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Chaganomics Blog
A blog about all facets of the universe inside markets, economics, entrepreneurship, ventures, startups, management, merchant banking and money. This blog is an opinion blog authored by Chad Hagan.
UK Housing Market September 2022
2022-09-06 16:20
Hurry if you’re selling, halt if you’re buying, stay if you’ve borrowed, finance experts advise.The Office for National Statistics announced on August 17th that UK inflatio… Read More
Japan's Lost Decade
2022-08-30 19:07
Just wrapped up an article for a column and I wrote the following: There is a risk that a prolonged slowdown in China could weigh down the rest of the interconnected developed world. There i… Read More
Recession Or Not?
2022-08-16 15:33
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen speaks on the state of the US economy during a press conference at the Department of Treasury in Washington, DC, on July 28, 2022. (Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty… Read More
Thermal Coal Prices Continue To Rise
2022-08-08 19:22
From Focus Economics: Prices for Australian thermal coal rose over the last month, averaging USD 408.4 per metric ton in July, which was up 3.4% from June’s price and was 180.0% higher… Read More
Economic Update For Major World Economies
2022-07-28 18:21
Japan: The economy likely rebounded in Q2. The recovery’s spearhead will have been consumer spending. Most Covid-19 restrictions were removed in late March, helping to push the service… Read More
Major Economies - May 2022
2022-05-03 21:21
United KingdomGrowth was seemingly solid in Q1, as the progressive removal of virtually all Covid-19 restrictions supported the services sector. The economy clocked back-to-back monthly grow… Read More
2022-04-26 20:50
China’s Bid for World Domination: Belt and Road Initiativeby Chadwick HaganPublished by The Epoch TimesThe Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is an internationally planned infrastructure d… Read More
Sri Lanka Heads Towards Default
2022-04-12 15:13
“Sri Lanka warned of an unprecedented default and halted payments on foreign debt, an extraordinary step taken to preserve its dwindling dollar stockpile for essential food and fuel im… Read More
Mainland China Economic Outlook
2022-03-22 17:03
After a soft Q4 outturn, most key indicators from the statistical office suggest a stronger start to 2022: January–February readings for industrial production, investment and retail sa… Read More
Nickel Forecast 2022
2022-03-15 23:13
Nickel prices averaged USD 24,016 per metric ton in February, which was 7.8% higher than January’s price of USD 22,285 per metric ton. February’s increase was largely attributed… Read More
What Will Happen In 2022?
2022-01-03 20:44
1. PoliticsJair Bolsonaro will be defeated in Brazil's 2022 presidential election. The US GOP will still suffer identity and leadership issues, despite a surge in conservative popularity.Roe… Read More
Hong Kong Economic Outlook Improves
2021-08-25 19:26
GDP GrowthGDP growth lost some momentum in Q2, after hitting an over 10-year high in Q1. The slowdown was predominately driven by a weaker external sector as export growth tapered and import… Read More
Where Is The Price Of Gold Going?
2021-08-11 20:28
Gold prices decreased over the past month, as an improving U.S. labor market and expectations for a more hawkish Fed ahead weighed on demand. On 6 August, gold closed the day at USD 1,764 pe… Read More
Brent Crude Oil Outlook
2021-07-16 18:54
Brent crude prices continued to gain ground over the past month, hitting an over two-and-a-half-year high in early July, boosted by a tight production becoming increasingly outstripped by de… Read More
Commodities Overview
2021-06-23 00:47
Commodities OverviewGrowth in global commodity prices accelerated to 6.2% monthon-month in May, from 1.4% in April. The result, which marked the fastest rise since February, was broad-based… Read More
Available Now At Palgrave
2021-06-23 00:45
A new book by Chaganomics founder Chad Hagan on Global Family Office Investing has been published by Palgrave.Family offices are currently the most attractive group of investors and the… Read More
Global Commodity Outlook (May 2021)
2021-05-19 15:26
OVERVIEWGlobal commodity prices rose 1.4% over the previous month in April, down from March’s 3.0% increase. Although the reading marked the seventh consecutive month of rising prices… Read More
COVID-19 Vaccine Doses Administered
2021-04-23 17:22
Total number of vaccination doses administered. This is counted as a single dose, and may not equal the total number of people vaccinated, depending on the specific dose regime (e.g. people… Read More
Economic Consensus Forecast Latin America
2021-04-22 19:24
Economic Consensus Forecast Latin AmericaLatin AmericaIn 2021, the regional economy should rebound from last year’s Covid-19-induced slump. However, still-tight containment measures du… Read More
Britain's Interwar Super-Rich | 1928-1929
2020-12-20 17:07
Brilliant paper discussing millionaires in Britain between 1928-1929. An explosion of the super-rich which was brought on by a lack of competition within businesses and discusses  a lot… Read More
Bob Dylan Sells Catalog
2020-12-11 15:51
BBC: US singer-songwriter Bob Dylan has sold the rights to his entire song catalogue to Universal Music Group (UMG). The deal is one of the biggest acquisitions in Universal's history a… Read More
OECD Economic Outlook, December 2020
2020-12-02 20:43
A brighter outlook but recovery will be gradual.Faster vaccine deployment and better cooperation for its distribution would boost confidence and strengthen the pickup but continued uncertain… Read More
China Economics Outlook Improves
2020-11-18 17:36
The recovery remains firmly in place, with October indicators signaling still-robust economic dynamics. On 29 October, China’s top leadership finalized the blueprint of the 14th Five-Y… Read More
Oil Outlook November 2020
2020-11-11 19:44
Brent crude prices plummeted in recent weeks as the oil market navigated election-related uncertainty in the U.S., soaring numbers of new Covid-19 cases globally and despite a tightening sup… Read More
2020-09-23 16:14
OUTLOOK MODERATESThe economic recovery continues to gain traction, despite a challenging external environment, mostly due to solid dynamics at home. Retail sales returned to growth in August… Read More
EU - UK Trade Deal: No Deal Is Likely
2020-09-11 05:00
From The BBC: First and foremost, the EU wants the UK to sign up to strict rules on fair and open competition, so if British companies are given tariff-free access to the EU market, they can… Read More
Brent Breaks Below US$40/bbl
2020-09-09 18:06
Downward pressure on oil has continued, with ICE Brent closing more than 5% lower yesterday, and crucially below the US$40/bbl level. There was no clear catalyst for the move, however, a str… Read More
Aluminum Market Overview
2020-09-04 06:00
 Aluminium: Macro, fundamentals and uncertainty Expectations of a bear trend may be misplaced this autumn. Instead, the risk to prices is more skewed to the upside in a reflationary mac… Read More
USA: Economic Outlook Improves
2020-09-03 19:28
OUTLOOK IMPROVESGDP contracted at the fastest pace on record in Q2 following a plunge in domestic demand amid Covid-19 containment measures. The external sector contributed positively to the… Read More
China Economic Outlook Improves
2020-09-01 16:41
The recovery trend remained intact in July following the solid rebound in Q2, benefiting from a reopening of the global economy and robust demand for health products. Exports of goods accele… Read More
Silver Market Update
2020-09-01 01:55
Silver broke the $28 level during the trading session on Monday breaking a resistance barrier. The grey metal is finally receiving long overdue attention.Kitco: According to analysts looking… Read More
Soft Commodity Report August 2020
2020-08-20 21:30
Soft Commodity Report August 2020Global Harvest / PlantingUnited States:Planting: Early March through JuneHarvest: Early July through early DecemberChina:Planting: Late Febru… Read More
Latin America: News In Focus
2020-08-11 16:12
Argentina: Argentin strikes deal with creditors, setting stage for crucial negotiations with IMF. On 4 August, the Argentinian government reached an agreement with its biggest creditors to r… Read More
Brexit Update (August 2020)
2020-08-03 19:50
A little August vacation reading - CHWhat is the state of play? The Covid-19 pandemic led to a temporary suspension of trade talks earlier this year. Despite this, an extension to the t… Read More
Commodities Consensus Forecast (July 2020)
2020-07-16 19:48
OverviewGlobal commodity prices regain further lost ground in June Global commodity prices jumped 15.4% over the previous month in June, on the heels of May’s 16.4% upturn and marking… Read More
Economic Outlook For Germany Improves
2020-07-13 20:08
The economy is expected to have contracted sharply in the second quarter due to Covid-19. In April, industrial output fell at the steepest clip since at least the early 1990s, particularly o… Read More
US Economic Outlook July 2020
2020-06-30 17:03
The economy likely contracted at an even sharper pace in the second quarter as Covid-19 induced lockdowns weighed heavily on activity. In May, the unemployment rate ticked down from April&rs&hell…Read More
Global Oil Prices
2020-06-17 19:24
Brent crude oil prices trended upwards in recent weeks, thanks to falling global output after OPEC+ extended production cuts and as consumption rebounded somewhat amid easing lockdowns in ma… Read More
Greece Outlook Deteriorates
2020-06-11 20:24
The economy is set to have suffered a severe blow in Q1 due to the coronavirus pandemic and associated containment measures, with the full brunt of the impact to be felt in Q2. The vital tou… Read More
Fed To Leave To Door Open For More Stimulus
2020-06-08 18:14
Given this backdrop, the Fed will leave the Fed funds target rate unchanged at 0-0.25% and we suspect they will refrain from offering much new forward guidance. Their Mainstream Lending Prog… Read More
United States Economy Deteriorates
2020-06-03 23:00
A second GDP estimate confirmed the economy contracted at the sharpest rate since 2008 in the first quarter, and available data for the second quarter paints an even bleaker picture. In Apri… Read More
UK Economic Outlook Worsens
2020-06-02 17:57
The economy shrank at the sharpest pace since the global financial crisis in Q1, weighed on by lower consumption, investment and exports amid social distancing restrictions. The downturn in… Read More
2020-05-28 22:31
"The Money Cloud"As the economy re-opens initial jobless claim are starting to fall more quickly, but at 2.12 million for last week it remains horribly high. Hiring is happening, but it will… Read More
Euro Area Outlook Worsens - May 2020
2020-05-05 19:09
Preliminary figures showed the economy suffered its worst contraction on record in the first quarter. The downturn came on the back of frozen business and household activity in the better pa… Read More
US GDP: The Descent Begins
2020-04-30 04:30
At the start of the year the US economy was in great shape. The uncertainty from US-China trade tensions was lifted by the deal signed between Presidents Trump and Xi while the lowest unempl… Read More
2020-04-29 17:15
The coronavirus pandemic led the economy to log its worst economic performance since, at least, 1992 in the first quarter. All GDP components likely nosedived in Q1 due to the implementation… Read More
Federal Reserve Reinforces Measures
2020-04-10 06:00
In another busy morning for the Federal Reserve we have seen it expand its tool kit further by announcing a US$2.3 trillion package, including loans for small businesses and municipalities t… Read More
A Decade Of Job Growth Has Come To An End
2020-04-04 00:43
As a decade of job growth in the US comes to an end, a recession is not the correct word of what we are currently witnessing. It is an abrupt stop of economic activity, from 100 to zero in j… Read More
United States Economic Outlook (April 2020)
2020-04-01 16:00
United States Economic Outlook (April 2020)The economy has taken a marked turn for the worse in the first quarter, as the Covid-19 pandemic has been pervasive throughout all sectors of the e… Read More
Major Economies Forecast (April 2020)
2020-04-01 04:30
Economics OutlookWorld The global economy will take a severe hit this year as the coronavirus pandemic has brought economic activity to a screeching halt across large swatches of the globe… Read More
Banks In Pandemic Turmoil
2020-03-31 15:55
The banking system is critical to society and requires attention and support. In doing so, however, tough love is preferable to complacency.As the COVID-19 spread and policy reactions have d… Read More
Economic Outlook Worsens For China
2020-03-28 01:07
Economic activity plummeted at the start of the year owing to the coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak, with retail sales, urban fixed-investment and industrial production all plunging at the sha… Read More
Spain Covid-19
2020-03-19 01:11
Spain has been hit hard by Covid-19, with latest figures showing about 14,000 infections and over 600 deaths. It is the second most-affected European country after Italy. While the governmen… Read More
Global Commodity Summary (March 2020)
2020-03-18 05:00
Global commodity prices fell 7.7% over the previous month in February, worsening from January’s 1.5% dip and marking the sharpest contraction since December 2018. The escalating corona… Read More
Potential Therapy For Coronavirus
2020-03-18 00:50
Potential: An existing therapy for coronavirus may exist in the drugs Ritonavir or Hydroxychloroquine, both have been used in patients with mild coronavirus disease (COVID-19). As for anothe… Read More

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