I worked in the 2016 presidential campaign and predicted Trump win few weeks before the election, this time due to pandemic I could not travel to the USA and had been observing the election since the beginning of the year 2020, and here is my take on the overall election campaign and how both the leaders spearheading campaigns in this crucial battle.

DONALD TRUMP : 

Donald Trump looks very strong to me, although in all the opinion polls he is behind, however, this time also he has every chance to prove opinion polls will go wrong, just like in 2016, even during that time he was behind.

Advantages: Trump is a master in understanding voter pulse, it appears to me trump has covered every aspect which can impress his section of Voters and also influence neutral voters, a few examples I can quote are anti china, making America great, no lockdown during this pandemic, constantly providing confidence to Americans that they can overcome this pandemic, and his attitude towards Covid that it is because of china will surely put him a front runner. His statements to sub-urban women, and constant reminders that because Obama and Biden didn’t do well that is why I am here creates a real positive impact among voters. The current president is a poll master and his mass appeal to American voters in crucial swing states should work favors to him. His direct attack against Biden that he couldn’t do anything during his tenure will surely create an impact among neutral voters.

Disadvantages: Due to this pandemic, people losing their lives definitely matters, few sections vehemently argue that this govt should have done better-handling pandemic, opponents highlighting tax evasion and the way Trump handled other sections especially “Black lives matters protests” undoubtedly created some negative impact.

JOE BIDEN: 47 years political career, started his political journey in early 70’s looks like a tied politician to me at this point, whatever acquisitions he is making against Trump that current president is a racist was also faced by Biden in his early part of his career. American youth is not really impressed with Biden, especially the first-time voters.

Advantages: Biden’s offer – Free Covid Vaccine to all Americans is a big gamble in this game. This pandemic is the biggest arsenal for Democrats to pull down the Trump govt, every family which is affected by this pandemic will surely look for Democrats, and usually a significant majority of African American voters are always staunch supporters of the Democratic party. Anti Trump factor is also key, people who usually don’t like Trump radicalism, polarisation surely support Democrats, however how much all these factors will truly create an impact in the world’s most developed country’s voters, as I always say politics are politics with a change of strategies anywhere in the world.

Disadvantages: Trump is making sure in every occasion where he gets that Biden is not a saint, Trump’s remarks truly create doubt among many sections of voters about Biden leadership qualities and also the honesty being in politics for so long, especially his son getting favors in large business deals will surely be an imp allegation.

CONCLUSION:
Overall the world-famous election happening in 2020 created all the drama, excitement, and fun for watchers across. In politics what works and what doesn’t work is always based on the final election results and undoubtedly in this election also we need to wait a few more weeks to understand it. But to cut short the anxiety in my opinion this election looks a very closer battle than it appears and for me, Trump looks Strong and Biden looks Tied in this fight.

So a leader looking strong will emerge as a winner or a leader looking tied with the support from all sections will emerge as a winner after November 3rd. Let’s wait !

Laggani Srinivas
Thought Leader & Strategist
Research fellow in Applied politics & Tennis Player

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