Long/short strategies - Are you scared or excited about 2021?
biobro
January 11, 2021 - 11:48pm
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Hedge Fund Forum
Public markets at all-time highs. Retails going crazy. Staggering returns for investors in game-changing ideas or memes like ARK, bitcoin, TSLA, etc.
Bear thesis: COVID resurgence might happen. US kind of in a political turmoil, and lots of stimulus, lots of people unemployed.
Bull thesis: Recovery will take place. Fed stimulus. ???
Are you excited? Scared?
This post first appeared on Wall Street Oasis | Investment Banking & Finance Commun..., please read the originial post: here
Bear thesis: Big Tech is already pushing to influence Biden's administration ahead of pushback against said companies from regulators and progressive groups. Should regulators bring the hammer down I expect a social media bloodbath
Bull thesis: The FED will literally bail out anyone
Bull Thesis: Fed keeps pumping apparently endless money into the system. Valuations don't matter because fomo and sentiment.
Bear Thesis: Unemployment benefits, eviction ban expire. More businesses get shaken out and end up bankrupt. Tax cut reversion during the democratic presidency?
Bear thesis: https://twitter.com/FatTailCapital/status/695779009267892225
Bull thesis: https://www.nber.org/system/files/chapters/c11485/c11485.pdf
Bull thesis: papi powell, Robin hood still exists, rates aren't going anywhere for another while longer, employment is only going to get better from here
Bear thesis: Wild valuations, eventually raising rates, COVID 2.0, corporate taxes, Care Act ends, robinhooders get jobs and can't buy calls all day
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