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How Congress might solve the new problem on its list

A play-by-play preview of the day’s congressional news
Aug 09, 2023 View in browser
 

By Daniella Diaz and Anthony Adragna

With assists from POLITICO’s Hill team

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), who sits on both the Foreign Relations and Appropriations Committees, vowed “the support is there” for a new multibillion-dollar package of assistance to Ukraine. | Getty Images

ADD A NEW FIGHT TO THE HILL’S LIST: UKRAINE AID

Congress has long anticipated an August request from the Biden administration for fresh U.S. aid to Ukraine in its 18-month fight against Vladimir Putin’s Russia. And once that call comes, lawmakers will face another huge challenge — how to get the cash through Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s conservative-dominated House GOP majority.

Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), who sits on both the Foreign Relations and Appropriations Committees, vowed to us on Tuesday that “the support is there” for a new multibillion-dollar package of assistance to Kyiv.

As Murphy put it, “the 100 craziest Republicans in the House, who are the same Republicans opposing Ukraine Aid,” were never going to support any big new spending on the conflict.

“The budget is not going to need the anti-Ukraine caucus in the House in order to command a majority,” he added.

Why that may be optimistic: McCarthy typically doesn’t call up legislation that doesn’t have support from most Republicans, a.k.a. “the majority of the majority” — an informal rule that dates back more than a decade in the House GOP.

And after the spring debt deal passed with more Democratic votes than Republican ones, some conservatives in his caucus have called for interpreting that rule even more strictly.

In other words, expect House conservatives to rebel against any Ukraine aid bill that might get more Democrats behind it than Republicans.

The telltale vote: Seventy House Republicans supported a (failed) amendment to cut off all military assistance to Ukraine — yes, all — as part of the annual defense policy debate last month. Only one-fourteenth of that number is needed to derail a Ukraine funding proposal in McCarthy’s five-seat majority.

How to get around the House: Murphy suggested sidelining conservatives by attaching Ukraine aid to government funding legislation that won’t need their support to pass. After all, resistance to further aid for Kyiv is far from universal within the House GOP.

He specifically raised the possibility that Ukraine aid could hitch a ride on a stopgap spending patch that lawmakers are openly entertaining in order to avoid a Sept. 30 shutdown. But even that patch could struggle to pass the narrowly divided House and clear a Senate filibuster.

Another idea: Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.), a member of the Armed Services Committee, suggested that any more aid for Ukraine should be conditioned on having European allies “step up” and pull their own weight in the continent's defense.

“I think one thing that's important is that we tie any Ukraine aid to stronger support by the European countries, especially Germany and France. This war is close to them,” Scott, who has backed Ukraine aid in the past, told POLITICO’s Joe Gould.

Our read: Given the extremely crowded September floor schedule, a standalone Ukraine aid bill looks extraordinarily unlikely. Attaching the assistance to a continuing resolution seems doable, provided the votes come together for one. But action at the end of the year, as part of a full government funding package, still feels like the clearest path for extra aid to Kyiv.

 

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GOOD MORNING! Welcome to Huddle, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Wednesday, Aug. 9, where we’re actively curious for the prettiest picture you want to share from your congressional district. You know where to hit us up!

OHIO VOTERS REJECT ISSUE 1

Voters in Ohio on Tuesday rejected Republican-led efforts that would make it more difficult to amend the state’s Constitution. The measure would have raised the threshold to pass a constitutional amendment from a simple majority to 60 percent, as well as make it more complicated to get citizen-initiated ballot measures before voters in the first place.

What this really was about: As we wrote in Tuesday’s Huddle, there’s another ballot initiative coming up in November, which would codify abortion rights in the Ohio Constitution. If Issue 1 passed, it would have meant a higher threshold for the abortion rights provision in a red state, rather than a simple majority. Democrats saw this measure as a direct attempt by the GOP to circumvent the will of a majority of the state’s voters.

Democrats see this as a major win: “Democracy won in Ohio tonight,” Rep. Greg Landsman wrote on X Tuesday evening. More from POLITICO’S Madison Fernandez.

GOP EYES HEARING AS D.C. CRIME SPIKES

The first five days in August brought 13 homicides to Washington — an uptick year-over-year of 28 percent from 2022 — that has stunned and frightened the nation’s capital.

That spike is front of mind for Republicans who have made D.C. crime a major talking point this Congress. A Republican aide told Huddle on Tuesday that the House Judiciary Committee will address crime in the U.S. — not just in Washington — during an upcoming field hearing. Details for that hearing, the aide said, are still being figured out.

Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), the Judiciary chair, tied the August uptick in murders to the District’s political leaders, noting in a tweet that the rising crime had come in “Democrat-run Washington, D.C.” (He didn’t address the falling crime rate in the Democratic-run New York City.)

The background: Wading into Washington’s criminal justice politics has already proven fertile ground for the GOP. Republicans scored an unexpected victory back in March when President Joe Biden signed into law a congressional rollback of a progressive crime bill that had passed the D.C. Council.

An aide to Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-Tenn.), who led that crime bill rollback push in the Senate, told Huddle on Tuesday that the senator would “continue to monitor the steps the Council and Mayor take moving forward to address this concerning trend.”

A spokesperson for the House Oversight Committee — which has already held two hearings this Congress with D.C. officials, including Mayor Muriel Bowser — didn’t announce next steps for its oversight of Washington but noted the “chairman has been pretty clear about his concerns regarding rising crime in the nation’s capital.”

In a statement, Oversight Committee member Rep. Clay Higgins (R-La.) told Huddle that adequate police and prosecutorial resources “would shut down crime in DC within a month.”

SINEMA AND GRIJALVA JOIN BIDEN IN DESIGNATING NEW MONUMENT

President Joe Biden joined allies from battleground Arizona on Tuesday to celebrate the designation of a new national monument near the Grand Canyon.

The new monument, a long-standing priority of local tribes, will protect more than 900,000 acres from new uranium mining. Notably by Biden’s side were Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.), former chair of the House Natural Resources Committee Rep. Raúl Grijalva (D-Ariz.), Rep. Greg Stanton (D-Ariz.), Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs (D) and Interior Secretary Deb Haaland.

The politics of the visit: The event brought Biden to a state he won narrowly in 2020, putting him center stage on a popular issue in Arizona. The new monument has drawn the ire of mining companies but has broad support among Arizonans: 75 percent of state voters surveyed in a recent poll — including majorities of Democrats, Republicans and independents — said they supported the new federal protections.

Not always at odds: The former Democrat Sinema partnered with Grijalva and the Grand Canyon Tribal Coalition to push Biden to designate the tribal nations’ homelands as the Baaj Nwaavjo I’tah Kukveni Grand Canyon National Monument. The lawmakers haven't always been political allies, but advocacy for native issues can unite unlikely political partners in states with significant indigenous communities — think Arizona and Alaska.

Not present at the Grand Canyon: Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.), who’s vying for Sinema’s Senate seat next year and applauded the move in a statement. The progressive lawmaker did greet Biden on the tarmac upon his Arizona arrival Monday evening — and pushed Biden to do more to address climate change.

LAWMAKERS ON THE MEND 

Rep. Frank Lucas (R-Okla.), injured last week while working on his ranch, underwent surgery on Monday to address a break in his hip socket, according to his office.

“He sustained no additional injuries. He is feeling well and in good spirits and is looking forward to returning home,” Lucas’ office said in a statement to Huddle.

Meanwhile, Sen. Katie Britt (R-Ala.), who suffered from numbness in her face that doctors connected to swelling of a facial nerve most likely caused by a post-viral infection, is recovering and will be back in D.C. after the recess.

“Sen. Britt is doing well and continues to recover at home. She looks forward to being at the first vote post-recess,” her spokesperson told Huddle.

 

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HUDDLE HOTDISH

Seth Magaziner toured the “first mill in America” while in Pawtucket.

We’re absolutely here for another episode of corn watch from Sen. Chuck Grassley.

A bipartisan group of Colorado elected officials celebrated Biden’s decision to keep Space Command in their state.

Former Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) posted a close encounter with a tornado near Yuma, Colo.

QUICK LINKS 

The GOP’s meticulously laid plans for beating Jon Tester could go up in smoke, by Ally Mutnick

Congressman Joaquin Castro, federal lawmakers to visit buoys on Rio Grande, Eagle Pass, by KSAT’s Rebecca Salinas

Senator Grassley says his age doesn’t stop him from serving all Iowans, by Radio Iowa’s Matt Kelley

TRANSITIONS 

Rachel Huxley-Cohen will take over as Sen. Jeanne Shaheen’s (D-N.H.) communications director, starting next week after four years working as deputy comms director for Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.).

TODAY IN CONGRESS

The House is out.

The Senate is out.

AROUND THE HILL

*crickets*

TRIVIA

TUESDAY’S ANSWER: Marcus Swentkofske was the first to identify Bill Clinton as the president who said of the White House: “I don't know whether it's the finest public housing in America or the crown jewel of the federal prison system.”

TODAY’S QUESTION from Marcus: Robert Oppenheimer worked on the Manhattan project developing the nuclear bomb. On this day in 1945, one was used in combat. What was the name of the bomb and the city it was used in? Bonus points for the name of the airplane.

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Huddle. Send your answers to [email protected].

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Follow Daniella and Anthony on X at @DaniellaMicaela and @AnthonyAdragna.

 

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