Introducing ATLANTIC PLAYBOOK, a new substack by Chad focused on US + European econ and politics. Subscribe below. https://atlanticplaybook.substack.com/ Read More
Blog Directory > Business Blogs > Chaganomics business Blog >
Chaganomics Blog
1
Tags:
A blog about all facets of the universe inside markets, economics, entrepreneurship, ventures, startups, management, merchant banking and money. This blog is an opinion blog authored by Chad Hagan.
Have We Seen The Worst In The Housing Market?The Epoch TimesBy Chadwick HaganJan 23, 2024As soon as the Fed started raising rates, I expected to see a housing market correction. Luck… Read More
A new Emerson College Polling/WHDH New Hampshire survey finds former President Donald Trump leading the Republican Primary with 44% support, followed by Nikki Haley with 28%. Haley has gaine… Read More
Resignation of President Biden for health reasons President Biden withdraws sometime between Super Tuesday and the November election, citing health
reasons. Biden passes the torc… Read More
Chief Justice Roberts Issues 2023 Year-End ReportSometimes, the arrival of new technology can dramatically change work and life for the better. Just one century ago, for… Read More
Published at The Epoch TimesDecember 22, 2023Income and wealth inequality are contentious issues in the United States. The mainstream media often declares that millionaires, billiona… Read More
War often leads to inflation, and while inflation is not directly responsible for recession, price increases and decreased economic activity often lead to a recession.When I wrote about the… Read More
Since the arrival of cryptocurrencies, it caught worldwide eyeballs from being proposed as an alternative currency and digital money to becoming one of the lucrative investment choic… Read More
The division among producer, transit, and consumer states of illicit drugs has clearly broken down since the late 1980’s. The 1990’s produced a globalization of illicit d… Read More
The death of the U.S. dollar has been greatly exaggerated.The death of the U.S. dollar has been greatly exaggerated, especially as of late. While COVID-19 and recording breaking spending fro… Read More
Canada has evidence linking Indian diplomats to killing of Sikh activist
According to the Guardian: "Canada has evidence linking Indian diplomats to killing of a Sikh activist."… Read More
‘Countering Assad’s Proliferation Trafficking And Garnering Of Narcotics Act’’ or the ‘‘CAPTAGON Act’’.The act is an "INTERAGENCY STRATEGY TO… Read More
POLAND'S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK IMPROVES GDP rebounded quarter on quarter in Q1, but the economy likely swung back to contraction in Q2. Industrial production shrank month on month in April&m… Read More
Original attached. Translated. Facing these savage hordes, asking for calm is no longer enough, it must be imposed!Restoring the republican order and putting the apprehended beyond the… Read More
Germany June 2023 - FocusEconomics Consensus ForecastOUTLOOK IS MODERATEThe economy fell into a technical recession in Q1, driven by a sustained fall in private spending. Consumers spent les… Read More
The July 2023 edition of the FocusEconomics Consensus ForecastUnited States - Outlook improves After growing 1.3% in quarter-on-quarter annualized terms in Q1, the economy likely saw a… Read More
Deepsea Challenger piloted by James Cameron in 2012Years ago I was approached by a small submarine startup for investment. I was pitched by one of the co-founders. I knew him through mutual… Read More
Financially, it’s going to be an interesting summer. At the moment, mortgage rates are hitting 7 percent, median rent prices are at $1,850 per month, and the average car payment is abo… Read More
Understandably since 1776 Americans have had mixed feelings about the British monarchy. In reality, most of the legal basis of our freedom and wealth stems from the examples and processes cr… Read More
The economy outperformed market expectations in Q1, with annual GDP growth accelerating to 4.5% from 2.9% in Q4. The lifting of Covid-19 restrictions, fading virus cases and government measu… Read More
On Jan. 10, 2023, Rep. Buddy Carter (R-Ga.) introduced H.R. 25, the Fair Tax Act, to replace the current tax code with a national consumption tax known as the FAIRtax. “Each household… Read More
Economy, Inflation Continue Hot Streak in January as New Home Sales Receive Boost from Temporarily Lower Mortgage RatesKey Takeaways:Gross domestic product (GDP), adjusted for inflation, inc… Read More
Article by Chadwick HaganThe Epoch TimesWill the European Union or certain countries in the EU ban meat production in order to meet emission regulations? In short, the answer is yes. There i… Read More
Predictions from Saxo Bank:A country agrees to ban all meat production by 2030In an effort to become one of the global leaders on the path to net-zero emissions, one country decides to not o… Read More
HOW TO MAKE A MINT: THE CRYPTOGRAPHY OF ANONYMOUS ELECTRONIC CASHLaurie Law, Susan Sabett, Jerry SolinasNational Security Agency Office of Information Security Research and TechnologyCrypto… Read More
The S&P 500 jumped Thursday in one of the last trading sessions of the year but remained on track to close out its worst year since the 2008 financial crisis. broad-based stock inde… Read More
December 27, 2022FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast Major Economies - January 2023Economic Outlook The economy will come close to stagnation next year on elevated interest rates and slow… Read More
The Fannie Mae (FNMA/OTCQB) Home Purchase Sentiment Index® (HPSI) decreased 4.1 points in October to 56.7, its eighth consecutive monthly decline and lowest reading since the inception o… Read More
Hurry if you’re selling, halt if you’re buying, stay if you’ve borrowed, finance experts advise.The Office for National Statistics announced on August 17th that UK inflatio… Read More
Just wrapped up an article for a column and I wrote the following: There is a risk that a prolonged slowdown in China could weigh down the rest of the interconnected developed world. There i… Read More
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen speaks on the state of the US economy during a press conference at the Department of Treasury in Washington, DC, on July 28, 2022. (Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty… Read More
From Focus Economics: Prices for Australian thermal coal rose over the last month, averaging USD 408.4 per metric ton in July, which was up 3.4% from June’s price and was 180.0% higher… Read More
The red-hot housing market is showing signs of cooling down, but it’s not just in America where this is happening. Globally, cities all over are feeling the crunch, with price-to-rent… Read More
Japan: The economy likely rebounded in Q2. The recovery’s spearhead will have been consumer spending. Most Covid-19 restrictions were removed in late March, helping to push the service… Read More
United KingdomGrowth was seemingly solid in Q1, as the progressive removal of virtually all Covid-19 restrictions supported the services sector. The economy clocked back-to-back monthly grow… Read More
China’s Bid for World Domination: Belt and Road Initiativeby Chadwick HaganPublished by The Epoch TimesThe Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is an internationally planned infrastructure d… Read More
“Sri Lanka warned of an unprecedented default and halted payments on foreign debt, an extraordinary step taken to preserve its dwindling dollar stockpile for essential food and fuel im… Read More
Outlook deterioratesAfter GDP growth accelerated in Q4 due to stronger domestic demand, momentum has likely waned in Q1 as the latest Covid-19 wave and elevated price pressures drag on econo… Read More
After a soft Q4 outturn, most key indicators from the statistical office suggest a stronger start to 2022: January–February readings for industrial production, investment and retail sa… Read More
Nickel prices averaged USD 24,016 per metric ton in February, which was 7.8% higher than January’s price of USD 22,285 per metric ton. February’s increase was largely attributed… Read More
Since the late 2010s there has been re- newed debate about the merits and demer- its of progressive wealth taxation. This debate has largely been motivated by the increase in wealth concentr… Read More
1. PoliticsJair Bolsonaro will be defeated in Brazil's 2022 presidential election. The US GOP will still suffer identity and leadership issues, despite a surge in conservative popularity.Roe… Read More
A Legal Framework for Decentralized Autonomous OrganizationsThis analysis was written by David Kerr (Principal, Cowrie LLC) and Miles Jennings (General Counsel, Crypto, Andreessen Horowitz)… Read More
It turns out Amazon collects a striking amount of information from customers. Perhaps more than we expected. U.S. Amazon customers can obtain their data by filling out a form on Amazon.com… Read More
OVERVIEW: OUTLOOK REMAINS STABLEGDP growth has likely lost some momentum in the third quarter, after accelerating slightly in Q2 on the back of stronger private consumption and rebounding ex… Read More
GDP GrowthGDP growth lost some momentum in Q2, after hitting an over 10-year high in Q1. The slowdown was predominately driven by a weaker external sector as export growth tapered and import… Read More
Gold prices decreased over the past month, as an improving U.S. labor market and expectations for a more hawkish Fed ahead weighed on demand. On 6 August, gold closed the day at USD 1,764 pe… Read More
Hungary's Economic Outlook ImprovesOverviewThe recovery should have continued in Q2, after improving domestic demand and a more upbeat external sector underpinned the economy in Q1. A month… Read More
Brent crude prices continued to gain ground over the past month, hitting an over two-and-a-half-year high in early July, boosted by a tight production becoming increasingly outstripped by de… Read More
Job Openings and Labor Turnover The number of job openings reached a series high of 9.3 million on the last business day of April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported tod… Read More
Commodities OverviewGrowth in global commodity prices accelerated to 6.2% monthon-month in May, from 1.4% in April. The result, which marked the fastest rise since February, was broad-based… Read More
A new book by Chaganomics founder Chad Hagan on Global Family Office Investing has been published by Palgrave.Family offices are currently the most attractive group of investors and the… Read More
Downloaded today by Chaganomics Editor Read More
OVERVIEWGlobal commodity prices rose 1.4% over the previous month in April, down from March’s 3.0% increase. Although the reading marked the seventh consecutive month of rising prices… Read More
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Index of Global Real Economic Activity [IGREA], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IGREA, May 11, 2021… Read More
Total number of vaccination doses administered. This is counted as a single dose, and may not equal the total number of people vaccinated, depending on the specific dose regime (e.g. people… Read More
Economic Consensus Forecast Latin AmericaLatin AmericaIn 2021, the regional economy should rebound from last year’s Covid-19-induced slump. However, still-tight containment measures du… Read More
Key Takeaways:In the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) March 16-17 meeting, participants noted the potential for a stronger economic recovery given the improvemen… Read More
The National Intelligence Council has released the seventh edition of its quadrennial Global Trends report. Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World is an unclassified assessment of the fo… Read More
The World: While momentum in early 2021 will be curtailed in some countries by tougher restrictions amid the spread of new Covid-19 variants, the global economy should rebound later in the y… Read More
GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOKWORLD The economy is set to rebound strongly this year, following 2020’s sharp downturn. Pent-up demand and elevated household saving should support private spen… Read More
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast East & South AsiaOutlook Improves - Focus EconomicsThe economy expanded 6.5% in Q4, more than expected, underpinned by an export surge and robust indust… Read More
Brilliant paper discussing millionaires in Britain between 1928-1929. An explosion of the super-rich which was brought on by a lack of competition within businesses and discusses a lot… Read More
Japan Is Ready to Become a Member of Five EyesFive Eyes is a five country pact composed of Anglo-Saxon countries sharing intelligence. A coalition of sorts. With Japan joining as a member we… Read More
From Chaganomics:This data was edited to best fit the visual description. All data from OpenTable: State of the Industry. From OpenTable:The data indexes two things. First, the overall… Read More
BBC: US singer-songwriter Bob Dylan has sold the rights to his entire song catalogue to Universal Music Group (UMG). The deal is one of the biggest acquisitions in Universal's history a… Read More
A brighter outlook but recovery will be gradual.Faster vaccine deployment and better cooperation for its distribution would boost confidence and strengthen the pickup but continued uncertain… Read More
The recovery remains firmly in place, with October indicators signaling still-robust economic dynamics. On 29 October, China’s top leadership finalized the blueprint of the 14th Five-Y… Read More
U.S. Economic Health Heavily Dependent on COVID-19 Path Housing Sector Remains Strong but Expected to Moderate in New YearWASHINGTON, DC – November 17, 2020 – The response by con… Read More
Brent crude prices plummeted in recent weeks as the oil market navigated election-related uncertainty in the U.S., soaring numbers of new Covid-19 cases globally and despite a tightening sup… Read More
Finnish economist Tuomas Malinen explains the nature and severity of the historic global financial crash underway. He foresees worst-case scenarios which can even include “widespread h… Read More
The federal deficit has reached historic levels in recent years, even before Congress passed the $2 trillion Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES) in March 2020. Join us… Read More
OVERVIEW | Global commodity prices dip in September Global commodity prices fell 2.5% over the previous month in September, contrasting August’s 3.9% increase and marking the first dec… Read More
OutlookOn the heels of the worst economic downturn in over a decade in Q2 owing to the Covid-19 fallout, recent data hints at a fragile recovery in Q3. After two months of robust gains as th… Read More
Whoever is inaugurated on January 20, 2021, will face many fiscal challenges over his term. Under current law, trillion-dollar annual budget deficits will become the new normal, even after… Read More
United KingdomThe economy appeared to rebound in Q3, following a record collapse in GDP in Q2 due to a pandemic-induced fall in domestic demand. GDP rose strongly in July as Covid-19 restric… Read More
OUTLOOK MODERATESThe economic recovery continues to gain traction, despite a challenging external environment, mostly due to solid dynamics at home. Retail sales returned to growth in August… Read More
From The BBC: First and foremost, the EU wants the UK to sign up to strict rules on fair and open competition, so if British companies are given tariff-free access to the EU market, they can… Read More
EGYPT: PMI dips marginally in August, remaining in contractionary territory Egypt’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)—which measures business activity in the non-oil private… Read More
Downward pressure on oil has continued, with ICE Brent closing more than 5% lower yesterday, and crucially below the US$40/bbl level. There was no clear catalyst for the move, however, a str… Read More
Aluminium: Macro, fundamentals and uncertainty Expectations of a bear trend may be misplaced this autumn. Instead, the risk to prices is more skewed to the upside in a reflationary mac… Read More
OUTLOOK IMPROVESGDP contracted at the fastest pace on record in Q2 following a plunge in domestic demand amid Covid-19 containment measures. The external sector contributed positively to the… Read More
The recovery trend remained intact in July following the solid rebound in Q2, benefiting from a reopening of the global economy and robust demand for health products. Exports of goods accele… Read More
Political instability may be a contributor in the coming decadeThe next decade is likely to be a period of growing instability in the United States and western Europe, which could undermine… Read More
Silver broke the $28 level during the trading session on Monday breaking a resistance barrier. The grey metal is finally receiving long overdue attention.Kitco: According to analysts looking… Read More
Soft Commodity Report August 2020Global Harvest / PlantingUnited States:Planting: Early March through JuneHarvest: Early July through early DecemberChina:Planting: Late Febru… Read More
Argentina: Argentin strikes deal with creditors, setting stage for crucial negotiations with IMF. On 4 August, the Argentinian government reached an agreement with its biggest creditors to r… Read More
A little August vacation reading - CHWhat is the state of play? The Covid-19 pandemic led to a temporary suspension of trade talks earlier this year. Despite this, an extension to the t… Read More
OverviewGlobal commodity prices regain further lost ground in June Global commodity prices jumped 15.4% over the previous month in June, on the heels of May’s 16.4% upturn and marking… Read More
The economy is expected to have contracted sharply in the second quarter due to Covid-19. In April, industrial output fell at the steepest clip since at least the early 1990s, particularly o… Read More
The economy likely contracted at an even sharper pace in the second quarter as Covid-19 induced lockdowns weighed heavily on activity. In May, the unemployment rate ticked down from April&rs… Read More
**Electric Vehicles Go- Briots Go Full Monty*LONDON, June 30 (Reuters) - Britain’s transition from petroleum to electricity in road transport is accelerating, albeit from a low base, a… Read More
A report and article from EPI entitled: 50 years after the Kerner Commission. African Americans are better off in many ways but are still disadvantaged by racial inequality, Report… Read More
Brent crude oil prices trended upwards in recent weeks, thanks to falling global output after OPEC+ extended production cuts and as consumption rebounded somewhat amid easing lockdowns in ma… Read More
The Netherlands has been slow to adopt an energy transition programme compared to other European countries. The Climate Plan, released by the government in late-June 2019, marked a clear tur… Read More
The economy is set to have suffered a severe blow in Q1 due to the coronavirus pandemic and associated containment measures, with the full brunt of the impact to be felt in Q2. The vital tou… Read More
