HOW TRUMP HELPS SOLVE BIDEN’S IMMIGRATION BIND — Two headlines over the last two days capture the zeitgeist of immigration politics and policy as the issue promises to be central to a likely Biden-Trump rematch in 2024. The first, in the NYT, is being gleefully shared on the right and seems to capture the political bind that Biden faces: “Migrant Crisis Tests New Yorkers Who Thought They Supported Immigration†New York has been the focus of liberals-mugged-by-reality coverage of the migrant crisis, egged on by Mayor ERIC ADAMS’ withering criticism of the Biden administration’s policies. “The president and the White House have failed New York City on this issue,†he said back in April. Adams has been trying to end his city’s status as a sanctuary city, and he was in Mexico this week telling migrants that NYC is “at capacity.†It’s not just New York. The left’s favorite Democratic governor, Illinois’ J.B. PRITZKER, wrote a three-page letter addressed personally to Biden this week with a despairing tone about the “untenable situation†the administration created in his state. “It is time for the federal government to take a much more active role in managing the transport and destination of the transport of asylum seekers,†he said, calling for a new White House border-and-immigration czar. In Ohio, a third-party group is trying to bolster Democratic Sen. SHERROD BROWN on the issue, the AP flags this morning, with a TV spot touting how Brown “wrote a bill signed by DONALD TRUMP to increase funding for Border Patrol.†Brown’s people had no comment on the ad. Back in 2019 and 2020, when Biden was running against a new generation of progressives, the longtime moderate had to update his views on a host of issues, and immigration was at the top of that list. During one primary debate, he seemed to blame BARACK OBAMA for the mass deportations of the Obama-Biden years that outraged immigration activists on the left. But privately he has had more misgivings about where Democrats had gone on the issue. Immigration “was the place where he was the most out of step with his evolving party’s leftward trajectory,†Frank Foer writes in “The Last Politician,†his account of the first two years of the Biden White House. This week, with polls consistently showing low marks for Biden’s handling of the border, two policy announcements seemed to signal a shift to the right. The White House announced it would (1) resume building a portion of the Trump border wall and (2) restart deportations to Venezuela. But at the same time the administration did everything it could to downplay the moves and distance Biden from them. Biden himself said the wall doesn’t work. Aides insisted the money for the barrier had to be spent by law. The Venezuela policy, they say, has been “a long-term goal.†It didn’t do much to tamp down the anger from some Biden allies. So is this Biden’s version of the Sherrod Brown ad — emphasize tough immigration policies while keeping arms’ length from them? Biden so far does not seem prepared to break cleanly with his party’s consensus on immigration policy. His campaign chair is Rep. VERONICA ESCOBAR (D-Texas), one of the most high-profile progressive champions on the issue. As she has been pointing out in recent days, there is only so much Biden can do absent action by Congress. There is some evidence for the Biden team’s belief that immigration is an issue that creates a lot of political headaches for Democrats but doesn’t translate into electoral damage. Look no further than the 2018, 2020 and 2022 elections, when the GOP ran on immigration as one of its main issues. Republicans lost in 2018 and 2020 and underperformed in 2022. The reason? Trump. Like so many other potentially killer issues for the right, the Trump-MAGA sledgehammer approach to immigration has had more downside than upside in these extremely close elections. And that brings us to that second headline, also in the Times, atop a piece that hasn’t received nearly enough attention and needs to be read in full: “Trump Escalates Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric With ‘Poisoning the Blood’ Comment†The subhead adds, “When asked about immigration in a recent interview, the former president used language with echoes of white supremacy and [ADOLF] HITLER.†The White House was eager to send over this response from deputy press secretary ANDREW BATES: “These abhorrent, dangerous remarks echo the rhetoric of violent white supremacists and attack the dignity of all Americans. The role of leaders is to bring people together; never to turn them against one another with divisive, self-serving poison.†So boil all of this down and here’s how Biden world sees the politics of this: Maybe Democrats have a vulnerability when it comes to immigration, but as long as Trump is the face of this issue for Republicans, it won’t be the electoral winner they think it is. More: “How Biden’s Promises to Reverse Trump’s Immigration Policies Crumbled,†NYT … “Biden border plan faces breakdown amid record influx of families,†WaPo … “Migrating Venezuelans undeterred by U.S. plan to resume deportation flights,†AP Good Saturday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line with your takes on the politics of immigration: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza. JUST IN — Rep. KEVIN HERN (R-Okla.) announced on X that he won’t be running for speaker: “House Republicans must unify — and do it fast.†SCALISE SPEAKS — In a wide-ranging interview with Rachael yesterday afternoon — just hours after Trump endorsed his rival JIM JORDAN — House Majority Leader STEVE SCALISE pitched himself as just such a unifier: “somebody who’s built coalitions, who has united Republicans to come together on really tough things.†To that end, Scalise said he plans to support whoever wins the Republican Conference nomination for speaker and called on any rivals to do the same. (He also, notably, is against raising the bar for the nomination from a majority of the conference to 218.) Throughout, Scalise refrained from taking shots at Jordan: “I’m laying out my vision. Jim and I are friends, so he’s gonna lay out his vision.†Click through for more on Inside Congress Live on what Scalise is saying about the motion to vacate, spending levels, entitlements and his Day 1 priority if elected. SCHUMER IN SHANGHAI — Senate Majority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER and five other senators landed in Shanghai this morning for the kickoff of a three-day Asian tour. “The trip comes amid a sharp deterioration in relations between the U.S. and China and as officials try to lay the groundwork for a possible meeting between Presidents Joe Biden and XI JINPING in November,†AP reports. Schumer & Co. met with Shanghai’s top Communist Party official, telling him, “We are prepared to compete but we do not seek to conflict.â€
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