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22/10/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Moonee Valley, Cox Plate day

A bumper ten Race card has ben set down for Moonee Valley this Saturday, highlighted by the best race Australia has to offer, the Cox Plate (2040m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Race 1. (12:10) Inglis Banner 1000m

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Back Me

1 Arkansaw Kid (Bet Now: $SP.00) on top in the opener. Team Hayes trained colt that IMO has been the pick from what i’ve seen from jumpouts, winning a couple at Flemington and has seemingly moved like a nice horse. Looks a big lump of a thing but has an engine under the hood. I’m in his corner.

Danger

4 Mexico (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a Capitalist colt for Michael Freedman that has only had the one trial to get ready, which came at Randwick. Did a bit wrong but balanced up late and wasn’t too bad to the line and through it when third. Hard to get keen in this race based on previous years but in a leading juvenile stable and does get J Mac.

Long Shot

7 Optume (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a Team Hayes trained daughter of Pierro. She jumped out a couple of weeks back alongside Arkansaw Kid and was comfortably held late, but did show early speed, which is a big advantage in these early 2YO races. Last bit will test, but she’ll give a sight.

Race 2. (12:50) Strathmore Bendigo Bank Hcp 1000m

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Back Me

6 Sartorial Splendor (Bet Now: $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and give a sight. He was off the speed over 955m on Moir Night and he actually kept finding the line, just missing out on the win when a narrow second to Wolflands. He races best when he leads and rolls, so if that eventuates, he’ll run well at odds.

Danger

10 Wolflands (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a lightly raced four year old that can win. Has been kept on ice since winning the 955m here on Moir Night, and yes, was lucky to win, but right place right time and was too good. Asfoora came out of that to bolt up in the Caulfield Sprint, so that form is A1 for this. Hard to beat.

Long Shot

5 Streetcar Stranger (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a very interesting runner. David Jolly trained gelding that resumes, having not raced since the Oakleigh Plate when down the track and outclassed behind Marabi. His trial effort wasn’t too bad at Morphettville and maps to get the suck run. Just needs luck.

Race 3. (13:25) Red Anchor Stakes 1200m

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Back Me

Landed with 8 Atlantic Ocean (Bet Now: $SP.00) for Chris Waller. It was only a Warwick Farm maiden he won first up, but there was a bit of quality about the way he put them away to win nicely in a strong return. Form around him from last prep reads well and is the one with upside/timing.

Danger

1 Sejardan (Bet Now: $SP.00) is crying out for a firmer deck. He found a bottomless in the Roman Consul and just couldn’t pick his feet up when down the track behind Best Of Bordeaux, but clearly had excuses. Far from disgraced in the Golden Rose, I am not penning him against these.

Long Shot

9 Great Barrier Reef (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a Chris Waller trained colt with good talent. He has been kept on ice since the Danehill at Flemington where he was good late without threatening behind Giga Kick, which is right now the best sprint form in the world. Clearly reads well for a seemingly moderate race here, especially with the Waller polish.

Race 4. (14:00) Crockett Stakes 1200m

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Back Me

12 Greece (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a very good filly for the Maher/Eustace camp. She is a beautiful sort that has a Group l motor I feel. Resumed in a Geelong maiden where she gave them an absolute spanking from the front and ran really good time without Jamie Kah extending her. Destined for better races than this, keen on her chances, provided the track isn’t too badly rain affected.

Danger

3 Willinga Beast (Bet Now: $SP.00) can bounce back. McEvoy slaughtered her in the Roman Consul. The track was red hot inside but connections notified a COT, ridden with a sit. Whether that forced the hand of McEvoy, not sure, but the lead was there to be had. Instead, opted for cover and it cost her the win when third to Best Of Bordeaux. She gets her chance to get a Stakes win here.

Long Shot

6 Over Shady (Bet Now: $SP.00) is in with a shout. Didn’t disgrace herself at Mornington behind Wee Nessy on Grand Final Day before going to a Sale madien where she sat on speed and once clicked up, away she went and was much too good. Has Stakes class ability IMO and can measure up here.

Race 5. (14:35) 3 Point Motors Fillies Classic 1600m

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Back Me

7 Climbing Star (Bet Now: $SP.00) rises to the mile from 1200m, which is a query I feel, but she is a filly with good talent and finds a weak race. The debut win at Cranbourne was very sharp, making a mess of them after being smashed late in betting, suggesting she has got an engine under the hood. Gate one, does no work and could be one out of the box against an average bunch.

Danger

5 Hell Hath No Fury (Bet Now: $SP.00) looks hard to beat here for Danny O’Brien. She ran in the Jim Moloney at Sandwon and closed her race off well late, just missing out on the win when a close up third to Waltz On By. Dodged the Guineas to be saved for this race and I think that decision will pay off with forward showing here.

Long Shot

3 Vagrant (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a filly for Mitch Freedman that I have time for. Too bad to be true in the Thousand Guineas Prelude before going to the Edward Manifold where she got back to near last in the run and was good late without threatening behind She’s Licketysplit. If they can run on, she’ll take beating against these.

Race 6. (15:10) Schweppes Crystal Mile 1600m

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Back Me

1 Callsign Mav (Bet Now: $SP.00) was too bad to be true in the Toorak, and I thought wide no cover wasn’t a big enough excuse for him to fail so badly, but Jamie Mott said post race that the horse got his tongue over the bit. Super tough win in the Rupert Clarke the start prior and this looks his level, plus is suited big time at WFA.

Danger

5 My Oberon (Bet Now: $SP.00) brings high class UK form to be respected. I thought he was potentially heading towards a Cox Plate but instead runs here. Formerly with William Haggas, he makes his Australian debut for Annabel Neasham and if he brings anything near his best from the UK, he likely wins. Huge market watch.

Long Shot

9 Military Expert (Bet Now: $SP.00) will put himself on speed and look the winner for the most part. He was on speed in the Toorak and tried his guts out but couldn’t quite finish it off but stayed on quite soundly in defeat when third to Tuvalu. Proven at The Valley, good racing style, he’ll take beating.

Race 7. (15:45) Drummond Golf Vase 2040m

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Back Me

1 Berkeley Square (Bet Now: $SP.00) should be winning, provided he handles the track. I thought Williams didn’t give him the best of steers in the Caulfield Guineas and should have gone close to winning instead of a close up fourth to Golden Mile. He’s looked a 2000m+ horse since day one, he has the class, runs on the board…he wins surely.

Danger

3 Pericles (Bet Now: $SP.00) is the threat. Bit of ticker was shown when a debut winner at Kembla Grange. He then went to the Tapp-Craig at Randwick and given the track pattern, his run was absolutely enormous when second to Opal Ridge. Straight to 2040m is the unknown, but on potential, he might just be better than these. Just unsure where he gets to from the draw.

Long Shot

5 Skyphios (Bet Now: $SP.00) should be suited up to 2040m. He was thrown in the deep end fresh in the Caulfield Guineas, seemingly as a prep run for the Derby, and I liked the way he found the line late in the piece behind Golden Mile. This’ll top him off for next Saturday but should be strong late. First four contender.

Race 8. (16:25) Moonee Valley Cup 2500m

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Back Me

Have to butter up and include 1 Grand Promenade (Bet Now: $SP.00). I think he’s racing really well without much luck, which included the Herbert Power two weeks ago where he was full of running off the pace but couldn’t get clear air at the right stage behind Saracen Knight. Hard fit now, with quality, he commands respect.

Danger

6 Persan (Bet Now: $SP.00) is working up to a win for the Maher/Eustace camp. He tried his guts out in the Herbert Power a fortnight back and was as brave as ever. Just couldn’t quite finish it off when fourth to Saracen Knight. He’s getting towards peak fitness and does have class.

Long Shot

8 Serpentine (Bet Now: $SP.00) is certainly capable with his best. Forgetful first up run behind High Emocean but he ran a much improved race in the Bart Cummings and was far from disgraced behind Lunar Flare. This stable/these colours are cast, but getting closer to the Melbourne Cup…surely they are going to fire.

Race 9. (17:10) Cox Plate Plate 2040m

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Back Me

All things being equal, 10 Anamoe (Bet Now: $2.30) wins. He is looking for redemption from 12 months ago where you can easily make a case to say he should have won. He has come back better than ever this time in, producing a great finale to win the Might And Power two weeks ago, with upside to come. He has to be the one to beat given he is the bulletproof horse with the right form and the runs on the board.

Danger

The only hope I gave for 1 Zaaki (Bet Now: $4.00) was drawing gate one, leading, having the fence…and voila, that is the set up he gets here. Two Melbourne runs this time in, he has sat outside Alligator Blood and tried hard, but wanted to lay in under pressure and hasn’t quite gone on with it. He races best when dominating from the front, which is what he does here, so he is the main threat to Anamoe IMO.

Long Shot

7 Laws Of Indices (Bet Now: $34.00) gets the barrier to do no work and for mine, is a first four threat. His Toorak run was unbelievable given he was back near last in a race dominated by those on speed. He did an amazing job to run second to Tuvalu. Looked to work super here on Tuesday morning, he’ll get the soft run and I think will be strong late.

Race 10. (17:50) Tesio Stakes 1600m

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Back Me

3 Agreeable (Bet Now: $SP.00) for me in the get out. Will Clarken trained mare that is on the back up after producing an electric finale from off the speed to win the Murray Bridge Cup last Friday, which followed a strong effort from the back in the Balaklava Cup. If the inside gate is used to advantage, she’ll take beating.

Danger

Good test here for 6 Roots (Bet Now: $SP.00), but she is a promising mare for Chris Waller. 2/2 this time in, winning fresh at Warwick Farm before going to Canterbury where she defied the pattern, making a sustained run from off the speed to keep finding the line and really surged the final 50m to win. Think she commands respect.

Long Shot

5 My Whisper (Bet Now: $SP.00) will love the rise to 1600m. This mare has had two runs back from a spell, resuming with an okay effort in the Sheraco behind Shades Of Rose. She then went to the Golden Pendant where she got too far back but was good late without threatening behind Nimalee. Third up and hard fit with a rise in trip, I think she’s a big improver.

BEST BET: Race Nine Number 10 Anamoe

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 1 Berkeley Square

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 1 Callsign Mav

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 3

Leg Two: 1, 2, 5, 6, 8

Leg Three: 10

Leg Four: 2, 3, 5, 6

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The post 22/10/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Moonee Valley, Cox Plate day appeared first on RT News Today.



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22/10/2022 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Moonee Valley, Cox Plate day

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