Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you’re eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire’s batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today’s results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at FanDuel Sportsbook.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| TOR | Austin Voth |
9.0 | 5.00 | 38.4% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| CHC | Cory Abbott |
9.0 | 4.92 | 37.0% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| TEX | Adam Oller |
9.0 | 4.87 | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| PHI | Nick Lodolo |
8.5 | 4.72 | 33.5% | 19.8% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| LAD | Eric Lauer |
8.5 | 4.71 | 33.3% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| CLE | Daniel Norris |
8.0 | 4.64 | 32.1% | 18.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| BOS | Roansy Contreras |
8.5 | 4.63 | 31.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| MIN | Daniel Lynch |
8.0 | 4.57 | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| STL | German Marquez |
7.5 | 4.31 | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| HOU | Michael Kopech |
8.0 | 4.30 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| NYY | Corey Kluber |
8.0 | 4.30 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| OAK | Cole Ragans |
9.0 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| SF | Zach Davies |
7.0 | 4.08 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| WSH | Drew Smyly |
9.0 | 4.08 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| NYM | Jake Odorizzi |
7.5 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| BAL | Ross Stripling |
9.0 | 4.00 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| PIT | Rich Hill |
8.5 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| MIL | Tony Gonsolin |
8.5 | 3.79 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| SD | Pablo Lopez |
7.0 | 3.79 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| CIN | Ranger Suarez |
8.5 | 3.78 | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| CHW | Framber Valdez |
8.0 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| TB | Domingo German |
8.0 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| ATL | Max Scherzer |
7.5 | 3.44 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| KC | Tyler Mahle |
8.0 | 3.43 | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| DET | Cal Quantrill |
8.0 | 3.36 | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| MIA | Mike Clevinger |
7.0 | 3.21 | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| COL | Jordan Montgomery |
7.5 | 3.19 | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| ARI | Carlos Rodon |
7.0 | 2.92 | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Max Scherzer |
ATL | 7.3 | 93.4% | 85.5% | 73.9% | 59.8% | 45.0% | 31.5% | 20.4% |
| Carlos Rodon |
ARI | 7.1 | 92.5% | 83.9% | 71.7% | 57.1% | 42.2% | 28.9% | 18.4% |
| Tyler Mahle |
KC | 6.1 | 85.8% | 72.9% | 57.2% | 41.1% | 27.1% | 16.4% | 9.2% |
| Framber Valdez |
CHW | 6.1 | 85.7% | 72.8% | 57.0% | 41.0% | 27.0% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
| Eric Lauer |
LAD | 5.7 | 81.7% | 66.8% | 50.0% | 34.1% | 21.2% | 12.1% | 6.3% |
| Nick Lodolo |
PHI | 5.6 | 80.8% | 65.6% | 48.6% | 32.8% | 20.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Pablo Lopez |
SD | 5.4 | 78.4% | 62.3% | 45.0% | 29.5% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| Tony Gonsolin |
MIL | 5.3 | 77.7% | 61.4% | 44.0% | 28.6% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Michael Kopech |
HOU | 5.2 | 75.9% | 59.1% | 41.6% | 26.5% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Jordan Montgomery |
COL | 5.0 | 73.5% | 56.0% | 38.4% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| George Kirby |
LAA | 5.0 | 73.5% | 56.0% | 38.4% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Corey Kluber |
NYY | 5.0 | 72.9% | 55.2% | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| German Marquez |
STL | 4.9 | 71.6% | 53.6% | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Mike Clevinger |
MIA | 4.8 | 70.9% | 52.7% | 35.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Cal Quantrill |
DET | 4.8 | 70.3% | 52.0% | 34.6% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Ranger Suarez |
CIN | 4.7 | 68.6% | 50.0% | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Touki Toussaint |
SEA | 4.6 | 67.4% | 48.7% | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Ross Stripling |
BAL | 4.5 | 66.3% | 47.4% | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Jake Odorizzi |
NYM | 4.5 | 65.8% | 46.8% | 29.7% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Domingo German |
TB | 4.4 | 64.1% | 44.9% | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Cory Abbott |
CHC | 4.4 | 63.7% | 44.5% | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Roansy Contreras |
BOS | 4.3 | 62.6% | 43.3% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Norris |
CLE | 4.2 | 60.5% | 41.0% | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Lynch |
MIN | 4.2 | 60.3% | 40.8% | 24.5% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Drew Smyly |
WSH | 3.8 | 52.0% | 32.6% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Rich Hill |
PIT | 3.7 | 50.2% | 30.9% | 16.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Austin Voth |
TOR | 3.7 | 49.7% | 30.5% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Adam Oller |
TEX | 3.6 | 48.1% | 29.0% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Zach Davies |
SF | 3.5 | 47.0% | 28.0% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Cole Ragans |
OAK | 3.4 | 44.4% | 25.8% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Notes: The “Split Adv?” column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. “Home Run PF” refers to home run park factor for the batter’s handedness; data from FanGraphs. “xHR Odds” indicate what a player’s home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Yordan Alvarez |
HOU | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech |
29.5% | +240 |
| Aaron Judge |
NYY | No | 103 | Corey Kluber |
28.6% | +250 |
| Mookie Betts |
LAD | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer |
27.9% | +260 |
| Ji-Man Choi |
TB | Yes | 109 | Domingo German |
24.6% | +305 |
| Rafael Devers |
BOS | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras |
24.2% | +315 |
| Adolis Garcia |
TEX | No | 95 | Adam Oller |
23.0% | +335 |
| Rowdy Tellez |
MIL | Yes | 101 | Tony Gonsolin |
22.9% | +335 |
| Joc Pederson |
SF | Yes | 87 | Zach Davies |
22.8% | +340 |
| Luke Voit |
WSH | Yes | 106 | Drew Smyly |
22.8% | +340 |
| Corey Seager |
TEX | Yes | 101 | Adam Oller |
22.4% | +345 |
| Byron Buxton |
MIN | Yes | 98 | Daniel Lynch |
21.6% | +365 |
| Teoscar Hernandez |
TOR | No | 101 | Austin Voth |
21.5% | +365 |
| Nolan Arenado |
STL | No | 91 | German Marquez |
21.4% | +370 |
| Rougned Odor |
BAL | Yes | 94 | Ross Stripling |
21.3% | +370 |
| Willson Contreras |
CHC | No | 106 | Cory Abbott |
21.2% | +370 |
| Patrick Wisdom |
CHC | No | 106 | Cory Abbott |
21.2% | +370 |
| Shohei Ohtani |
LAA | Yes | 108 | George Kirby |
20.7% | +385 |
| Chris Taylor |
LAD | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer |
20.7% | +385 |
| Rhys Hoskins |
PHI | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo |
20.6% | +385 |
| Matt Chapman |
TOR | No | 101 | Austin Voth |
20.5% | +390 |
| Danny Jansen |
TOR | No | 101 | Austin Voth |
20.5% | +390 |
| Jonah Heim |
TEX | Yes | 101 | Adam Oller |
20.3% | +395 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
TOR | No | 101 | Austin Voth |
19.9% | +400 |
| Joey Meneses |
WSH | Yes | 106 | Drew Smyly |
19.9% | +405 |
| David Peralta |
TB | Yes | 109 | Domingo German |
19.7% | +410 |
| Trea Turner |
LAD | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer |
19.5% | +415 |
| C.J. Cron |
COL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery |
19.4% | +415 |
| Nick Castellanos |
PHI | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo |
19.3% | +420 |
| Franmil Reyes |
CHC | No | 106 | Cory Abbott |
18.9% | +430 |
| Christopher Morel |
CHC | No | 106 | Cory Abbott |
18.9% | +430 |
| Mike Yastrzemski |
SF | Yes | 87 | Zach Davies |
18.6% | +435 |
| J.T. Realmuto |
PHI | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo |
18.6% | +435 |
| Eric Haase |
DET | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill |
18.5% | +440 |
| Anthony Rizzo |
NYY | Yes | 109 | Corey Kluber |
18.4% | +445 |
| Jeremy Pena |
HOU | No | 106 | Michael Kopech |
18.3% | +445 |
| Cal Raleigh |
SEA | Yes | 108 | Touki Toussaint |
18.3% | +445 |
| George Springer |
TOR | No | 101 | Austin Voth |
18.2% | +450 |
| Trayce Thompson |
LAD | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer |
18.2% | +450 |
| Will Smith |
LAD | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer |
18.2% | +450 |
| Max Muncy |
LAD | No | 101 | Eric Lauer |
18.2% | +450 |
| Seth Brown |
OAK | No | 101 | Cole Ragans |
18.2% | +450 |
| Julio Rodriguez |
SEA | No | 103 | Touki Toussaint |
17.9% | +460 |
| Paul Goldschmidt |
STL | No | 91 | German Marquez |
17.9% | +460 |
| Bryan Reynolds |
PIT | Yes | 92 | Rich Hill |
17.9% | +460 |
| Dan Vogelbach |
NYM | Yes | 100 | Jake Odorizzi |
17.8% | +460 |
| Anthony Santander |
BAL | Yes | 94 | Ross Stripling |
17.6% | +470 |
| Marcus Semien |
TEX | No | 95 | Adam Oller |
17.4% | +475 |
| Eugenio Suarez |
SEA | No | 103 | Touki Toussaint |
17.3% | +480 |
| Brandon Lowe |
TB | Yes | 109 | Domingo German |
17.1% | +485 |
| Brandon Belt |
SF | Yes | 87 | Zach Davies |
17.1% | +485 |
| Jose Ramirez |
CLE | Yes | 99 | Daniel Norris |
17.0% | +485 |
| Nathaniel Lowe |
TEX | Yes | 101 | Adam Oller |
16.7% | +500 |
| Taylor Ward |
LAA | No | 103 | George Kirby |
16.7% | +500 |
| Ty France |
SEA | No | 103 | Touki Toussaint |
16.7% | +500 |
| Isaac Paredes |
TB | No | 103 | Domingo German |
16.7% | +500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. |
KC | No | 98 | Tyler Mahle |
16.6% | +500 |
| Pete Alonso |
NYM | No | 97 | Jake Odorizzi |
16.5% | +505 |
| Austin Riley |
ATL | No | 97 | Max Scherzer |
16.5% | +505 |
| Chad Pinder |
OAK | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans |
16.5% | +505 |
| Sean Murphy |
OAK | Yes | 95 | Cole Ragans |
16.5% | +505 |
| Ian Happ |
CHC | Yes | 104 | Cory Abbott |
16.5% | +505 |
| Nick Pratto |
KC | Yes | 99 | Tyler Mahle |
16.5% | +505 |
| Alex Bregman |
HOU | No | 106 | Michael Kopech |
16.4% | +510 |
| Seiya Suzuki |
CHC | No | 106 | Cory Abbott |
16.4% | +510 |
| Francisco Mejia |
TB | Yes | 109 | Domingo German |
16.4% | +510 |
| Jesse Winker |
SEA | Yes | 108 | Touki Toussaint |
16.3% | +515 |
| Hunter Renfroe |
MIL | No | 103 | Tony Gonsolin |
16.0% | +525 |
| Randy Arozarena |
TB | No | 103 | Domingo German |
16.0% | +525 |
| Lane Thomas |
WSH | Yes | 106 | Drew Smyly |
15.9% | +530 |
| Marcell Ozuna |
ATL | No | 97 | Max Scherzer |
15.9% | +530 |
| Bo Bichette |
TOR | No | 101 | Austin Voth |
15.8% | +535 |
| Jose Altuve |
HOU | No | 106 | Michael Kopech |
15.7% | +535 |
| Paul DeJong |
STL | No | 91 | German Marquez |
15.7% | +540 |
| Jared Walsh |
LAA | Yes | 108 | George Kirby |
15.6% | +540 |
| Manny Machado |
SD | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez |
15.5% | +545 |
| Gleyber Torres |
NYY | No | 103 | Corey Kluber |
15.4% | +550 |
| Tyrone Taylor |
MIL | No | 103 | Tony Gonsolin |
15.4% | +550 |
| William Contreras |
ATL | No | 97 | Max Scherzer |
15.3% | +555 |
| Tommy Pham |
BOS | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras |
15.2% | +555 |
| Andrew Vaughn |
CHW | Yes | 106 | Framber Valdez |
15.2% | +560 |
| Austin Hays |
BAL | No | 101 | Ross Stripling |
15.1% | +560 |
| Ryan Mountcastle |
BAL | No | 101 | Ross Stripling |
15.1% | +560 |
| Charlie Blackmon |
COL | No | 97 | Jordan Montgomery |
15.1% | +565 |
| Freddie Freeman |
LAD | No | 101 | Eric Lauer |
15.0% | +565 |
| Taylor Walls |
TB | Yes | 109 | Domingo German |
15.0% | +565 |
| Nolan Gorman |
STL | Yes | 97 | German Marquez |
14.9% | +570 |
| Salvador Perez |
KC | No | 98 | Tyler Mahle |
14.8% | +575 |
| Randal Grichuk |
COL | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery |
14.7% | +580 |
| Joey Votto |
CIN | No | 113 | Ranger Suarez |
14.6% | +585 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino |
KC | Yes | 99 | Tyler Mahle |
14.5% | +590 |
| Nelson Cruz |
WSH | Yes | 106 | Drew Smyly |
14.4% | +590 |
| A.J. Pollock |
CHW | Yes | 106 | Framber Valdez |
14.4% | +590 |
| Cesar Hernandez |
WSH | Yes | 106 | Drew Smyly |
14.4% | +590 |
| Brandon Drury |
SD | No | 90 | Pablo Lopez |
14.4% | +595 |
| Kerry Carpenter |
DET | Yes | 103 | Cal Quantrill |
14.3% | +600 |
| Josh Donaldson |
NYY | No | 103 | Corey Kluber |
14.0% | +610 |
| Mitch Haniger |
SEA | No | 103 | Touki Toussaint |
14.0% | +610 |
| Dansby Swanson |
ATL | No | 97 | Max Scherzer |
14.0% | +615 |
| Matt Olson |
ATL | Yes | 100 | Max Scherzer |
14.0% | +615 |
| MJ Melendez |
KC | Yes | 99 | Tyler Mahle |
13.8% | +620 |
| Jorge Mateo |
BAL | No | 101 | Ross Stripling |
13.8% | +625 |
| Joey Bart |
SF | No | 90 | Zach |
