DRIVING THE DAY — Happy end of session! Lawmakers have until midnight to send bills to Gov. Gavin Newsom before they must recess for the year. They’re expected to work late into the night to get the job done. We hope you have plenty of caffeine and snacks stockpiled for the marathon ahead. THE BUZZ — RACE AGAINST THE CLOCK: The fate of hundreds of consequential bills will be decided in the coming hours. Here’s the upshot on the most high-profile fights we’re watching: — Unemployment for striking workers (Senate Bill 799, Anthony Portantino): In a session dominated by the Hot Labor Summer, Portantino’s bill is perhaps the biggest lift for union-friendly Democrats. The bill would allow striking workers to receive unemployment benefits. Upshot: Portantino’s bill faces one more vote in the Senate, and he appears to have secured the votes. Democrats have reason to be wary of the measure’s prospects, however. Newsom threw cold water on the idea earlier this week, though he didn’t outright say he would veto it. In an interview with POLITICO, he pointed to a growing deficit in the state unemployment insurance fund. — Racial profiling in policing (Senate Bill 50, Steven Bradford): Bradford has come up short multiple times in his effort to confront racial bias in traffic stops. His bill would limit pretextual stops — when an officer stops a driver for a minor violation as an excuse to investigate more serious offenses. It would prohibit police from stopping drivers solely for an expired registration, busted tail light or improperly displayed license plate. Upshot: Bradford had a similar bill last year, which died amid fierce opposition from the Peace Officers Research Association of California. PORAC is still fighting the bill, which faces a floor vote in the Assembly today. But the math is more in Bradford’s favor this session: The Capitol has never had such a large class of progressives. Will those extra votes get SB 50 over the hump? PORAC President Brian Marvel was candid about the odds: “I would put it as a toss-up, to be quite honest with you.†— Minimum wage for health care workers (Senate Bill 525, Maria Elena Durazo): What started as a longshot push to create a $25 minimum wage for health care workers is poised to become a major win for SEIU California. Upshot: A late-session legislative deal struck between the union and the health care industry has paved the way for SB 525’s passage. Assembly Speaker Robert Rivas’ strong support for the bill early in his tenure was also a crucial factor. The truce between SEIU and the hospital industry could also avert recurring ballot fights over kidney dialysis clinics. SB 525 is expected to clear both houses today. — Wages for fast food workers (Assembly Bill 1228, Chris Holden): Another win is in the works for labor. Fast food companies and unions, led by SEIU, struck a deal this week on regulations, diffusing a related ballot referendum. Wages would rise to $20 by 2024, but local governments would be prohibited from boosting them higher. In turn, a labor council that lawmakers created last year would be diminished. Upshot: The last-minute truce on this AB 1228 has also paved the way for it to pass both houses. All told, it’s shaping up to be a banner year for SEIU’s clout at the Capitol. — Sister constitutional amendments (ACA-1 and ACA-13, Cecilia Aguiar-Curry and Chris Ward): How hard should it be to pass taxes? A pair of constitutional amendments aimed at the 2024 ballot would lower or preempt barriers to raising revenue, sparking a clash between labor and cities on one side and business and real estate groups on the other. ACA-1 would lower the voter threshold to approve local levies. ACA-13 takes aim at a 2024 ballot initiative — the California Business Roundtable’s measure that would make it tougher to pass taxes — by holding that measure to the same two-thirds requirement it seeks to impose. Upshot: This fight features something old and something new. Labor has been trying to lower the local tax threshold for years, while ACA-13 emerged last month as SEIU and cities look to thwart the California Business Roundtable. That coalition helped the measures secure two-thirds votes in the Assembly, but the lobbying counteroffensive has been fierce. And if the amendments clear the Senate, voters would still need to sign off. — With help from Jeremy B. White
|