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NFL Betting Trends – Week 8

Week 8 odds have arrived and as we approach the midway point of the season, some more unique NFL betting Trends are starting to take shape.

I tend to prefer the meat and potato variety of full game trends, but some eye-opening trends for individual quarters and halves have developed, and some are simply impossible to ignore. You’ll notice a handful of these trends below with some logic to back them, and I’ll most certainly be pulling the trigger on a few in my other content this week.

Keep in mind that with first quarter trends and first quarter spread and moneyline bets in general, there’s an element of luck involved that doesn’t really impact full-game bets. That element is who receives the ball first. If you bet on a team to cover that first quarter spread, and they get the ball first, they’re highly likely to have more possessions, meaning more opportunities to score. 

So, if you too are making some first quarter wagers this week as a part of your NFL picks, best of luck with that pregame coin toss… it’s too bad we can’t bet on that too!

Anyway, let’s get into the latest NFL odds!

Best NFL Week 8 betting trends

Buccaneers vs Bills

The trend: The Bucs have gone Under their team total in 14 of their last 20 games

The Buccaneers have had some miserable offensive performances so far this season, as their last four games have seen them average just 14 points per game. Buffalo’s defense has had some standout performances this season, as they’ve allowed 10 or fewer points in three games. Tampa’s team total is set at 16.5.

See all Buccaneers vs. Bills trends for Week 8.

Saints vs Colts

The trend: The Saints have gone Under in nine straight road games

The total for this game is at 43.5 and all nine of these games easily went Under this number, with the highest combined score among the games being 37 points. Colts’ games have been higher scoring this season, primarily due to ranking 30th in points allowed, but they’re due for some positive regression considering they rank 10th in yards allowed per play.

See all Saints vs. Colts trends for Week 8.

Jaguars vs Steelers

The trend: Jacksonville is 8-0 SU and ATS in its last eight games outside of Jacksonville

This trend includes their two London matchups from this season and the Jaguars were an underdog in half of these games, so there’s no denying that they bring their A-game when traveling. Coincidently, they also have a strong betting history in Pittsburgh as they’ve gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games there. The Jags are favored by 2.5 in this matchup.

See all Jaguars vs. Steelers trends for Week 8.

Falcons vs Titans

The trend: The Titans have gone Under the fourth quarter total in 17 of their last 19 games

This has been one of my favorite trends of the season for the simple reason that it just keeps hitting. The Titans rank 31st in fourth-quarter scoring this season with just 2.7 points, while their defense is allowing just 4.8 points in the 4th quarter. Combine that with Desmond Ridder’s red zone issues and we appear to have a solid pairing. The fourth-quarter total for this game is 9.5.

See all Falcons vs. Titans trends for Week 8.

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Texans vs Panthers

The trend: The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in the first quarter this season

Carolina is getting off to good starts as they’ve only trailed after one quarter in one of their six games. Their defense is allowing just 3.3 first-quarter points per game and the offense got off to a great start in their most recent game, scoring 14 points in the opening quarter vs the Dolphins. They’re +0.5 on the first-quarter spread against the Texans, who are a road favorite for the first time in almost three years.

See all Texans vs. Panthers trends for Week 8.

Rams vs Cowboys

The trend: The Rams are 23-13-4 ATS after a loss under Sean McVay

This is one I’ve recommended a few times in this article, and the Rams have gone 2-0-1 ATS after a loss this season. They’re a six-point underdog in Dallas and are building some momentum as an underdog of four or points, as they’ve covered three straight in this spot. 

See all Rams vs. Cowboys trends for Week 8.

Jets vs Giants

The trend: The Under is 18-4-2 in the Giants’ last 24 home games

The battle of New York has baseball a score written all over it. The Giants have scored more than 16 points just once in seven games while the Jets offense has scored just seven touchdowns in their six games. To the surprise of no one, this game has one of the lowest totals of the season at 36.5.

See all Jets vs. Giants trends for Week 8.

Eagles vs Commanders

The trend: Washington is 20-5-1 to the Under in their last 26 home games

A major wrench was thrown into this trend in the Commanders’ last home game when they combined for 60 points with the Bears. However,  previous to that, they played in seven straight games at home that all failed to cross 40 combined points. Their last six divisional home games have all gone Under as well, including last season’s 24-8 loss to the Eagles. The total for this game is set at 43.5. 

See all Eagles vs. Commanders trends for Week 8.

Patriots vs Dolphins

The trend: The Dolphins are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a home favorite

Miami is the biggest favorite of the week at -9.5 and that could persuade some to back the underdog here, especially when you consider the games each team is coming off. Maybe don’t have such a short memory though, because the Dolphins have been an elite bet in this spot. As a favorite of more than a touchdown within this trend, they’re 5-1 ATS while they’ve also covered in six straight against the Patriots.

See all Patriots vs. Dolphins trends for Week 8.

Vikings vs Packers

The trend: The Packers are 6-0 ATS in the second half this season

I think it’s safe to throw out a lot of Packers’ trends from past seasons due to the massive dropoff from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love, so I’ll keep riding this standalone trend that’s specific to the 2023 Packers. Green Bay sees a tremendous amount of offensive improvement from one half to the next as they lead the NFL with 17.2 second-half points, but are dead-last in first-half scoring with just 4.3.  

See all Vikings vs. Packers trends for Week 8.

Browns vs Seahawks

The trend: The Browns are 4-13 ATS after a win since the start of the 2021 season

This trend has strongly carried over to this season where the Browns are now 0-3 ATS following an outright win. There’s also a pretty big offensive gap between these teams, with Seattle ranking 12th in yards per play and Cleveland at 29th. The Seahawks are favored by three points for this Week 8 clash. 

See all Browns vs. Seahawks trends for Week 8.

Ravens vs Cardinals

The trend: The Ravens are 7-0 ATS in the first quarter

The Ravens have been a first-quarter buzzsaw, outscoring their seven opponents 55-6 in the opening frame, thanks primarily to five separate first-quarter shutouts. Arizona has been outscored 27-6 in the first quarter over their last four games, and Baltimore is favored by 2.5 for Sunday’s 1Q.

See all Ravens vs. Cardinals trends for Week 8.

Chiefs vs Broncos

The trend: Kansas City has won 14 straight games vs the Broncos

This trend won’t help you with your spread betting as the Chiefs are favored by eight, but you should consider Kansas City on a teaser given the ability to get them down to -2. They took their foot off the gas and let Denver hang around in Week 6, so don’t expect the same thing to happen twice on Sunday. 

See all Chiefs vs. Broncos trends for Week 8.

Bengals vs 49ers

The trend: The 49ers have won 13 of their last 18 home games by 15 or more points

Some home cooking is what the 49ers need after two losses on the road, and they’ll try to continue a tear that’s seen them win at home by 18, 19, and 32 points this season. The Bengals are coming off two straight wins, but still rank dead-last in yards per play and 30th in yards allowed per rush. The 49ers are favored by 5.5 for this one.

See all Bengals vs. 49ers trends for Week 8.

Bears vs Chargers

The trend: The Bears are 2-8 ATS after a win since the start of the 2021 season

Wins have been rare for the Bears over the past few seasons and they generally don’t follow them up with a strong performance, as six of the 10 losses in this trend came by double-digits. The Chargers, who are easily one of the most untrustworthy teams in the NFL, are favored by 8.5. I think I’ll sit this one out.

See all Bears vs. Chargers trends for Week 8.

Raiders vs Lions

The trend: The Raiders have gone Under their team total in all seven games this season

Shockingly, Josh McDaniels is no longer the offensive mastermind that he was in New England. Las Vegas has only topped 20 points once in a game all season and that was thanks to a safety vs. the Patriots. Their team total for this game is 17.5, which is a number they’ve stayed beneath in all four of their road games.

See all Raiders vs. Lions trends for Week 8.


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