Poland's upcoming Election on October 15 will have significant implications for its relationship with the European Union (EU) and Ukraine. The ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party, seeking a third term, faces opposition from the Civic Coalition (KO), led by former European Council President Donald Tusk. The campaigns have focused on issues such as judicial independence, media freedom, migration, and national identity. The election result is expected to be close, potentially resulting in a hung parliament. The far-right Confederation party, a potential kingmaker, may surprise by supporting the opposition. The EU has criticized Poland over rule of law concerns, while Poland has clashed with Ukraine over grain exports.

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