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Monopoly Money: Big Business, Barbie & the Benefits of Diversification

“Small, independent, decentralized business of the kind that built up our country, of the kind that made our country great, first, is fast disappearing, and second, is being made dependent upon monster concentration.”[i]

“I think that we are approaching a point where a fundamental decision must be made in regard to this problem of economic concentration. Shall we permit the economy of the country to gravitate into the hands of a few corporations? Or, on the other hand, are we going to preserve small business, local operations, and free enterprise?”[ii]

So said Representative Celler and Senator Kefauver, who sponsored what would become the 1950 Celler-Kefauver Act. Their views were widely shared by members of Congress amid rising national concerns that “…concentration was rapidly driving the small businessman out of the market.”[iii] What followed is almost difficult to believe in today’s America.

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By the 1960s, the Act would play a central role in undoing a merger between two shoe producers. Together they would have had a 5% market share “…that if left unchecked would reduce competition in some cities.”[i] Several years later, the Act would be used to unwind the combination of two grocery chains, resulting in the merged company controlling “…7.5% of the total groceries sold in the Los Angeles market each year.”[ii]

5% of shoe sales in some cities? Blocked. 7.5% of Los Angeles’ grocery? Not allowed.

Our research has chronicled the steady growth in bipartisan support for a more aggressive take on big businesses. The issue is so powerful it created alignment between Senator Elizabeth Warren and President Donald Trump.[iii] We’ll provide some quotes from those better versed in such things in a moment. But first, we think the chart below is a compelling sign of just how far this cycle has gone.

The revenues of the 25 largest companies[1] now represent 40% of total sales in the S&P 500. A level last seen during the Nifty-Fifty era. You’ll not be surprised that big-tech, too-big-to-fail financial services firms, and healthcare feature prominently on this list.

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The KCR team read a great deal about the ebb-and-flow of America’s history of anti-trust.  We are happy to report that it is complex and beyond our sphere of expertise.  What we do know

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Sources

[i] United States v. Von’s Grocery Co., 384 U.S. 270 [ii] IBID [iii] IBID [1] Sorted by sales [iv] Harvard Business School, US Antitrust Law, Laura Phillips Sawyer, Brown Shoe Co. v. United States [v] United States v. Von’s Grocery Co., 384 U.S. 270 [vi] The Rise of Kitchen Table Economics, The Financial Times, Rana Foroohar [vii] https://www.wsj.com/articles/hawley-aims-at-wokeness-and-misses-free-speech-corporations-constitutionality-8746d3e5 [viii] IBID [ix] Why America’s Big Companies Keep Getting Bigger, The Financial Times, Ruchir Sharma [x] Attack Monopoly Power with Deregulation, Not Antitrust Law, Bloomberg, Tyler Cowen [xi] The Problem with Concentrated Power, The Financial Times, Rana Foroohar [xii] The Antitrust Case Against Google Was a Republican Project, The Wall Street Journal, William P. Barr [xiii] Fifty Years of Shareholder Value Have Swollen Monopoly Power, The Financial Times, Michelle Meagher

Disclaimer

The information, data, analyses, and opinions presented herein (a) do not constitute investment advice, (b) are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore are not, individually or collectively, an offer to buy or sell a security, (c) are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate, and (d) are subject to change without notice. Kailash Capital Research, LLC and its affiliates (collectively, “KCR”) shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages, or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information herein may not be reproduced or retransmitted in any manner without the prior written consent of KCR. In preparing the information, data, analyses, and opinions presented herein, KCR has obtained data, statistics, and information from sources it believes to be reliable. KCR, however, does not perform an audit or seek independent verification of any of the data, statistics, and information it receives. KCR and its affiliates do not provide tax, legal, or accounting advice. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for tax, legal, or accounting advice. You should consult your tax, legal, and accounting advisors before engaging in any transaction.

Nothing herein shall limit or restrict the right of affiliates of KCR to perform investment management or advisory services for any other persons or entities. Furthermore, nothing herein shall limit or restrict affiliates of KCR from buying, selling, or trading securities or other investments for their own accounts or for the accounts of their clients. Affiliates of KCR may at any time have, acquire, increase, decrease, or dispose of the securities or other investments referenced in this publication. KCR shall have no obligation to recommend securities or investments in this publication as a result of its affiliates’ investment activities for their own accounts or for the accounts of their clients.

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