucused with the Democrats.

This Upset the Balance that the Majority Leader (R) and the Minority Leader (D) had, as his Switch gave the Democrats had the Clear Majority. It was a Major Blow to President Bush at the time.

That’s an interesting Question. A 50-50 Split in the Senate, even if the Democrats have the Majority thanks to the VP, is a Tough Spot for Joe Biden to be in. Why? Because he needs to keep his Ideologically Broad Caucus to Agree and Stick together.

He literally cannot Lose a Single Senator. Now some will say that means that the more Moderate Democrats like Joe Manchin (WV) and Kyrsten Sinema (AZ) will have more Leverage, but honestly, if the Two of them are On-Board, you’d still need to make sure your most Liberal Senators, like Kirsten Gillibrand and Elizabeth Warren, are also still also On-Board.

Remember, you can’t Lose One Member of your Caucus and use Kamala Harris as the Extra Vote. She can Only Vote in a Tiebreaker Situation.

The other thing to consider, is that the most Moderate Republican Senators are also potential Targets. We only had a few Instances of Republicans Senators straying from their Caucus these last Four years, but without Trump in the Office, would that change?

It’s possible. The Democrats would be wise to try and Siphon Off Votes from Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, and Mitt Romney. Would any of them pull a Jim Jeffords, become an Independent, and then Caucus with the Democrats to get their Issues Legislated?

Remember that Joe Biden was a Senator for 36 years, and then Presided over the Senate when he was Vice President. He knows the Senate, and most of these Senators, incredibly well. That sets up a completely Different Dynamic with his White House than during Trump’s Administration.










NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker