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Today’s Best BetToday’s Best Long Shot

Ten races will be run and won at Randwick on Saturday, headlined by the first major of the season, the Winx Stakes (1400m). The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

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Winx Stakes : View the Field and Odds for the Winx Stakes

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Back Me

15 Ostracised (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) is sneaky flying for Cody Morgan and is certainly capable of taking this out. Ran in the Highway at Rosehill three weeks ago and was very good from the back behind Molly Nails, beaten 2.5L. He’s only won the one race but he’s a horse with talent and is hard to beat if he’s within range.

Danger

7 Optimo (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) is flying without winning for Marc Quinn. Latest run came at metro level at Eagle Farm when back in the run and was very good late, just missing out late when a close up third to Hot Spring Gold, who won again since last Saturday, so the form reads well and will be strong late.

Long Shot

3 Daredevil (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) is a very interesting runner. Formerly with Kody Nestor, then had a prep with Dar Lunn, now finds himself with a very astute camp in Paul Shailer. His form isn’t anything to jump up and down about, but the trials leading in have been sharp and stable finds Tommy Berry, so watch the market.

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Back Me

I am all over 2 Strawberry Rock (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) with a drying deck. He’s an import with talent for the Maher/Eustace camp and I was keen on him at the big odds three weeks back at The Valley. Melham rode an outstanding race on him and he was there to win but just couldn’t get past Ferago. Back on a firm track, J Mac on, upside, different form…keen.

Danger

4 So United (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) will put himself on speed and give a bold sight. He did that when racing at this track/distance a fortnight back and tried his guts out but was no match late for a class animal in Cadre Du Noir. I think the firmer deck is a big tick and if he holds his form, he’ll take beating.

Long Shot

8 Kitzbuhel (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) is a first four threat. Strong winner with a big weight two back at Narrandera before going to the race mentioned above here from two weeks back. He was on speed and whacked away, just lacking the change up speed. Down in the weights again, he’s one for exotics.

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Back Me

I don’t think an extra 3kg will stop 1 Bazooka (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) winning again. It was an arrogant Midway win here two weeks ago, making a mess of them under a confident steer from J Mac, who remains on for this. The depth here isn’t overly strong and with that winning feeling again, he can go on with it.

Danger

8 Adios Steve (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) will jump on the bunny and prove hard to run down. Last couple of runs have come over 1800m, the latest in the Midway here a fortnight back when attempting to lead throughout and tiring late behind Bazooka. I like him back in trip and he’ll give a sight.

Long Shot

16 Canyonero (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) is hit and miss, but I think he’s back on track. He ran over the Kembla mile last start and closed off strongly from near last when third to all the way winner Regal Pom, who produced sustained speed from the front and was dominant. Canyonero has proven himself at Midway level, so don’t dismiss him.

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Back Me

Fitter and up to the mile, I think 2 Equation (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) will take beating here. Resumed two weeks ago over 1300m here where he had the suck run behind the speed and was there to threaten, but first up, condition just gave way late. He’ll take good improvement from that and has a touch of class/quality for a 78.

Danger

8 Casino Kid (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) has been one of the more improved horses in NSW over the last 6-12 months. He went from being a solid Highway horse to now becoming a Saturday class horse. He confirmed that well and truly a fortnight back here with a strong win at this track/distance, aided by a peach from Sam Clipperton. He was only second up, so there is good upside to come.

Long Shot

9 Morethannumberone (Bet Now: $SP.00 TOP ODDS) has the right form around him to give this a shake. Two back he just struggled on the bottomless track at the Sunny Coast behind Puntura, who won again next start. Last start at Eagle Farm, several weeks ago, he worked to the line pretty well behind a class animal, Bottega. Brings that form here, he’ll take beating.

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Back Me

6 Showmanship (Bet Now: $4.40) is a high quality horse when right and despite bigger fish to fry, he has the class/quality to round these up. He had one run for the O’Brien camp in the Autumn, which came in the Wangoom at Warrnambool when a narrow third to Frankie Pinot. Just one quiet jumpout leading into this run, but if he’s within range, he’s got the finale to overhaul them.

Danger

2 King Of Sparta (Bet Now: $2.80) deserves another chance. Bletchingly winner who went to the Aurie’s Star down the straight at Flemington where the track was a bit on the shifty side and down the straight, he was plain, but a total forgive IMO. Back on a firmer deck and back around a bend, back home, he’s hard to beat.

Long Shot

1 Special Reward (Bet Now: $9.00) is an underrated horse for Kris Lees that is certainly capable of surprising at odds. He resumed in the Missile and was very good from near last on the turn behind Hard Empire, clocking good late splits. He’ll be dangerous if he can settle closer.

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Back Me

The mail I got earlier this week was that 12 Durston (Bet Now: $19.00) would run at Hawkesbury on Thursday and not here. But, the set up at Hawkesbury looks ordinary, so they’ve accepted for this race, and if he does run here, I think he wins. Just looked a bit fresh first up behind Cross Talk in clear forgive. Trialled up like a rocket after that run and he’ll give this an almighty shake.

Danger

It’s hard to ignore how genuine 3 Lord Ardmore (Bet Now: $3.00) is. He has won two on the bounce, both over 1800m. Strong winner two back at Rosehill before winning the Prelude to this race two weeks ago, knuckling down strongly when it counted to win and win well. He does seem more effective at 1800m but the way he’s racing, the extra 200m should be fine.

Long Shot

9 Grove Ferry (Bet Now: $7.00) can be hit and miss but his best is certainly good enough. Freshened up prior to racing in the Prelude a fortnight back where he attempted to lead throughout and he gave a solid kick from the front but couldn’t hold out the finale of Lord Ardmore. Fitter, firmer footing, if he can get a patient steer with cover, I think you’ll see a much better effort.

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Back Me

Last bit will be the test but I think the Queensland mare 9 Boomnova (Bet Now: $7.00) will give you a ripping run for your money. She won 3/3 during the Brisbane Winter, the latest win being the Lightning. She’s a short course specialist and with residual fitness, plus a sharp trial win, she’s here to rock and roll.

Danger

10 Zapateo (Bet Now: $4.40) is a James Cummings trained mare that resumes. She hasn’t raced since the Denise’s Joy during the Scone Carnival when given a peach by King and dashed clear late to win impressively. Liked her trial win last week at Kembla and has a good fresh record. Hard to beat.

Long Shot

6 More Prophets (Bet Now: $31.00) is dangerous if she’s anywhere near ready to go. She resumes for John Thompson, having not raced since the Emancipation when down the track behind Promse Of Success, and was nominated/accepted several times afterwards, but with the wet tracks, she was spelled. Just one quiet trial, but on dry ground, she is quite dynamic when right, so watch the market.

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Back Me

1 Mo’Unga (Bet Now: $6.00) won this race last year and I think he’s set up really well to repeat the dose. Resumes for Annabel Neasham after a two run Autumn, where he ran second in the Futurity before a let up and racing in the All Aged where the track was too wet. Given a good break and he’s never been a star trialler. He’s a race day horse, and with a dry deck on the cards, he’s the one to beat IMO.

Danger

3 Anamoe (Bet Now: $2.60) is a high class galloper that resumes for James Cummings. He has been somewhat hit and miss throughout his career but his best is elite. Couple of very strong trials to get ready for his return and you’d think the stable want to give him every chance to win a WFA Group l as an older horse.

Long Shot

10 Fangirl (Bet Now: $7.50) is a high quality mare for Chris Waller that resumes. She had a fab Autumn prep, highlighted by a dominant win in the Vinery Stud at Group l level. Her two trials leading in have been strong, the latest in fast time behind Overpass, so she’s had a good grounding to run a positive first up race.

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Back Me

7 In Secret (Bet Now: $3.30) is a very good filly that resumes for James Cummings. She had two runs in the latter part of the Autumn, the second win being a spank job win during the Scone Carnival. Destined for good races, including this, and she moved well in a recent trial at Warwick Farm. Hard to beat.

Danger

5 Willinga Beast (Bet Now: $7.00) is a filly I have plenty of time for. Kris Lees trains this girl and have just gotten over how she didn’t win the Percy Sykes where she looked all over a winner but Paris Dior fought back and got the win, just. The recent trial at Wyong, IMO, was plain, where she was hard ridden and just got the better of a country class horse, so there is that query, but I am respecting her race day form.

Long Shot

3 Seven Veils (Bet Now: $13.00) is here to run well I’d say. Mark Newnham trained filly that resumes, having not raced since the Golden Slipper where she really struggled to pick her feet up on the bog. Been given a good break and with two trials under the belt, the latest a strong hit out, she’s here to run well. Hopefully the market agrees.

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Back Me

13 Arbitration (Bet Now: $SP.00) is a mare heading in the right direction. James Cummings trains this four year old, who resumed at the midweeks at Warwick Farm where class came to the fore and she got the job done under J Mac. Good test for her here, but a win would ensure she’s destined for blacktype.

Danger

6 Jal Lei (Bet Now: $SP.00) is flying for John O’Shea and if she can settle closer in the run, or be within range on the turn, good luck beating her. She was massive in defeat here a fortnight back after settling near last in an on pace domination, she worked home with real purpose late in the piece when third to Meg. Bursting to win one and she gets her chance.

Long Shot

15 Just Field (Bet Now: $SP.00) deserves another chance. Was really keen on her when she raced at Doomben two weeks ago but the race shape was against her and she was inside runners, which I am not sure is her go in life. If she gets clear air and a genuine tempo, I think she’s flying and can be dangerous at huge odds.

BEST BET: Race Two Number 2 Strawberry Rock

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 1 Bazooka

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 9 Boomnova

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 5, 6, 9, 10

Leg Two: 1, 3

Leg Three: 2, 3, 5, 7

Leg Four: 6, 7, 13, 15

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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