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JPMorgan hikes EM default forecast as Country Garden drives China contagion fears

JPMorgan has raised its global emerging markets corporate high-yield Default forecast due to concerns about contagion in China's property sector. The bank increased its forecast for 2023 to 9.7% from 6% and raised its Asia high-yield Default Rate Forecast to 10% from 4.1%. JPMorgan expects China property to account for almost 40% of all default volumes in 2023. The bank also highlighted the potential ripple effect of a default by Country Garden, which could add $9.9 billion to the global emerging markets high-yield corporate default tally. Additionally, JPMorgan raised its default rate forecast for Latin America and emerging Europe.

The post JPMorgan hikes EM default forecast as Country Garden drives China Contagion Fears appeared first on Balanced News Summary.



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