U.S.-China relations are focused on Crisis Prevention and managing flashpoints such as Taiwan and the South China Sea, as the two countries' presidents meet for the second time since Joe Biden took office. Tensions have escalated over the years, with tariffs under the Trump administration and tech restrictions under Biden. While sentiment has improved, both sides are waiting for more action. Export controls and investment restrictions are top concerns for China, but there is no political space in Washington to roll back existing controls. The meeting could mark a high point for relations, but the key question is whether this will extend or trigger a new cycle of deterioration.

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