-China and North Korea's favoured candidate, the left/liberal Moon Jae-in (who does not support the deployment of Thaad unless the DPRK undertakes a sixth nuclear test) retains a 10-percentage point lead in the presidential polls. Rationally, it is best for the PRC/DPRK to stay out of the fray and allow their best outcome to occur on 9 May. Ahn Cheol-soo (effectively the Emmanuel Macron of Korea) will have a chance only if the main conservative candidate fades. A victory for Ahn...(continued)

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