Last Updated on May 17, 2024 10:25 pm by Erwin Noguera

The Premier League reaches its last matchday, and it could be said that it only has to define the title and some European competition spots since Nottingham Forest is practically saved by goal difference. But to avoid any doubt, they will be looking for points against Burnley away.

The Clarets came from losing 2-1 away to Tottenham and thus were condemned to the second division. 

Forest had the chance to win at home, but Chelsea turned the result around and won 3-2 with two late goals. 

When and Where?

Sunday, May 19, 11:00 am ET at Turf Moor 

Moneyline odds: 

Burnley 2.877 

Nottingham Forest 2.384

Draw Offs: 

4.025 

Where can I watch it?

Peacock, NBC, Star+/ESPN, Paramount+, and Telemundo

Why Bet on Burnley?

Burnley has not had a season that allowed them to keep the category, so now they will only have to say goodbye with a smile against Nottingham Forest. The Clarets have just lost 2-1 at Tottenham. Jacob Bruun Larsen opened the account, but the Spurs turned the score around thanks to Pedro Porro and Micky van de Ven. 

That is why this club was left with 24 points, without the possibility of getting out of one of the three positions that are punishable with the second division. They will join Sheffield and, more than likely, Luton.

Among the three relegated teams, they allowed the fewest goals, with 76, a number that still makes them a very permeable defense. What’s more, they have not kept a clean sheet since December 23, when they beat Fulham 2-0. 

Offensively, there is not much to highlight either, as they have scored the third-fewest goals (40). It only beats Sheffield United and Everton. 

Burnley relied all season on Belgian Vincent Kompany, who promoted them very solidly but could not sustain that level in his first year in the English top flight. Winning five times in 37 games is a forgettable record. 

The injured players in this team are Luca Koleosho, Jordan Beyer, and Ammen Al-Dakhil. 

Why Bet on Nottingham Forest?

As it did last season, Nottingham Forest wants to keep its Premier League status on the previous matchday, and it is very likely to do so. That is even though last time they lost 2-3 at home to Chelsea. Forest were twice up on the scoreboard but failed to get at least a point in front of their home fans. 

Nottingham is in 17th place and is only three points adrift, although the goal difference of -19 gives them a big advantage over Luton, which is -31. Forest would have to lose in a historic result, and Luton would have to inflict a seldom-seen thrashing on Fulham to turn the tide in the relegation battle. 

No doubt the team’s fans did not expect such bad results, considering they have pieces such as world champion Gonzalo Montiel and regular players in their national teams like Divock Origi, Giovanni Reyna, Neco Williams, or Matt Turner, among others. 

Away from home, Nottingham Forest has taken 13 points, with only three wins, four draws, and 11 defeats. They have allowed 36 goals against and scored 20. Just Luton and Sheffield have been the worst visitors. 

Veteran striker Chris Wood is one of the few who has been saved this season, scoring 12 goals, andreviving a career that seemed to be over. 

For coach Nuno Espírito Santo, all his pieces are available. 

Final Betting Analysis: Burnley vs. Nottingham Forest

This season, the sides met at Nottingham’s home ground and played out a 1-1 draw. Mohamed Amdouni and Callum Hudson-Odoi scored the goals. The last time they played at Turf Moor was in 2016 when both were in the Championship, and the home side won 1-0. 

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Nottingham Forest as the favorite. Their Moneyline shows 2.284, Burnley has 2.877, and the draw is at 4.025. 

For Burnley, the die is cast, as salvation is no longer available to them. However, the fact that they are no longer under pressure will allow them to take a point off Forest, who will remain in the Premier League for another year after a 2-2 draw. 

Go for a draw. If you bet $100 at 4.025, you will gain $302 for a total payout of $402. 

Burnley vs. Nottingham Forest Betting Pick: Draw

The post Burnley vs. Nottingham Forest Betting Odds and Free Pick first appeared on Gambyl Sports Betting Exchange.