Madeleine Sumption, head of the Migration Observatory at Oxford College, wrote a blog earlier this week explaining why non-EU migration is so excessive. She says though the post-Brexit immigration guidelines launched by the govenment “is more likely to have had some impression on non-EU visa grants” (which have gone up), largely different elements are concerned. She says:

Three elements have come collectively to make the variety of visas granted to non-EU residents unusually excessive. The most important single issue is the introduction of visa routes for Ukrainian refugees and Hong Kong British Nationals (Abroad) standing holders. Collectively these two routes contributed 45% of the 467,000 improve in visa grants between 2019 and the 12 months ending June 2022 (excluding guests and short-term research).

The remainder of the rise outcomes from college students (39% of the rise) and work visas (23% of the rise). Expert staff, significantly within the well being and care sectors, have been the primary issue behind the rise in work visa grants.

That is from Jay Lindop, director of the Centre for Worldwide Migration on the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics, commenting on as we speak’s figures.

A sequence of world occasions have impacted worldwide migration patterns within the 12 months to June 2022. Taken collectively these have been unprecedented. These embrace the tip of lockdown restrictions within the UK, the primary full interval following transition from the EU, the struggle in Ukraine, the resettlement of Afghans and the brand new visa route for Hong Kong British nationals (Abroad), which have all contributed to the file ranges of long-term immigration now we have seen.

Migration from non-EU nations, particularly college students, is driving this rise. With the lifting of journey restrictions in 2021, extra college students arrived within the UK after finding out remotely in the course of the coronavirus pandemic. Nonetheless, there has additionally been a big improve within the variety of individuals migrating for a variety of different causes. This contains individuals arriving for humanitarian protections, akin to these coming from Ukraine, in addition to for household causes.

These many elements unbiased of one another contributing to migration presently imply it’s too early to say whether or not this image will probably be sustained.

Mark Easton, the BBC’s residence affairs editor, says the newest annual internet migration determine is the very best on file.

ONS says internet migration into UK rose sharply to 504,000 in previous 12 months, partly as a consequence of ‘distinctive’ elements

The Workplace for Nationwide Statistics has launched figures displaying that internet migration – the variety of individuals arriving within the UK to remain long run, minus the quantity leaving – reached an estimated 504,000 within the 12 months ending in June this 12 months.

And the variety of long-term immigrants arriving in that interval was 1.1 million, the ONS says.

These figures characterize an enormous improve on earlier years, however the ONS says that’s partly as a consequence of some “distinctive” elements. It says:

The interval main as much as June 2022 was distinctive, with simultaneous elements coinciding to have an effect on long-term immigration; this included the continued restoration in journey following the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic, numerous migration occasions together with a brand new immigration system following transition from the EU, and the continued help for Ukrainian nationals and others requiring safety.

These have all contributed in direction of comparatively excessive ranges of complete long-term immigration at an estimated 1.1 million within the 12 months to June 2022.

The estimated 435,000 improve in complete immigration in contrast with a 12 months earlier was pushed by non-EU nationals (up 379,000 to 704,000 within the YE June 2022); growing arrivals of worldwide college students and folks travelling from Ukraine beneath the visa help scheme have been all contributing elements.

General, internet migration continued so as to add to the inhabitants within the YE June 2022, with an estimated 504,000 extra individuals arriving long-term to the UK than departing; internet migration of non-EU nationals was estimated at 509,000 within the YE June 2022, in contrast with unfavorable 51,000 and 45,000 for EU and British nationals respectively.

Right here is the graph displaying the immigration figures.

And right here is the graph displaying the online migration figures.

Dominic Raab going through ‘sequence’ of bullying claims from civil servants

Dominic Raab is reportedly going through a number of contemporary complaints from senior civil servants in a number of authorities departments over allegations of bullying behaviour. My colleague Geneva Abdul has the story right here.

Mick Lynch to debate rail strikes with transport secretary as UK hit by wave of business motion

Good morning. Years in the past, not less than till the late Eighties, probably the greatest jobs in journalism was to be the commercial editor. Strikes have been all the time within the information, they coated a great deal of tales (and sometimes took priority of the political correspondents masking the Labour social gathering, which was then largely run by the unions). However after the Thatcher authorities’s union reforms, plus mass unemployment, union membership fell, the variety of days misplaced to strikes shrunk, and now the commercial correspondents have now virtually all gone. Which is a disgrace, as a result of as we speak we actually want some.

Here’s a fast round-up from on-strike Britain.

And listed here are some image from the CWU union Twitter feed.

• And Mick Lynch, the RMT common secretary, is making ready for a gathering with Mark Harper, the transport secretary, to debate what may be accomplished to avert more strikes planned for December and January. Lynch gave an interview to ITV’s Peston final evening and he known as for a brand new, ‘transactional’ strategy from the federal government. He mentioned:

We’d like the federal government to get its act collectively and be a facilitator. We’ve had a lot disruption, the place Grant Shapps was frankly simply going round being bellicose, accusing me of being some type of medieval baron, evil Marxist mastermind and all the remainder of it. It’s simply not applicable.

If Mark Harper needs to come back in there and calm stuff down, and say let’s get on with the enterprise, let’s do transactional enterprise throughout the desk – they get a bit, we get a bit, our members profit, the general public advantages – completely satisfied days, let’s get on with the deal, we don’t must have strikes.

Right here is the agenda for the day.

9.30am: Mark Harper, the transport secretary, takes questions within the Commons.

11.30am: Downing Avenue holds a foyer briefing.

11.45am: Harper is because of maintain a gathering with Mick Lynch, the RMT common secretary.

I attempt to monitor the feedback under the road (BTL) however it’s unattainable to learn all of them. When you’ve got a direct query, do embrace “Andrew” in it someplace and I’m extra more likely to discover it. I do attempt to reply questions and, if they’re of common curiosity, I’ll put up the query and reply above the road (ATL), though I can’t promise to do that for everybody.

If you wish to entice my consideration shortly, it’s in all probability higher to make use of Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.

Alternatively, you possibly can e-mail me at [email protected]