The AFL draft is approaching, with trade chatter surrounding the No.1 pick, Harley Reid, dominating discussions. Several clubs have attempted to trade up to secure the top selection, but history shows that being the No.1 pick does not guarantee success. Only a few No.1 picks have gone on to achieve multiple All-Australian selections, and there is a low chance of winning a premiership or a Brownlow Medal. The North Melbourne Kangaroos, who have five first-round picks, must consider whether it is worth trading up for Reid. The article suggests looking at Hawthorn's successful approach to the 2004 draft as a model.

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