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2018 NFL Power Rankings: Week 17

Alvin Kamara and the Saints end the season as the NFL top-ranked team. (Photo Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports)

Although there is something of a hierarchy to the NFL (which we try and navigate here), it feels like the 2018 Super Bowl championship is a little more up for grabs than in the past, no? As we head into the last week of the regular season and staring the Playoffs down the barrel, here’s how the league shakes out right now:

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2018 NFL Power Rankings: Week 17; Tier 1: A Leg Up

1 New Orleans Saints (13-2; +170 point differential)

Ryan: For most of the NFL’s history, the league has had one or two dominant teams that were head and shoulders above the rest. While the Saints finish in the top spot here, the gap between them and every other team might not be as big as it may seem. They’re the favorites, but that guarantees you exactly nothing in professional sports. New Orleans has the look of the team that got hot at the right time and rode the wave all the way to a title – as we’ve seen in the past – but still, their best football needs to be ahead of them or they’ll miss out on the chance to play for the Lombardi Trophy.

2 Los Angeles Chargers (11-4; +85)

Garrett: Despite the loss to Baltimore on Saturday night, the Chargers are still one of the most dangerous teams heading into the playoffs. With Philip Rivers playing at an MVP level, the Chargers have put together their best season since 2009. The Chargers have on of the most complete rosters in the NFL, if not the most complete. They may not have as many big names as some other teams near the top of the league, but there are not very many weak spots on their roster. The Chargers’ seven Pro Bowlers are the most in the NFL. Despite that, The Chargers are more than likely going to end up as the 5th seed in the AFC. Heading into the playoffs the Chargers could be the first wild-card team since the 2010 Packers to win the Super Bowl behind their ferocious pass rush, and Philip Rivers distributing the ball to his playmakers on the outside.

3 Kansas City Chiefs (11-4; +112)

Garrett: The Chiefs have been the same team throughout the season. They will outscore you if given the opportunity. First-year Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win the MVP award this season. His performance this year has landed him in the same breath as some all-time greats. The Chiefs have multiple playmakers on the outside to compliment Mahomes gunslinger style of play. The Chiefs main issue thus far has been on the defensive side of the ball. Up to this point, the Chiefs defensive struggles have not hurt them too badly so far, but the game changes once the playoffs come around. If the defense can start making timely stops in January this Chiefs team can score with anybody. All Kansas City needs to do is win in week 17 to secure a first-round bye as well as home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

4 Los Angeles Rams (12-3; +127)

Ben: Here’s the bottom line: the Rams WILL make the playoffs. Forget the recent struggles of Jared Goff. Forget the early struggles of the defense. The Rams were, for much of this season, deservedly considered one of the best teams in football. Losing young wideout Cooper Kupp was a substantial loss, but Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks are more than capable of carrying the workload. Todd Gurley missed Sunday’s win at Arizona, but he should be a go for the playoffs, in what has been an MVP-type season for the running back. The defense has had rough performances, but there’s no doubting the impact Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh have on opposing offenses. The key to the Rams Super Bowl hopes is Jared Goff. Despite his recent hiccups, Goff has been really effective for most of the season. Sean McVay’s offense requires Goff to be good. If Goff can handle the pressure, there’s no reason the Rams can’t win the NFC.

Tier 2: Ankle Deep in Championship Expectations

5 Chicago Bears (11-4; +124)

Ben: Chicago did not play its best game Sunday beating the Niners 14-9, but that by no means reflects their season. The Bears have gone from worst to first in the NFC North this season, clinching the division two weeks ago against Green Bay of all teams. With one week to play in the regular season, the Bears even have a shot at a first-round bye. The turnaround for this team has been thanks to the stellar defensive play. Stars like Kyle Fuller, Danny Trevathan, and Akiem Hicks anchored an already solid defense. However, newcomers like rookie Roquan Smith and Khalil Mack have helped take this Bears defense to one of the best in the league. Mack, in particular, has his name squarely in the defensive MVP chase. With Trubisky, Cohen, and Howard leading the offense, the Bears are legit Super Bowl contenders, which is all-the-more crazier when you consider where this team was a season ago.

6 Houston Texans (10-5; +69)

Ben: Regardless of where Houston ends up in the playoff seeding, the Texans were able to resurrect what started as a broken season. After starting 0-3, the Texans rattled off nine wins in a row to put themselves back in the AFC playoff chase. Deshaun Watson has returned to form after his season-ending ACL surgery last season. Despite not having much of a run game, Watson has been able to carry the offense both on his legs and through the air. The defense has been solid, particularly the pass rush led by a healthy JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney. The biggest struggle for the Texans has been the injuries to the receiving core. Will Fuller was lost to an ACL injury back in October, and midseason acquisition Demaryius Thomas suffered a season-ending Achilles injury just last week. DeAndre Hopkins will have to take on a hefty amount of the receiving work, as he has done all season, in order for the Texans to make a playoff run. The Texans can clinch to AFC South with a win on Sunday against Jacksonville. With a loss, the Texans fall to the wildcard. Regardless, the Texans are happy to be back in the postseason and have a healthy Deshaun Watson.

7 New England Patriots (10-5; +76)

Richard: In the most unsurprising news of the season, the Patriots have won the AFC East and Tom Brady has made the pro-bowl once again. At times this season, the Patriots looked like they had lost their touch losing back to back games twice and the aging Gronk looked to be falling apart right in front of our eyes. Through it all, Brady’s numbers are only slightly worse than last year’s, 25 touchdowns to 11 interceptions to last year’s 32 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, with one game left to be played this regular season. The defense has been inconsistent for much of the season but has been playing much better of late. In New England’s last five games, the defense has given up more than 17 points only once. With a win on Sunday, the Patriots can lock up a first-round bye in the playoffs and start their yearly pilgrimage to the Super Bowl.

8 Baltimore Ravens (9-6; +100)

Ryan: It’s hard to really put a numeric value on what Lamar Jackson has done since taking over as starting quarterback. It really doesn’t make a ton of sense. Especially given that his style at this point in his career is antithetical to the direction the rest of the league is moving in. But that may explain what’s going on, or at least help. Baltimore creates the most unique match-up in the NFL right now because their offensive style is so unlike any other team. That makes them almost impossible to prepare for. It won’t work forever, but it’s working right now.

9 Seattle Seahawks (9-6; +78)

Ben: Not enough can be said for the job Pete Carroll has done with this team. The Legion of Boom has all but gone away. The remains is a much younger, much less revered defense that is still capable of winning Seattle games. Led by Bobby Wagner and Shaquill Griffin, this new-look Seattle D is not what it used to be, but still playing at a high level. On the offensive side of the football, a healthy, efficient running game led by Chris Carson and Mike Davis have helped take a little of the pressure off of Russell Wilson. Without having to worry about supplying rushing yards, Wilson has been free to focus on his throwing skills. Wilson’s evolution as a quarterback continues to impress as this is now certainly HIS team. Carroll has been able to string together brand new pieces with old ones from the back-to-back Super Bowls while only missing the playoffs once. Seattle is certainly capable of winning a few playoff games, but if they do, they’re going to have to do it on the road as a wild card.

10 Dallas Cowboys (9-6; +14)

Richard: The Cowboys were 3-5, firing their coach and blowing it all up. Seven games and six wins later, the Cowboys have locked up the NFC East and will host a home playoff game. While head coach Jason Garrett job now seems safe, no one would be surprised if an early exit from the playoffs cost him his job. That’s because he got blamed for the slow start but is not getting much credit for the team’s turn-around. Most of the credit for the improved play of the offense is being attributed to the addition of wide receiver Amari Cooper and owner Jerry Jones, who was widely criticized for giving up too much for the receiver. On the defensive side of the ball, Dallas gave up more than 23 points only once in their last 7 games. The credit for that improvement has been given to the defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli and players playing up to their potential. Regardless of who gets the credit, the Cowboys have become a team to watch in the playoffs and their balanced team will be a tough out for any opponent they face.

11 Indianapolis Colts (9-6; +73)

Ben: Indy turned a 1-5 start into a playoff caliber team that nobody wants to see in the AFC Wildcard round. Similar to division-mate Deshaun Watson, Andrew Luck has bounced back after a long-term injury, making everyone remember why Andrew Luck was considered the “Next Big Thing” back in 2015. The biggest turnaround for the Colts has been the offensive line. Once being blamed for Andrew Luck’s injuries, this offensive line has become one of the stronger units on the team, even going through a five-game streak without allowing a sack. The run game also has turned around, led by the exciting Marlon Mack. The Colts play a winner-take-all game Sunday night in Tennessee with the winner heading to the playoffs and the loser watching from home. Even if the Colts fall short on Sunday, the Colts have to be excited about the progress of the offense and the return of Andrew Luck. If they make the playoffs, that offense is a scary matchup for anyone.

Tier 3: In It by the Skin of Their Teeth

12 Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-1; +65)

Early on, Pittsburgh looked kind of desperate. Then they righted the ship, to some extent. But they couldn’t stay on the right course long enough to ensure a playoff spot. They’re now in a position where they could be on the outside looking in come the postseason. Their situation is as intriguing as any going into the last week of the season. Beyond that, they really need to focus on getting better players on defense. They’ve proved to be able to mix-and-match the running back and get production. They have Antonio Brown locked up to a long-term deal. Now the top priorities are to get players better at keeping the opponents’ offense from scoring and getting a replacement for Ben Roethlisberger lined up.

13 Philadelphia Eagles (8-7; -5)

Richard: The Eagles have been one of the NFL’s most disappointing teams of this season. After winning the Super Bowl last season, many had them as the favorites to win the NFC East. Philadelphia has failed to be more than one game over .500 all season. Quarterback Carson Wentz, who is currently out with a back injury, was not playing like the quarterback that was in the running for MVP before he was hurt last year. The secondary has been demolished by injury and the offensive line got old quick. The defensive line can’t get pressure on the quarterback and wide receivers can’t get open to save their lives. Every aspect of this Eagles team is worst than last year’s championship-winning team and this season has been largely disappointing. All that being said, with a win at Washington this week and a Vikings loss to the Bears, none of it means anything and the Eagles are back in the playoffs with a chance to repeat as Super Bowl Champions.

14 Tennessee Titans (9-6; +23)

Ben: Despite the constantly wavering health of Marcus Mariota, the Titans have still found a way to be in the playoff hunt. Derrick Henry has emerged late in the season as the top-level running back that he looked like back at Alabama. Defensive talents like Wesley Woodyard and Malcolm Butler headline a defense that has helped win its fair share of games, including Saturday’s 25-16 win over Washington. Mariota’s health has indeed been up and down, but when healthy, he has played the best of his career. Head Coach Mike Vrabel has to be given props for the new-look, high-energy of the Titans. Playing with attitude, the Titans can clinch a second-consecutive playoff birth with a win over Indy on Sunday. If the Titans fall short, their season will soon be forgotten as a decent season that didn’t win enough of the big games. If they make it into the playoffs, Tennessee’s balanced offensive attack is capable of winning playoff games in back-to-back seasons.

15 Minnesota Vikings (8-6-1; +33)

Ben: All the Vikings have to do is win against Chicago on Sunday and they are in the playoffs. However, considering this team was a game away from the Super Bowl last season, making the playoffs won’t be enough to consider this season a success. The Vikings made a bold move last offseason, dumping all three quarterbacks on their NFC North champion roster in favor of signing the highly coveted Kirk Cousins, for a pretty hefty price tag. The transition to Cousins was not as seamless as the Vikings may have hoped. Minnesota struggled with top-tier teams (Saints, Rams, Bears) and was unable to replicate the defensive success of last season. Despite firing their O-coordinator and taking a few lumps, Minnesota can still make a run in the NFC on the talent of Cousins, Adam Thielen, and Stefon Diggs. However, after losing the division to Chicago and considering where they were a season ago, an early playoff exit would make this season a massive disappointment for the Vikes. If they were to miss the playoffs entirely, it would be one of the biggest let-down seasons in the NFL this season.

Tier 4: Dipped a Toe in Contending

16 Cleveland Browns (7-7-1; -31)

Ryan: Cleveland was one of 2018’s biggest pleasant surprises. Even if you’re not a fan, the state of the organization heading into 2018 was downright depressing. The emergence of the Browns as a competitive team again has made the league better as a whole. However, the tough work is only beginning here. They need to make the right decision regarding a new head coach and land on smart draft picks and value free agent signings. History says it can be harder for a team to get from seven wins to a playoff team than it is to get to seven wins from one or two. 2018 was a gigantic step in the right direction for the Browns. But they can’t be content with a seven-win plateau.

17 Miami Dolphins (7-8; -89)

Richard: At season’s end, the Dolphins are back where they always end up, questioning if they have a quarterback to build around in Ryan Tannehill. They started the season 3-0 and Tannehill was playing as if he had finally put it all together. He eventually got hurt and Brock Osweiler took over. Osweiler did as good as you can expect Osweiler to do, going 2-3, but the Dolphins were behind the eight-ball. Then the miracle win against the Patriots happened. Miami was 7-6 with three games left and a real chance at making the playoffs and even a chance at the division. They went on to throw it all away losing to the Vikings and Jaguars back to back. The Dolphins need to decide whether they win the games because of their quarterback or despite him and if it’s time to move on from Tannehill for good.

18 Carolina Panthers (6-9; -25)

Ryan: Cam Newtown was steadily making a case to be considered for this season’s MVP award. Until he wasn’t. An injury to the quarterback really derailed the whole team. It was a tale of two halves to the season for Carolina. They looked like an NFC contender early. At one point the sky was the limit, but ultimately the floor caved in. Though a disappointing season, a couple moves that focus on improving the defense and getting Newton a couple offensive weapons at receiver could turn this into a really scary team in 2019.

19 Washington Redskins (7-8; -54)

Richard: The Redskins should win something this season just for winning seven games with the number of injuries they had to overcome. No team in the NFL has had worst injury luck than Washington this season. From losing 60% of their offensive line in one week to the gruesome loss of quarterback Alex Smith. Washington has 22 players on IR. In spite of all the injuries suffered, the Redskins can finish the season with a .500 record by winning Sunday against the Eagles. If Alex Smith returns to form next season and the health gods give them a break, the Redskins may make some noise in the NFC East next season.

20 Denver Broncos (6-9; -6)

Garrett: Behind free agent signee Case Keenum, the Broncos felt that they could win this year. But, the Broncos have had to deal with so many unfortunate events this season. With the departure of Demaryius Thomas and the Injuries to Emmanuel Sanders, and now rookie pro bowl running back Philip Lindsay, essentially all of the Broncos’ playmakers are finished for the 2018 season and will have a long road to recovery for next season. The Broncos looked to have come around near the end of the season with big wins over Los Angeles and Pittsburgh. With just four games remaining in the season, the Broncos had played their way into playoff contention. But after three straight losses, they are left on the outside looking in. The Broncos have the Chargers in town week 17 and if they win they could keep the Chargers out of the top spot in the AFC.

Tier 5: Set Up Eye Exam, Get Glasses

21 Green Bay Packers (6-8-1; +7)

Ben: Green Bay won a really exciting, meaningless game against the Jets on Sunday, anchored by the legs of Aaron Rodgers. However, no matter how fun the Packers’ final two games may appear, this season is a letdown. After playing Brett Hundley for a majority of last season, the Packers figured getting Aaron Rodgers back in the lineup would return Green Bay to the playoff team they were in 2016. This was not the case. The Packers struggled to get creative on offense, ultimately leading to the firing of long-time head coach Mike McCarthy. Also, take into account the Packers terrible road record (1-7), constantly wavering health, and a very young roster, the Packers may have overcompensated just how much Aaron Rodgers can do. Not to say Rodgers isn’t innocent, who himself has missed some big throws in big spots this season, but the Packers need their young players to mature and play more consistent in order to return to playoff form. The biggest question of the offseason for Green Bay will be who will they tag as the next head man in Green Bay. With Aaron Rodgers on the back 9 of his career, the next head coach will more than likely be guiding Rodgers last great chance for a Super Bowl.

22 Atlanta Falcons (6-9; -11)

Ryan: Here’s arguably the biggest disappointment of the 2018 season. Atlanta entered with what many thought would be a high-powered offense. To be fair, there were concerns about the defense from the beginning. But that unit has proved good enough in the past to make this team a Super Bowl-worthy squad. The defense ended up being more than suspect – there are questions all over the place going forward on that side of the ball. And the offense performed well under even the most pessimistic expectations. It would be reasonable to predict a coaching change here. But other than that, the Falcons are kind of tied to what they have, for the most part. At the end of the day, that’s not good enough anymore.

23 Cincinnati Bengals (6-9; -84)

Ryan: This is the danger of a front office not properly evaluating their own locker room. It wasn’t all that long ago – a few seasons – that there was an argument to be made that Cincinnati’s roster had more talent than any in the league. But it’s gradually dilapidated. And signs that things were going very wrong were ignored. There is some nobleness in trying to compete year over year, but what’s left in Cincy doesn’t bode well for future success. Logic says there should be major changes to the roster here, but history says the Bengals will just try to run it back. Either way, this is a team that might be closer to hitting the floor than finding its ceiling.

24 New York Giants (5-10; -42)

Richard: The Giants had the most predictable season of any team in the NFL. On draft day when New York decided to draft running back Saquon Barkley, who made the pro-bowl, and passed up a quarterback for the future, many knew that the Giants wouldn’t make much of this season behind washed-up quarterback Eli Manning. While the outcome of the season may not have been much different with a rookie quarterback, the Giants would be in a favorable situation to where they are today. The result of this season is proof of something that most outside of New York have known since last year. The Giants have to move on from Eli Manning as their quarterback. The problem for New York is that this year’s draft is short on top end quarterback talent. They may be stuck with Eli until they can develop a “project” or pick up a free agent in the offseason. Either way, they may end up at the same place at the end of next season as they are today.

25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-10; -66)

Ryan: For the first two weeks of the 2018 season, Tampa Bay looked like the surprise story of the NFL. As silly as it sounds now, at 2-0, the Bucs looked like a playoff team. Then, little to nothing went right. After the first two games, they lost three straight. After a win against the Browns, they lost four more. What bright spots appeared on their roster early disappeared. Now comes the interesting stuff. What changes do they make regarding their coaching staff and front 0ffice? What direction do they go in when the draft and free agency rolls around? Who plays quarterback in Tampa next season? Jameis Winston’s complicated past and contract situation makes that a particularly fascinating point of interest. It’s dangerous to make too much of an early, two-game sample, but they did show something in those wins. Even though the rest of the season rendered it pretty meaningless, they have to look somewhere in order start to build a new future.

26 Detroit Lions (5-10; -67)

Ben: The Lions season has been mostly forgettable. They beat the Patriots on Sunday Night Football. They played the Bears close in an entertaining Thanksgiving game. They got squashed by the Jets in their season opener. But overall, this season was pretty underwhelming by a team that got second in their division a season ago. The offense underwent changes throughout the season. The Lions traded away Golden Tate to the Eagles and lost Marvin Jones Jr. midseason to injury. Rookie running back Kerryon Johnson has shown flashes of greatness, but his success has been limited due to nagging injuries. Stafford’s been below average based on the rest of his career, but with a depleted offense, it kind of makes sense. Detroit does have some things to be excited for next year though. Kenny Golladay looks to be the next great Lions’ receiver. Golladay, alongside the aforementioned Johnson and Stafford, make for a solid base to a young offense. The defense has a lot of solid pieces as well. Darius Slay continues to be an elite corner. Ziggy Ansah has missed most of the season to injury. The really exciting x-factor is Damon “Snacks” Harrison, who came over in a midseason trade with the Giants. The Lions have pieces to be a solid team in 2019, but for the most part, Matt Patricia’s first year in Detroit was a resounding ho-hum.

27 Jacksonville Jaguars (5-10; -54)

Ben: It’s hard to believe the Jags were a few plays away from the Super Bowl last season. Whether it was lightning-in-a-bottle, falling victim to a strong division, or just plain bad play, the Jaguars have looked like a shadow of their 2017 AFC South champion team. Blake Bortles was simply not good enough this season, getting bench midway through. His offseason contract extension continues to look like a questionable decision. Leonard Fournette and the offensive line have been battered by injuries. The real disappointment has been the defense. This unit last year played with fire and won the Jags games. This season, they’ve been mostly average teetering on terrible in some contests. Jacksonville was able to win a few big games this season including an early-season win over the Pats and just last week eliminating Miami from playoff contention. However, the Jags have plenty of question marks heading into 2019 starting with the quarterback position and the future of stud corner Jalen Ramsey. All in all, a pretty rotten season for a team that was thought to have Super Bowl potential.

28 Buffalo Bills (5-10; -130)

Richard: The Bills have learned some important things this season. They learned that their best running back is quarterback Josh Allen. They learned that their best throwing quarterback is a toss-up between old man Derek Anderson and “remember him?” Matt Barkley. Finally, we all learned that Nathan Peterman, who eventually signed with the Raiders, maybe the worst quarterback to ever toss the pigskin. Seven different players attempted at least one pass for Buffalo this season and none of them were good at it. It’s not all bad news for the Bills, however. The defense was good this season holding opponents to 25 or fewer points 10 times this season. If the Bills coaching staff can develop Allen’s throwing ability and work the offense to take advantage of his dual-threat potential, they can be a team that makes a great improvement next season.

Tier 6: Up to Their Neck in You-Know-What

29 New York Jets (4-11; -73)

Richard: The Jets began the season with a win, then it was all downhill from there. Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold played like a rookie and the rest of the team was just bad. The Jets are most likely going to be looking for a new head coach in the offseason which means that Darnold will have to learn a new offense while trying to further develop his skills as an NFL quarterback. A recipe that has failed many quarterbacks of the past. This team needs to make so many improvements on both sides of the ball to be competitive next season that the hiring a good coach may become very challenging.

30 San Francisco 49ers (4-11; -77)

Ben: San Francisco did not picture the season going this way. The Niners lost starting running back Jerick McKinnon before the season began. The big loss came Week 3 when starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo suffered a season-ending ACL injury. Without their two big offensive weapons, San Francisco has been unable to find sufficient back-ups to save their lost season. This isn’t to say the Niners have been push-overs. They recently beat Seattle in an overtime thriller and have played the Chargers and Bears close. The emergence of George Kittle at tight end should have Jimmy Garoppolo and fantasy owners salivating at his potential next season. Running back Matt Breida has done admirably carrying the offense. Backup QB Nick Mullens has had some great performances, proving himself as a feasible backup. The season may have been a disappointment to Niners fans, but that is more due to injury than underperforming. If San Fran can get healthy for next season, there are more than a few pieces in place that can make the 49ers a playoff contender in 2019.

31 Oakland Raiders (4-11; -145)

Garrett: The Raiders made a splash this offseason by signing John Gruden to a 10-year deal. Gruden left the Monday Night Football booth to go back to the sidelines for the first time since the early 2000s. Almost immediately, Gruden shook things up in Oakland, trading away their best player on the defensive side of the ball, as well as their most explosive playmaker on offense. In return, the Raiders received three future first round picks. in the 2019 draft, Oakland will have three picks in the first round of the NFL draft. The trading of some of the best players, as well as the possible relocation next season, the Raiders will have a lot of work to do if they want to ever become ” The Raiders” any time soon. As of now, John Gruden doesn’t look like he has caught up to the culture change in the NFL, but only time will tell if we will all be praising Gruden for making those changes to the roster. A week 17 win against division rival Kansas City could give them some momentum heading into next season.

32 Arizona Cardinals (3-12; -197)

Ben: Year one of Josh Rosen could have gone better. Rosen’s 10 TD, 14 INT season is certainly nothing special, but it isn’t all his fault either. Following a blowout Thursday night loss to Denver back in October, Arizona fired then O-coordinator Mike McCoy. Whether or not interim O-Coordinator Byron Leftwich will remain in that position is yet to be determined, but perhaps a former QB can help Rosen’s progress. Elsewhere, Larry Fitzgerald continues to put up good numbers late in his career. David Johnson was pretty good, but not the game-changing talent he had been before his ACL-injury. The defense has a couple great talents in Chandler Jones and Patrick Peterson, but are still in need of a tune-up. The good news for Arizona is that they’re staring down a number one overall draft pick. The bad news is this ship may need a year or two before it’s back in legitimate contention.

The post 2018 NFL Power Rankings: Week 17 appeared first on Def Pen.



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2018 NFL Power Rankings: Week 17

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