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Today’s Best BetToday’s Best Long Shot

Nine races will be run and won at Morphettville this Saturday for Behemoth Stakes Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out five metres for the entire circuit.

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Behemoth Stakes : View the Field and Odds for the Behemoth Stakes

Back Me

2 Jewel Bay (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) looks a nice horse for Phillip Stokes that resumes. This guy had a two run prep in the Autumn to start his career, winning impressively on debut on the Parks track before racing there again and not being as dynamic when second to impressive juvenile I Am Unstoppable, who went on to be a subsequent Stakes winner. Loved his trial win at Murray Bridge and seemingly has got bigger/better/stronger with the prep under the belt.

Danger

1 Surprise Coming (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) has come back in super order for Kylie Schulz and no reason why he can’t make it three on the bounce. Gave them a start and a beating when winning fresh over 900m at Murray Bridge before proving that was no fluke when a dominant winner two weeks ago at this track/distance, settling just off the speed and coming with a well timed run to win quite well. He can win again.

Long Shot

All you can do is win and that is what 3 Gruelling (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) did on debut, giving them a start and a beating, letting down hard late for a nice win. That was at 1200m so with natural improvement and good upside to come, he rates highly for me as one of the winning threats. I think watch the market though and see what it does.

Back Me

14 Tres Belle (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) seems the straight bat option for me. Ryan Balfour trained mare that debuted at the midweeks at Gawler back on July 19. She was well specked at odds and while she didn’t win, the move was proven right because she got a mile out of her ground and worked home with real purpose when second to Katim’s Club, just missing out on the win. Better for the run under the belt, she appeals.

Danger

9 The Back Page (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a key threat. Stuart Padman trained gelding that debuted at the midweeks at Murray Bridge where he got back to near last in the run and was never a winning factor but I really liked the way he found the line late in the piece. Has a gate to settle much closer in the run and off the debut, is hard to beat.

Long Shot

7 Seven Shots (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) hasn’t been too bad in three career outings for David Jolly. She ran last Wednesday at Gawler where she was just off the speed throughout and there to threaten but just didn’t have the change up speed to go with them late in the piece when fourth to Spitfire Sun. Not sure he is good enough to win but a first four contender.

Back Me

6 Silent Don (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) has been good to us in recent runs and happy to butter up with him. Let down with real purpose to win two back over 1700m at Gawler before running over the mile here two weeks ago where he was slightly held up in trying to get clear air but got out and worked home strongly behind Chicago Bear. Back up in trip, he clearly appeals.

Danger

4 Montepulciano (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a very genuine animal for Team Jolly that is generally around the mark. He hasn’t raced since July 8 at Gawler over 1700m when back off the speed and tried to make a move into the race. He did find the line well but was no match for Silent Don. Firmer footing is a big tick for him and he does tend to save his best here. Hard to beat.

Long Shot

3 Blue Cup (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is an improver at odds. He ran last Saturday at Flemington over 2000m where he got back off the speed and was forced to come wide on the turn on a day where the inside was no disadvantage that stage of the meeting, and couldn’t get involved behind Shaiyhar. Gets a jockey upgrade, a gate to do no work in the run and his best is clearly good enough.

Back Me

4 Merchant Boss (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is flying for Travis Doudle and it’s hard to get away from him. He has won his past two, winning on the Parks track two back before going here two weeks ago when giving them a start and a beating, launching late to finish over the top for a big win. Good test here with a rise in grade/depth, but hard to knock how well he’s racing and is the straight bat option.

Danger

3 Sweetened (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) has to be respected for Clarken/O’Shea. First run for the stable came a fortnight back in the Lightning. She got a fair way out of her ground but I really liked the way she found the line late in the piece when second to La Danseuse Rouge. Back to benchmark grade and if she runs up to last start, she has to be rated as one of the hardest to beat.

Long Shot

5 Viduka (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a sneaky chance. He ran last Saturday at Murray Bridge when wide no cover for the trip and was entitled to knock up but kept chipping away and was game in defeat behind Keep Reading. The quick back up I find interesting but the way he’s racing, I think he is in with a shout at a likely decent price.

Back Me

6 More Sugar (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is the winner for me. Like most, I was keen on her last Saturday at Murray Bridge off the back of an electric win but unfortunately she got too far back in the run and couldn’t quite sustain the finale, beaten just over a length by Headphones in a big effort. She was several weeks between runs so with room for improvement, up in trip, could be a case of good luck beating her.

Danger

8 Flyway (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) has found winning form and he can certainly go on with it. That win came last Wednesday at Gawler. He was given a lovely ride by Toeroek and loomed large to win in the straight. He didn’t immediately put them away but in a driving finish, he was able to get the job done. He’s racing like 1800m suits and commands respect.

Long Shot

4 Lomax (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is on the seven day back up after racing over this trip last Saturday at Murray Bridge. They actually rode him a bit closer than normal and I reckon it backfired as he failed to finish it off like we know he can behind Exalted Fire, who led throughout and was too good. I think with a more patient steer, he’ll be more effective.

Back Me

4 Wally West (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) has to be rated as hard to beat. He ran two weeks ago in the Lightning over 1050m here. He was really poor weighted but despite that, I thought he ran a very credible race in defeat. This looks more his level and if there is petrol left in the tank, I do think he is the one they have to beat, quite clearly.

Danger

1 Declared (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) should appreciate racing back to 70 grade. He ran two weeks ago in the Lightning over 1050m here where there was a late market push despite a late scratching but couldn’t really get involved and was a bit plain late in the piece behind La Danseuse Rouge. Back to benchmark grade, hard to beat if there is petrol left in the tank.

Long Shot

2 Kong (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness for Ryan Balfour. He was plain first up behind Jacks On Ice, perhaps not handling the bog at Gawler. He found firmer footing on the Parks track a few weeks back and ran a much improved race when second to stablemate Deevine. Hard fit now, he’s found positive form, he’s a key chance.

Back Me

10 Victory Bandit (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is dangerous with her best. Team Jaensch trained mare that comes back to 1500m after racing over 2000m a fortnight back here. She got back to near last in the run and while she was never a threat, she did make up ground and was far from disgraced in defeat, beaten just under six lengths. Knocking on the door and strikes a winnable race.

Danger

5 Prince Jofra (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a very interesting runner. He’s having his first run for Travis Doudle, his last run coming on June 3 over 1950m on the Parks track when just off the speed but didn’t fire at all when asked and was a bit on the plain side behind Montepulciano. He might need the run but at his best, he is certainly good enough to take this out.

Long Shot

11 Shez Betty (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is two weeks between runs for Ken Sweeney after racing at Morphettville where she got back off the speed and was never really a factor but did make up some headway and wasn’t too bad in defeat behind impressive winner Bonnie Gangster. The rise to 1500m I find interesting but overall, this isn’t a deep race.

Back Me

2 Ironclad (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) on top for me. Clarken/O’Shea trained gelding that resumes, having not raced since Adelaide Cup Day when producing an end of prep run, finishing down the track in the CS Hayes behind Beltoro, who was flying at the time. He can sprint well fresh and I thought his trial here last week was great, suggesting he’s ready to run a beauty fresh.

Danger

10 See You In Heaven (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a quality mare for Team Jolly that is first up. Not sure what happened in the Autumn with just two runs, being runner up each time. Latest was in the Vanity at Flemington when narrowly beaten by Wollombi. Pushed out to win a trial here last week, so not sure she’s fully wound up to go, but she class and brilliance, which will carry her a long way.

Long Shot

3 Calypso Reign (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) won this race last year and I think is sneaky flying to defend his title. He last ran on Adelaide Cup Day in the Matrice and did nothing in a very plain effort behind Another Award. He is an absolute bomb fresh horse and I thought his trial behind See You In Heaven was a decent piece of work. Likely spots them a start but will be strong at the end.

Back Me

2 Portration (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is flying for Team Jaensch and has to be rated as the one to beat. He ended last prep on a high with a win and has continued it this time in, winning 2/2. Latest was a few weeks ago on the Parks track when getting into a sweet sit behind the speed before angling wider and as the race went on, he got better in winning. No reason why he can’t win again.

Danger

8 Miss Remski (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is a Peter Hardacre trained mare that resumes. This girl is first up, having not raced since March 18 on the Parks track when producing an end of prep run when down the track behind Larkham. She is a sharp type when right and with a couple of solid trials under the belt, I think she’s ready to go.

Long Shot

3 Saville (Bet Now: 
$SP.00) is flying this time in and commands respect. He ran over 1200m here two weeks back where he got a fair way back in the run and spotted those in front too much head start but liked the way he finished the race off when a close up fourth to Jack The Lad. That was his first run in a month so with room for improvement, he’s in with a shout.

BEST BET: Race Five Number 6 More Sugar

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 2 Jewel Bay

LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 2 Ironclad

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 4

Leg Two: 5, 9, 10, 11

Leg Three: 2, 3, 9, 10, 11

Leg Four: 2

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