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Sortino Ratio

The Sortino Ratio evaluates investment performance by factoring in downside risk. It employs downside deviation and risk-free rate to measure risk-adjusted returns. This metric suits risk-averse investors and identifies skilled portfolio managers in risk management. Its downside-focused approach enhances portfolio decision-making, especially for conservative investors and hedge funds.

ElementDescriptionImplicationsApplications
Sortino RatioThe Sortino Ratio is a financial metric used to assess the risk-adjusted return of an investment or portfolio, focusing on downside risk, specifically, the standard deviation of negative returns.Provides a more accurate measure of risk-adjusted performance by considering only downside volatility.Evaluating and comparing the risk-adjusted performance of different investments or portfolios, particularly in assessing downside risk.
Annualized ReturnsThe average annual returns earned from the investment or portfolio over a specified time period.Higher annualized returns suggest greater potential rewards.Determining the investment’s historical performance.
Target ReturnThe minimum acceptable or target return expected from the investment or portfolio over the same time period.Represents the investor’s required return to achieve their financial goals.Setting a benchmark return that aligns with an investor’s objectives.
Downside DeviationThe standard deviation of negative returns, which measures the volatility of returns when they fall below the target return.A lower downside deviation indicates lower risk associated with below-target returns.Evaluating the investment’s downside risk, particularly during market downturns.
Sortino Ratio FormulaThe Sortino Ratio is calculated as the excess return (annualized returns minus the target return) divided by the downside deviation.Sortino Ratio = (Annualized Returns – Target Return) / Downside Deviation
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Characteristics:

  • Downside Risk Focus: Emphasizes assessing negative or unfavorable returns and their associated risk, providing a more realistic risk evaluation.
  • Risk-Free Rate: Incorporates the risk-free rate to reflect the opportunity cost of risk-taking.

Formula:

  • Calculation Method: Sortino Ratio = (Portfolio Return – Risk-Free Rate) / Downside Deviation.
  • Downside Deviation: Measures only the deviations of negative returns, omitting positive returns from the calculation.

Benefits:

  • Enhanced Risk Analysis: Offers a refined perspective on risk-adjusted returns by targeting downside volatility.
  • Risk-Averse Alignment: Aligns well with risk-averse investors who prioritize avoiding significant losses.
  • Differentiation Capability: Differentiates between portfolio managers based on their ability to manage downside risk.

Challenges:

  • Positive Return Bias: May inaccurately represent scenarios with frequent positive returns and limited downside.
  • Historical Data Dependency: Relies on historical data, which might not effectively predict future market conditions.

Applications:

  • Portfolio Evaluation: Provides a robust method to evaluate investment portfolios by considering the impact of downside risk on performance.
  • Manager Selection: Assists in selecting skilled portfolio managers who excel in managing downside risk.

Examples:

  • Hedge Funds Assessment: Commonly employed to assess hedge fund performance due to their emphasis on risk management.
  • Conservative Investor Choice: Favored by conservative investors seeking to minimize potential losses while achieving reasonable returns.

Key Highlights – Sortino Ratio:

  • Downside Risk Focus: The Sortino Ratio prioritizes evaluating investment performance based on the risk of negative returns, offering a more accurate risk assessment.
  • Downside Deviation: Unlike standard deviation, it calculates risk using only the deviations of negative returns, providing a clearer picture of downside volatility.
  • Risk-Adjusted Returns: By incorporating the risk-free rate, it measures how well an investment compensates for the risk taken.
  • Risk-Averse Suitability: Suited for risk-averse investors seeking to minimize potential losses while achieving reasonable returns.
  • Manager Evaluation: Enables differentiation of portfolio managers based on their ability to effectively manage downside risk.
  • Hedge Fund Analysis: Widely used to assess hedge fund performance due to their emphasis on managing risk.
  • Balanced Portfolio: Enhances portfolio decision-making by focusing on both returns and the risk of significant losses.

Connected Financial Concepts

Circle of Competence

The circle of competence describes a person’s natural competence in an area that matches their skills and abilities. Beyond this imaginary circle are skills and abilities that a person is naturally less competent at. The concept was popularised by Warren Buffett, who argued that investors should only invest in companies they know and understand. However, the circle of competence applies to any topic and indeed any individual.

What is a Moat

Economic or market moats represent the long-term business defensibility. Or how long a business can retain its competitive advantage in the marketplace over the years. Warren Buffet who popularized the term “moat” referred to it as a share of mind, opposite to market share, as such it is the characteristic that all valuable brands have.

Buffet Indicator

The Buffet Indicator is a measure of the total value of all publicly-traded stocks in a country divided by that country’s GDP. It’s a measure and ratio to evaluate whether a market is undervalued or overvalued. It’s one of Warren Buffet’s favorite measures as a warning that financial markets might be overvalued and riskier.

Venture Capital

Venture capital is a form of investing skewed toward high-risk bets, that are likely to fail. Therefore venture capitalists look for higher returns. Indeed, venture capital is based on the power law, or the law for which a small number of bets will pay off big time for the larger numbers of low-return or investments that will go to zero. That is the whole premise of venture capital.

Foreign Direct Investment

Foreign direct investment occurs when an individual or business purchases an interest of 10% or more in a company that operates in a different country. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), this percentage implies that the investor can influence or participate in the management of an enterprise. When the interest is less than 10%, on the other hand, the IMF simply defines it as a security that is part of a stock portfolio. Foreign direct investment (FDI), therefore, involves the purchase of an interest in a company by an entity that is located in another country. 

Micro-Investing

Micro-investing is the process of investing small amounts of money regularly. The process of micro-investing involves small and sometimes irregular investments where the individual can set up recurring payments or invest a lump sum as cash becomes available.

Meme Investing

Meme stocks are securities that go viral online and attract the attention of the younger generation of retail investors. Meme investing, therefore, is a bottom-up, community-driven approach to investing that positions itself as the antonym to Wall Street investing. Also, meme investing often looks at attractive opportunities with lower liquidity that might be easier to overtake, thus enabling wide speculation, as “meme investors” often look for disproportionate short-term returns.

Retail Investing

Retail investing is the act of non-professional investors buying and selling securities for their own purposes. Retail investing has become popular with the rise of zero commissions digital platforms enabling anyone with small portfolio to trade.

Accredited Investor

Accredited investors are individuals or entities deemed sophisticated enough to purchase securities that are not bound by the laws that protect normal investors. These may encompass venture capital, angel investments, private equity funds, hedge funds, real estate investment funds, and specialty investment funds such as those related to cryptocurrency. Accredited investors, therefore, are individuals or entities permitted to invest in securities that are complex, opaque, loosely regulated, or otherwise unregistered with a financial authority.

Startup Valuation

Startup valuation describes a suite of methods used to value companies with little or no revenue. Therefore, startup valuation is the process of determining what a startup is worth. This value clarifies the company’s capacity to meet customer and investor expectations, achieve stated milestones, and use the new capital to grow.

Profit vs. Cash Flow

Profit is the total income that a company generates from its operations. This includes money from sales, investments, and other income sources. In contrast, cash flow is the money that flows in and out of a company. This distinction is critical to understand as a profitable company might be short of cash and have liquidity crises.

Double-Entry

Double-entry accounting is the foundation of modern financial accounting. It’s based on the accounting equation, where assets equal liabilities plus equity. That is the fundamental unit to build financial statements (balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement). The basic concept of double-entry is that a single transaction, to be recorded, will hit two accounts.

Balance Sheet

The purpose of the balance sheet is to report how the resources to run the operations of the business were acquired. The Balance Sheet helps to assess the financial risk of a business and the simplest way to describe it is given by the accounting equation (assets = liability + equity).

Income Statement

The income statement, together with the balance sheet and the cash flow statement is among the key financial statements to understand how companies perform at fundamental level. The income statement shows the revenues and costs for a period and whether the company runs at profit or loss (also called P&L statement).

Cash Flow Statement

The cash flow statement is the third main financial statement, together with income statement and the balance sheet. It helps to assess the liquidity of an organization by showing the cash balances coming from operations, investing and financing. The cash flow statement can be prepared with two separate methods: direct or indirect.

Capital Structure

The capital structure shows how an organization financed its operations. Following the balance sheet structure, usually, assets of an organization can be built either by using equity or liability. Equity usually comprises endowment from shareholders and profit reserves. Where instead, liabilities can comprise either current (short-term debt) or non-current (long-term obligations).

Capital Expenditure

Capital expenditure or capital expense represents the money spent toward things that can be classified as fixed asset, with a longer term value. As such they will be recorded under non-current assets, on the balance sheet, and they will be amortized over the years. The reduced value on the balance sheet is expensed through the profit and loss.

Financial Statements

Financial statements help companies assess several aspects of the business, from profitability (income statement) to how assets are sourced (balance sheet), and cash inflows and outflows (cash flow statement). Financial statements are also mandatory to companies for tax purposes. They are also used by managers to assess the performance of the business.

Financial Modeling



This post first appeared on FourWeekMBA, please read the originial post: here

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