So I haven't had time to look at these numbers (and can't quite find the original numbers on the CDC site), but it seems they are solid. If you have any other info, please share it. It appears that gun deaths (evenly, across suicides and homicides) have increased after being flat from 1999-2014. So what happened in 2015 that caused the sudden uptick that has continued until today?
I mean, look at that graph. It looks hockey stick as fuck. But the other, conflicting, information I know, is that violent crime is still either down or flat.
I have not seen any numbers on murders themselves (Can someone add them?), but even this article only speaks of a slight uptick in 2015-6 that came down in '17 & '18.
All right, nevermind, just saw this set of numbers from the FBI that indeed show that 2015 was a major inflection point (though these numbers show a plateau of sorts?). The article claims it was only a few cities that were responsible for the rise. Still, below is the rate of murder (from 1999 to 2018).
Unlike the firearm numbers, it would seem that it has a drop from 2008-2014 that the firearms mainly shows as a flatline (some decrease there, but not as obvious there).
I'm not exactly sure what to say about this. Even this map (which shows that the only decreases in firearm deaths from 1999-2017 was in California (and Nevada, though), New Mexico and NY.
So make of that what you will.But this all matters, and it's important to wonder why things have changed. Note that the life expectancy in America is still going down, and given what inequality is, won't be going up any time soon. But like that chart up there, life expectancy matches what you would expect. Red states, for the most part, have taken on a strict regiment of democide (for their poors, for their minorities) and you see the results where Clinton states (that voted for Clinton) did much better than Trump ones.
Of course, this matters (both the feeling that things are falling apart for some of the country and not for others)
Here in Seattle there was a shooting last week that increased a bunch of talk (and of course, the usual racists of the PNW coming out in droves) of the increase in gun violence (the racists, of course, blaming every liberal and dark person they could, though looking at the map and chart, their entire view is wrong) has started some level of discussion here.
We need to be smart and make sure that the discussion goes in the right direction and the crazy nutters (how many are end of the worlders looking for the apocalypse? I wonder. it's not small).
Indeed, racists were persuaded by Trump because some of this carnage was real (but nothing in their world view was... after all California has improved on many fronts, whatever its problems, and done much better than red states in general), but we need to point people to what's really causing all this rather than saying "everything is fine".
Your thoughts?
Edit: Welp, life expectancy has gone up. 78.7 from 78.6. Which seems too small to say anything, but would match up with the numbers given above (the slight decline in murders could go hand in hand with deaths of despair?). I'm guessing we're not out of the fog yet and it would also seem that there's not any numbers on what this looks like for each state. We'll have to see.
Still, the numbers have stagnated since 2010. That's pretty bad:
Edit: Welp, life expectancy has gone up. 78.7 from 78.6. Which seems too small to say anything, but would match up with the numbers given above (the slight decline in murders could go hand in hand with deaths of despair?). I'm guessing we're not out of the fog yet and it would also seem that there's not any numbers on what this looks like for each state. We'll have to see.
Still, the numbers have stagnated since 2010. That's pretty bad:
"Dr. Preston pointed out that the small rise in 2018 merely put the country back where it was in 2010, amounting to nearly a decade of stagnation, rare for a wealthy country."
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